Empirically Derived Suitability Maps to Downscale Aggregated Land Use Data

Understanding mechanisms that drive present land use patterns is essential in order to derive appropriate models of land use change. When static analyses of land use drivers are performed, they rarely explicitly deal with spatial autocorrelation. Most studies are undertaken on autocorrelation-free data samples. By doing this, a great deal of information that is present in the dataset is lost. This paper presents a spatially explicit, cross-sectional, logistic analysis of land use drivers in Belgium. It is shown that purely regressive logistic models can only identify trends or global relationships between socio-economic or physico-climatic drivers and the precise location of each land use type. However, when the goal of a study is to obtain the best model of land use distribution, a purely autoregressive (or neighbourhood-based) model is appropriate. Moreover, it is also concluded that a neighbourhood based only on the 8 surrounding cells leads to the best logistic regression models at this scale of observation. This statement is valid for each land use type studied – i.e. built-up, forests, cropland and grassland.

Endogenous space in the Net era

Libre Software communities are among the most interesting and advanced socio-economic laboratories on the Net. In terms of directions of Regional Science research, this paper addresses a simple question: “Is the socio-economics of digital nets out of scope for Regional Science, or might the latter expand to a cybergeography of digitally enhanced territories ?” As for most simple questions, answers are neither so obvious nor easy. The authors start drafting one in a positive sense, focussing upon a file rouge running across the paper: endogenous spaces woven by socio-economic processes. The drafted answer declines on an Evolutionary Location Theory formulation, together with two computational modelling views. Keywords: Complex networks, Computational modelling, Economics of Internet, Endogenous spaces, Evolutionary location theory, Free or Libre Software, Path dependence, Positionality.

Challenges in network science: Applications to infrastructures, climate, social systems and economics

Network theory has become one of the most visible theoretical frameworks that can be applied to the description, analysis, understanding, design and repair of multi-level complex systems. Complex networks occur everywhere, in man-made and human social systems, in organic and inorganic matter, from nano to macro scales, and in natural and anthropogenic structures. New applications are developed at an ever-increasing rate and the promise for future growth is high, since increasingly we interact with one another within these vital and complex environments. Despite all the great successes of this field, crucial aspects of multi-level complex systems have been largely ignored. Important challenges of network science are to take into account many of these missing realistic features such as strong coupling between networks (networks are not isolated), the dynamics of networks (networks are not static), interrelationships between structure, dynamics and function of networks, interdependencies in given networks (and other classes of links, including different signs of interactions), and spatial properties (including geographical aspects) of networks. This aim of this paper is to introduce and discuss the challenges that future network science needs to address, and how different disciplines will be accordingly affected. Graphical abstrac

Rhythms and Evolution: Effects of Timing on Survival

The evolution of metabolism regulation is an intertwined process, where different strategies are constantly being developed towards a cognitive ability to perceive and respond to an environment. Organisms depend on an orchestration of a complex set of chemical reactions: maintaining homeostasis with a changing environment, while simultaneously sending material and energetic resources to where they are needed. The success of an organism requires efficient metabolic regulation, highlighting the connection between evolution, population dynamics and the underlying biochemistry. In this work, I represent organisms as coupled information-processing networks, that is, gene-regulatory networks receiving signals from the environment and acting on chemical reactions, eventually affecting material flows. I discuss the mechanisms through which metabolism control is improved during evolution and how the nonlinearities of competition influence this solution-searching process. The propagation of the populations through the resulting landscapes generally point to the role of the rhythm of cell division as an essential phenotypic feature driving evolution. Subsequently, as it naturally follows, different representations of organisms as oscillators are constructed to indicate more precisely how the interplay between competition, maturation timing and cell-division synchronisation affects the expected evolutionary outcomes, not always leading to the \"survival of the fastest\"

Challenges in network science: Applications to infrastructures, climate, social systems and economics

Network theory has become one of the most visible theoretical frameworks that can be applied to the description, analysis, understanding, design and repair of multi-level complex systems. Complex networks occur everywhere, in man-made and human social systems, in organic and inorganic matter, from nano to macro scales, and in natural and anthropogenic structures. New applications are developed at an ever-increasing rate and the promise for future growth is high, since increasingly we interact with one another within these vital and complex environments. Despite all the great successes of this field, crucial aspects of multi-level complex systems have been largely ignored. Important challenges of network science are to take into account many of these missing realistic features such as strong coupling between networks (networks are not isolated), the dynamics of networks (networks are not static), interrelationships between structure, dynamics and function of networks, interdependencies in given networks (and other classes of links, including different signs of interactions), and spatial properties (including geographical aspects) of networks. This aim of this paper is to introduce and discuss the challenges that future network science needs to address, and how different disciplines will be accordingly affected

Complex and Adaptive Dynamical Systems: A Primer

An thorough introduction is given at an introductory level to the field of quantitative complex system science, with special emphasis on emergence in dynamical systems based on network topologies. Subjects treated include graph theory and small-world networks, a generic introduction to the concepts of dynamical system theory, random Boolean networks, cellular automata and self-organized criticality, the statistical modeling of Darwinian evolution, synchronization phenomena and an introduction to the theory of cognitive systems. It inludes chapter on Graph Theory and Small-World Networks, Chaos, Bifurcations and Diffusion, Complexity and Information Theory, Random Boolean Networks, Cellular Automata and Self-Organized Criticality, Darwinian evolution, Hypercycles and Game Theory, Synchronization Phenomena and Elements of Cognitive System Theory.Comment: unformatted version of the textbook; published in Springer, Complexity Series (2008, second edition 2010

Advances in Rule-based Modeling: Compartments, Energy, and Hybrid Simulation, with Application to Sepsis and Cell Signaling

Biological systems are commonly modeled as reaction networks, which describe the system at the resolution of biochemical species. Cellular systems, however, are governed by events at a finer scale: local interactions among macromolecular domains. The multi-domain structure of macromolecules, combined with the local nature of interactions, can lead to a combinatorial explosion that pushes reaction network methods to their limits. As an alternative, rule-based models (RBMs) describe the domain-based structure and local interactions found in biological systems. Molecular complexes are represented by graphs: functional domains as vertices, macromolecules as groupings of vertices, and molecular bonding as edges. Reaction rules, which describe classes of reactions, govern local modifications to molecular graphs, such as binding, post-translational modification, and degradation. RBMs can be transformed to equivalent reaction networks and simulated by differential or stochastic methods, or simulated directly with a network-free approach that avoids the problem of combinatorial complexity. Although RBMs and network-free methods resolve many problems in systems modeling, challenges remain. I address three challenges here: (i) managing model complexity due to cooperative interactions, (ii) representing biochemical systems in the compartmental setting of cells and organisms, and (iii) reducing the memory burden of large-scale network-free simulations. First, I present a general theory of energy-based modeling within the BioNetGen framework. Free energy is computed under a pattern-based formalism, and contextual variations within reaction classes are enumerated automatically. Next, I extend the BioNetGen language to permit description of compartmentalized biochemical systems, with treatment of volumes, surfaces and transport. Finally, a hybrid particle/population method is developed to reduce memory requirements of network-free simulations. All methods are implemented and available as part of BioNetGen. The remainder of this work presents an application to sepsis and inflammation. A multi-organ model of peritoneal infection and systemic inflammation is constructed and calibrated to experiment. Extra-corporeal blood purification, a potential treatment for sepsis, is explored in silico. Model simulations demonstrate that removal of blood cytokines and chemokines is a sufficient mechanism for improved survival in sepsis. However, differences between model predictions and the latest experimental data suggest directions for further exploration