13,202 research outputs found

    Baylor Health Care System: High-Performance Integrated Health Care

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    Describes the organization's implementation of a quality infrastructure and its strategies, interventions to improve clinical preventive services, training, and adoption of electronic health records and other quality innovations. Outlines lessons learned

    Development, Implementation and Evaluation of Medical Decision Support Systems Based on Mortality Prediction Algorithms from an Operations Research Perspective.

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    Wide implementation of electronic health record systems provides rich data for personalized medicine. One topic of great interest is to develop methods to assist physicians in prognosis for example mortality. While many studies have reported on various new prediction models and algorithms there is relatively little literature on if and how these new prediction methods translate into actual benefits. My dissertation consists of three theses that aims at filling this gap between prognostic predictions and clinical decisions in end-of-life care and intensive care settings. In the first thesis, we develop an approach to using temporal trends in physiologic data as an input into mortality prediction models. The approach uses penalized b-spline smoothing and functional PCA to summarize time series of patient data. we apply the methodology in two settings to demonstrate the value of using the shapes of health data time series as a predictor of patient prognosis. The first application a mortality predictor for advanced cancer patients that can help oncologists decide which patients should stop aggressive treatments and switch to palliative care such as that provided in hospice. The second one is a real-time near term mortality predictor for MICU patients that can work as an early alarm system to guide timely interventions. In the second thesis, we investigate the integration of a prediction algorithm with physician decision making, focusing on the advanced cancer patient setting. We design a retrospective study to compare prognoses made by doctors and those that would be recommended by the IMPAC algorithm developed in Chapter 1. We used the doctor\u27s discharge decision as a proxy of what they predict the patient as dying in 90 days and show that doctor\u27s predictions tend to very conservative. Although IMPAC on its own does not perform better than doctors in terms of precision and recall, we find that IMPAC and doctors identify significantly different group of positive cases. IMPAC and doctors are also good at identifying very different groups of patients in terms of survival time. We propose a new way to augment decisions of doctors with IMPAC. At the same recall, the augment method identifies 43\% more patients close to death than the doctors do. We also estimate potential hospitalizations and hospital length of stays avoided if the doctors use augmented procedure instead of acting on their own beliefs. In the third thesis, we look at the integration of a prediction algorithm with physician decision making, focusing on the ICU setting. We use a POMDP framework to evaluate how decision support systems based on ICU mortality predictions can help physicians allocate time to inspect the patients at highest risk of death. We assume physicians have limited time and seek to optimally allocate it to patients in order to minimize their mortality rate. Physicians can do Bayesian updates on observations of patient health state. A prediction algorithm can augment this process by sending alerts to physicians. We represent the algorithm by an arbitrary point on an ROC curve representing a particular alert threshold. We study two approaches to using the algorithm input: (1) Belief based policy (BBP) that integrates algorithm outputs using Bayesian updating; (2) Alarm triggered policy (ATP) where the physician responds only to the algorithm without updating, and compare them to benchmarks that do not rely on the algorithm at all. By running simulations, we explore how the accuracy of predictions can translate into lower mortality rates

    Diagnostic accuracy of clinical outcome prediction using nursing data in intensive care patients: A systematic review

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    Background: Nursing data consist of observations of patients' conditions and information on nurses' clinical judgment based on critically ill patients' behavior and physiological signs. Nursing data in electronic health records were recently emphasized as important predictors of patients' deterioration but have not been systematically reviewed. Objective: We conducted a systematic review of prediction models using nursing data for clinical outcomes, such as prolonged hospital stay, readmission, and mortality in intensive care patients, compared to physiological data only. In addition, the type of nursing data used in prediction model developments was investigated. Design: A systematic review. Methods: PubMed, CINAHL, Cochrane CENTRAL, EMBASE, IEEE Xplore Digital Library, Web of Science, and Scopus were searched. Clinical outcome prediction models using nursing data for intensive care patients were included. Clinical outcomes were prolonged hospital stay, readmission, and mortality. Data were extracted from selected studies such as study design, data source, outcome definition, sample size, predictors, reference test, model development, model performance, and evaluation. The risk of bias and applicability was assessed using the Prediction model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool checklist. Descriptive summaries were produced based on paired forest plots and summary receiver operating characteristic curves. Results: Sixteen studies were included in the systematic review. The data types of predictors used in prediction models were categorized as physiological data, nursing data, and clinical notes. The types of nursing data consisted of nursing notes, assessments, documentation frequency, and flowsheet comments. The studies using physiological data as a reference test showed higher predictive performance in combined data or nursing data than in physiological data. The overall risk of bias indicated that most of the included studies have a high risk. Conclusions: This study was conducted to identify and review the diagnostic accuracy of clinical outcome prediction using nursing data in intensive care patients. Most of the included studies developed models using nursing notes, and other studies used nursing assessments, documentation frequency, and flowsheet comments. Although the findings need careful interpretation due to the high risk of bias, the area under the curve scores of nursing data and combined data were higher than physiological data alone. It is necessary to establish a strategy in prediction modeling to utilize nursing data, clinical notes, and physiological data as predictors, considering the clinical context rather than physiological data alone. Registration: The protocol for this study is registered with PROSPERO (registration number: CRD42021273319). © 2022 The Authorsope

    Preface

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