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    Stability Criteria for SIS Epidemiological Models under Switching Policies

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    We study the spread of disease in an SIS model. The model considered is a time-varying, switched model, in which the parameters of the SIS model are subject to abrupt change. We show that the joint spectral radius can be used as a threshold parameter for this model in the spirit of the basic reproduction number for time-invariant models. We also present conditions for persistence and the existence of periodic orbits for the switched model and results for a stochastic switched model

    Disease spread over randomly switched large-scale networks

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    In this paper we study disease spread over a randomly switched network, which is modeled by a stochastic switched differential equation based on the so called NN-intertwined model for disease spread over static networks. Assuming that all the edges of the network are independently switched, we present sufficient conditions for the convergence of infection probability to zero. Though the stability theory for switched linear systems can naively derive a necessary and sufficient condition for the convergence, the condition cannot be used for large-scale networks because, for a network with nn agents, it requires computing the maximum real eigenvalue of a matrix of size exponential in nn. On the other hand, our conditions that are based also on the spectral theory of random matrices can be checked by computing the maximum real eigenvalue of a matrix of size exactly nn
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