Towards the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions : models and algorithms for ridesharing and carbon capture and storage

Avec la ratification de l'Accord de Paris, les pays se sont engagés à limiter le réchauffement climatique bien en dessous de 2, de préférence à 1,5 degrés Celsius, par rapport aux niveaux préindustriels. À cette fin, les émissions anthropiques de gaz à effet de serre (GES, tels que CO2) doivent être réduites pour atteindre des émissions nettes de carbone nulles d'ici 2050. Cet objectif ambitieux peut être atteint grâce à différentes stratégies d'atténuation des GES, telles que l'électrification, les changements de comportement des consommateurs, l'amélioration de l'efficacité énergétique des procédés, l'utilisation de substituts aux combustibles fossiles (tels que la bioénergie ou l'hydrogène), le captage et le stockage du carbone (CSC), entre autres. Cette thèse vise à contribuer à deux de ces stratégies : le covoiturage (qui appartient à la catégorie des changements de comportement du consommateur) et la capture et le stockage du carbone. Cette thèse fournit des modèles mathématiques et d'optimisation et des algorithmes pour la planification opérationnelle et tactique des systèmes de covoiturage, et des heuristiques pour la planification stratégique d'un réseau de captage et de stockage du carbone. Dans le covoiturage, les émissions sont réduites lorsque les individus voyagent ensemble au lieu de conduire seuls. Dans ce contexte, cette thèse fournit de nouveaux modèles mathématiques pour représenter les systèmes de covoiturage, allant des problèmes d'affectation stochastique à deux étapes aux problèmes d'empaquetage d'ensembles stochastiques à deux étapes qui peuvent représenter un large éventail de systèmes de covoiturage. Ces modèles aident les décideurs dans leur planification opérationnelle des covoiturages, où les conducteurs et les passagers doivent être jumelés pour le covoiturage à court terme. De plus, cette thèse explore la planification tactique des systèmes de covoiturage en comparant différents modes de fonctionnement du covoiturage et les paramètres de la plateforme (par exemple, le partage des revenus et les pénalités). De nouvelles caractéristiques de problèmes sont étudiées, telles que l'incertitude du conducteur et du passager, la flexibilité de réappariement et la réservation de l'offre de conducteur via les frais de réservation et les pénalités. En particulier, la flexibilité de réappariement peut augmenter l'efficacité d'une plateforme de covoiturage, et la réservation de l'offre de conducteurs via les frais de réservation et les pénalités peut augmenter la satisfaction des utilisateurs grâce à une compensation garantie si un covoiturage n'est pas fourni. Des expériences computationnelles détaillées sont menées et des informations managériales sont fournies. Malgré la possibilité de réduction des émissions grâce au covoiturage et à d'autres stratégies d'atténuation, des études macroéconomiques mondiales montrent que même si plusieurs stratégies d'atténuation des GES sont utilisées simultanément, il ne sera probablement pas possible d'atteindre des émissions nettes nulles d'ici 2050 sans le CSC. Ici, le CO2 est capturé à partir des sites émetteurs et transporté vers des réservoirs géologiques, où il est injecté pour un stockage à long terme. Cette thèse considère un problème de planification stratégique multipériode pour l'optimisation d'une chaîne de valeur CSC. Ce problème est un problème combiné de localisation des installations et de conception du réseau où une infrastructure CSC est prévue pour les prochaines décennies. En raison des défis informatiques associés à ce problème, une heuristique est introduite, qui est capable de trouver de meilleures solutions qu'un solveur commercial de programmation mathématique, pour une fraction du temps de calcul. Cette heuristique comporte des phases d'intensification et de diversification, une génération améliorée de solutions réalisables par programmation dynamique, et une étape finale de raffinement basée sur un modèle restreint. Dans l'ensemble, les contributions de cette thèse sur le covoiturage et le CSC fournissent des modèles de programmation mathématique, des algorithmes et des informations managériales qui peuvent aider les praticiens et les parties prenantes à planifier des émissions nettes nulles.With the ratification of the Paris Agreement, countries committed to limiting global warming to well below 2, preferably to 1.5 degrees Celsius, compared to pre-industrial levels. To this end, anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions (such as CO2) must be reduced to reach net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. This ambitious target may be met by means of different GHG mitigation strategies, such as electrification, changes in consumer behavior, improving the energy efficiency of processes, using substitutes for fossil fuels (such as bioenergy or hydrogen), and carbon capture and storage (CCS). This thesis aims at contributing to two of these strategies: ridesharing (which belongs to the category of changes in consumer behavior) and carbon capture and storage. This thesis provides mathematical and optimization models and algorithms for the operational and tactical planning of ridesharing systems, and heuristics for the strategic planning of a carbon capture and storage network. In ridesharing, emissions are reduced when individuals travel together instead of driving alone. In this context, this thesis provides novel mathematical models to represent ridesharing systems, ranging from two-stage stochastic assignment problems to two-stage stochastic set packing problems that can represent a wide variety of ridesharing systems. These models aid decision makers in their operational planning of rideshares, where drivers and riders have to be matched for ridesharing on the short-term. Additionally, this thesis explores the tactical planning of ridesharing systems by comparing different modes of ridesharing operation and platform parameters (e.g., revenue share and penalties). Novel problem characteristics are studied, such as driver and rider uncertainty, rematching flexibility, and reservation of driver supply through booking fees and penalties. In particular, rematching flexibility may increase the efficiency of a ridesharing platform, and the reservation of driver supply through booking fees and penalties may increase user satisfaction through guaranteed compensation if a rideshare is not provided. Extensive computational experiments are conducted and managerial insights are given. Despite the opportunity to reduce emissions through ridesharing and other mitigation strategies, global macroeconomic studies show that even if several GHG mitigation strategies are used simultaneously, achieving net-zero emissions by 2050 will likely not be possible without CCS. Here, CO2 is captured from emitter sites and transported to geological reservoirs, where it is injected for long-term storage. This thesis considers a multiperiod strategic planning problem for the optimization of a CCS value chain. This problem is a combined facility location and network design problem where a CCS infrastructure is planned for the next decades. Due to the computational challenges associated with that problem, a slope scaling heuristic is introduced, which is capable of finding better solutions than a state-of-the-art general-purpose mathematical programming solver, at a fraction of the computational time. This heuristic has intensification and diversification phases, improved generation of feasible solutions through dynamic programming, and a final refining step based on a restricted model. Overall, the contributions of this thesis on ridesharing and CCS provide mathematical programming models, algorithms, and managerial insights that may help practitioners and stakeholders plan for net-zero emissions

Simulated z-tests in multinomial probit models

Within the framework of Monte Carlo experiments, this paper systematically compares different versions of the simulated z-test (using the GHK simulator) in one- and multiperiod multinomial probit models. One important finding is that, in the flexible probit models, the tests on parameters of explanatory variables mostly provide robust results in contrast to the tests on variance-covariance parameters. Overall, neither the amount of random draws in the GHK simulator nor the choice of a certain version of the simulated z-test have a strong influence on the test results. This finding refers to the conformity between the shares of type I errors and the basic significance levels as well as to the number of type II errors. In contrast, the number of type II errors in the simulated z-tests on variance-covariance parameters is reduced by increasing the sample size. Effects of misspecifications on simulated z-tests only appear in the multiperiod multinomial probit model. In this case, the inclusion of the concept of the quasi maximum likelihood theory in the simulated z-test provides comparatively more favourable results. --

Global supply chains of high value low volume products

Imperial Users onl

Inventory routing problem with non-stationary stochastic demands

In this paper we solve Stochastic Periodic Inventory Routing Problem (SPIRP) when the accuracy of expected demand is changing among the periods. The variability of demands increases from period to period. This variability follows a certain rate of uncertainty. The uncertainty rate shows the change in accuracy level of demands during the planning horizon. To deal with the growing uncertainty, we apply a safety stock based SPIRP model with different levels of safety stock. To satisfy the service level in the whole planning horizon, the level of safety stock needs to be adjusted according to the demand's variability. In addition, the behavior of the solution model in long term planning horizons for retailers with different demand accuracy is taken into account. We develop the SPIRP model for one retailer with an average level of demand, and standard deviation for each period. The objective is to find an optimum level of safety stock to be allocated to the retailer, in order to achieve the expected level of service, and minimize the costs. We propose a model to deal with the uncertainty in demands, and evaluate the performance of the model based on the defined indicators and experimentally designed cases

Distribution planning in a weather-dependent scenario with stochastic travel times: a simheuristics approach

In real-life logistics, distribution plans might be affected by weather conditions (rain, snow, and fog), since they might have a significant effect on traveling times and, therefore, on total distribution costs. In this paper, the distribution problem is modeled as a multi-depot vehicle routing problem with stochastic traveling times. These traveling times are not only stochastic in nature but the specific probability distribution used to model them depends on the particular weather conditions on the delivery day. In order to solve the aforementioned problem, a simheuristic approach combining simulation within a biased-randomized heuristic framework is proposed. As the computational experiments will show, our simulation-optimization algorithm is able to provide high-quality solutions to this NP-hard problem in short computing times even for large-scale instances. From a managerial perspective, such a tool can be very useful in practical applications since it helps to increase the efficiency of the logistics and transportation operations.Peer ReviewedPostprint (published version

Distribution planning in a weather-dependent scenario with stochastic travel times: a simheuristics approach

In real-life logistics, distribution plans might be affected by weather conditions (rain, snow, and fog), since they might have a significant effect on traveling times and, therefore, on total distribution costs. In this paper, the distribution problem is modeled as a multi-depot vehicle routing problem with stochastic traveling times. These traveling times are not only stochastic in nature but the specific probability distribution used to model them depends on the particular weather conditions on the delivery day. In order to solve the aforementioned problem, a simheuristic approach combining simulation within a biased-randomized heuristic framework is proposed. As the computational experiments will show, our simulation-optimization algorithm is able to provide high-quality solutions to this NP-hard problem in short computing times even for large-scale instances. From a managerial perspective, such a tool can be very useful in practical applications since it helps to increase the efficiency of the logistics and transportation operations.Peer ReviewedPostprint (published version

Multiperiod Dispatching and Routing for On-Time Delivery in a Dynamic and Stochastic Environment

On-demand delivery has become increasingly popular around the world. Brick-and-mortar grocery stores, restaurants, and pharmacies are providing fast delivery services to satisfy the growing home delivery demand. Motivated by a large meal and grocery delivery company, we model and solve a multiperiod driver dispatching and routing problem for last-mile delivery systems where on-time performance is the main target. The operator of this system needs to dispatch a set of drivers and specify their delivery routes in a stochastic environment, in which random demand arrives over a fixed number of periods. The resulting dynamic program is challenging to solve due to the curse of dimensionality. We propose a novel approximation framework to approximate the value function via a simplified dispatching program. We then develop efficient exact algorithms for this problem based on Benders decomposition and column generation. We validate the superior performance of our framework and algorithms via extensive numerical experiments. Tested on a real-world data set, we quantify the value of adaptive dispatching and routing in on-time delivery and highlight the need of coordinating these two decisions in a dynamic setting. We show that dispatching multiple vehicles with short trips is preferable for on-time delivery, as opposed to sending a few vehicles with long travel times

Mobile clinics: medical service strategy for disaster healthcare response operation

Purpose:Healthcare facilities disrupted due to disasters leave affected communities without access tosufficient health care. This study proposes the use of mobile health clinics (MHCs) to address the issuesfaced by medical service providers during disaster response.Design/methodology/approach:An MHC is a mobile facility that provides healthcare services from astationary location. The model was developed as a healthcare response strategy that considers demanduncertainties due to the nature of the disaster. Therefore, the objective of this study is to generate anMHC route and schedule simultaneously and determine how each MHC meets patient demands within aprespecified time horizon. A stochastic model is presented because the impact of a disaster variesaccording to its scale.Findings:An investigation of medical shelters in locations with high numbers of displaced people andthe routing of mobile clinics for several facility locations with a small number of people showed that ahybrid strategy comprising a medical shelter and MHC is the best option. MHCs can serve many locationswithin walking distance. They can also be routed to other locations when time constraints allow. When alarge number of people are in a shelter, building a medical facility provides better service.Originality/value:This study proposed MHCs as a medical service strategy to address the challengesfaced by communities during disaster responses. The aim of MHCs is to improve communities’ access tohealthcare servicesPeer Reviewe

On the Value of Multistage Risk-Averse Stochastic Facility Location With or Without Prioritization

We consider a multiperiod stochastic capacitated facility location problem under uncertain demand and budget in each period. Using a scenario tree representation of the uncertainties, we formulate a multistage stochastic integer program to dynamically locate facilities in each period and compare it with a two-stage approach that determines the facility locations up front. In the multistage model, in each stage, a decision maker optimizes facility locations and recourse flows from open facilities to demand sites, to minimize certain risk measures of the cost associated with current facility location and shipment decisions. When the budget is also uncertain, a popular modeling framework is to prioritize the candidate sites. In the two-stage model, the priority list is decided in advance and fixed through all periods, while in the multistage model, the priority list can change adaptively. In each period, the decision maker follows the priority list to open facilities according to the realized budget, and optimizes recourse flows given the realized demand. Using expected conditional risk measures (ECRMs), we derive tight lower bounds for the gaps between the optimal objective values of risk-averse multistage models and their two-stage counterparts in both settings with and without prioritization. Moreover, we propose two approximation algorithms to efficiently solve risk-averse two-stage and multistage models without prioritization, which are asymptotically optimal under an expanding market assumption. We also design a set of super-valid inequalities for risk-averse two-stage and multistage stochastic programs with prioritization to reduce the computational time. We conduct numerical studies using both randomly generated and real-world instances with diverse sizes, to demonstrate the tightness of the analytical bounds and efficacy of the approximation algorithms and prioritization cuts