Tensor Completion for Weakly-dependent Data on Graph for Metro Passenger Flow Prediction

Low-rank tensor decomposition and completion have attracted significant interest from academia given the ubiquity of tensor data. However, the low-rank structure is a global property, which will not be fulfilled when the data presents complex and weak dependencies given specific graph structures. One particular application that motivates this study is the spatiotemporal data analysis. As shown in the preliminary study, weakly dependencies can worsen the low-rank tensor completion performance. In this paper, we propose a novel low-rank CANDECOMP / PARAFAC (CP) tensor decomposition and completion framework by introducing the $L_{1}$-norm penalty and Graph Laplacian penalty to model the weakly dependency on graph. We further propose an efficient optimization algorithm based on the Block Coordinate Descent for efficient estimation. A case study based on the metro passenger flow data in Hong Kong is conducted to demonstrate improved performance over the regular tensor completion methods.Comment: Accepted at AAAI 202

Networked Time Series Prediction with Incomplete Data

A networked time series (NETS) is a family of time series on a given graph, one for each node. It has a wide range of applications from intelligent transportation, environment monitoring to smart grid management. An important task in such applications is to predict the future values of a NETS based on its historical values and the underlying graph. Most existing methods require complete data for training. However, in real-world scenarios, it is not uncommon to have missing data due to sensor malfunction, incomplete sensing coverage, etc. In this paper, we study the problem of NETS prediction with incomplete data. We propose NETS-ImpGAN, a novel deep learning framework that can be trained on incomplete data with missing values in both history and future. Furthermore, we propose Graph Temporal Attention Networks, which incorporate the attention mechanism to capture both inter-time series and temporal correlations. We conduct extensive experiments on four real-world datasets under different missing patterns and missing rates. The experimental results show that NETS-ImpGAN outperforms existing methods, reducing the MAE by up to 25%

Choose A Table: Tensor Dirichlet Process Multinomial Mixture Model with Graphs for Passenger Trajectory Clustering

Passenger clustering based on trajectory records is essential for transportation operators. However, existing methods cannot easily cluster the passengers due to the hierarchical structure of the passenger trip information, including multiple trips within each passenger and multi-dimensional information about each trip. Furthermore, existing approaches rely on an accurate specification of the clustering number to start. Finally, existing methods do not consider spatial semantic graphs such as geographical proximity and functional similarity between the locations. In this paper, we propose a novel tensor Dirichlet Process Multinomial Mixture model with graphs, which can preserve the hierarchical structure of the multi-dimensional trip information and cluster them in a unified one-step manner with the ability to determine the number of clusters automatically. The spatial graphs are utilized in community detection to link the semantic neighbors. We further propose a tensor version of Collapsed Gibbs Sampling method with a minimum cluster size requirement. A case study based on Hong Kong metro passenger data is conducted to demonstrate the automatic process of cluster amount evolution and better cluster quality measured by within-cluster compactness and cross-cluster separateness. The code is available at https://github.com/bonaldli/TensorDPMM-G.Comment: Accepted in ACM SIGSPATIAL 2023. arXiv admin note: substantial text overlap with arXiv:2306.1379

Modeling Heterogeneous Relations across Multiple Modes for Potential Crowd Flow Prediction

Potential crowd flow prediction for new planned transportation sites is a fundamental task for urban planners and administrators. Intuitively, the potential crowd flow of the new coming site can be implied by exploring the nearby sites. However, the transportation modes of nearby sites (e.g. bus stations, bicycle stations) might be different from the target site (e.g. subway station), which results in severe data scarcity issues. To this end, we propose a data driven approach, named MOHER, to predict the potential crowd flow in a certain mode for a new planned site. Specifically, we first identify the neighbor regions of the target site by examining the geographical proximity as well as the urban function similarity. Then, to aggregate these heterogeneous relations, we devise a cross-mode relational GCN, a novel relation-specific transformation model, which can learn not only the correlations but also the differences between different transportation modes. Afterward, we design an aggregator for inductive potential flow representation. Finally, an LTSM module is used for sequential flow prediction. Extensive experiments on real-world data sets demonstrate the superiority of the MOHER framework compared with the state-of-the-art algorithms.Comment: Accepted by the 35th AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI 2021

Spatiotemporal Tensor Completion for Improved Urban Traffic Imputation

Effective management of urban traffic is important for any smart city initiative. Therefore, the quality of the sensory traffic data is of paramount importance. However, like any sensory data, urban traffic data are prone to imperfections leading to missing measurements. In this paper, we focus on inter-region traffic data completion. We model the inter-region traffic as a spatiotemporal tensor that suffers from missing measurements. To recover the missing data, we propose an enhanced CANDECOMP/PARAFAC (CP) completion approach that considers the urban and temporal aspects of the traffic. To derive the urban characteristics, we divide the area of study into regions. Then, for each region, we compute urban feature vectors inspired from biodiversity which are used to compute the urban similarity matrix. To mine the temporal aspect, we first conduct an entropy analysis to determine the most regular time-series. Then, we conduct a joint Fourier and correlation analysis to compute its periodicity and construct the temporal matrix. Both urban and temporal matrices are fed into a modified CP-completion objective function. To solve this objective, we propose an alternating least square approach that operates on the vectorized version of the inputs. We conduct comprehensive comparative study with two evaluation scenarios. In the first one, we simulate random missing values. In the second scenario, we simulate missing values at a given area and time duration. Our results demonstrate that our approach provides effective recovering performance reaching 26% improvement compared to state-of-art CP approaches and 35% compared to state-of-art generative model-based approaches

Tensor-variate machine learning on graphs

Traditional machine learning algorithms are facing significant challenges as the world enters the era of big data, with a dramatic expansion in volume and range of applications and an increase in the variety of data sources. The large- and multi-dimensional nature of data often increases the computational costs associated with their processing and raises the risks of model over-fitting - a phenomenon known as the curse of dimensionality. To this end, tensors have become a subject of great interest in the data analytics community, owing to their remarkable ability to super-compress high-dimensional data into a low-rank format, while retaining the original data structure and interpretability. This leads to a significant reduction in computational costs, from an exponential complexity to a linear one in the data dimensions. An additional challenge when processing modern big data is that they often reside on irregular domains and exhibit relational structures, which violates the regular grid assumptions of traditional machine learning models. To this end, there has been an increasing amount of research in generalizing traditional learning algorithms to graph data. This allows for the processing of graph signals while accounting for the underlying relational structure, such as user interactions in social networks, vehicle flows in traffic networks, transactions in supply chains, chemical bonds in proteins, and trading data in financial networks, to name a few. Although promising results have been achieved in these fields, there is a void in literature when it comes to the conjoint treatment of tensors and graphs for data analytics. Solutions in this area are increasingly urgent, as modern big data is both large-dimensional and irregular in structure. To this end, the goal of this thesis is to explore machine learning methods that can fully exploit the advantages of both tensors and graphs. In particular, the following approaches are introduced: (i) Graph-regularized tensor regression framework for modelling high-dimensional data while accounting for the underlying graph structure; (ii) Tensor-algebraic approach for computing efficient convolution on graphs; (iii) Graph tensor network framework for designing neural learning systems which is both general enough to describe most existing neural network architectures and flexible enough to model large-dimensional data on any and many irregular domains. The considered frameworks were employed in several real-world applications, including air quality forecasting, protein classification, and financial modelling. Experimental results validate the advantages of the proposed methods, which achieved better or comparable performance against state-of-the-art models. Additionally, these methods benefit from increased interpretability and reduced computational costs, which are crucial for tackling the challenges posed by the era of big data.Open Acces

STGC-GNNs: A GNN-based traffic prediction framework with a spatial-temporal Granger causality graph

The key to traffic prediction is to accurately depict the temporal dynamics of traffic flow traveling in a road network, so it is important to model the spatial dependence of the road network. The essence of spatial dependence is to accurately describe how traffic information transmission is affected by other nodes in the road network, and the GNN-based traffic prediction model, as a benchmark for traffic prediction, has become the most common method for the ability to model spatial dependence by transmitting traffic information with the message passing mechanism. However, existing methods model a local and static spatial dependence, which cannot transmit the global-dynamic traffic information (GDTi) required for long-term prediction. The challenge is the difficulty of detecting the precise transmission of GDTi due to the uncertainty of individual transport, especially for long-term transmission. In this paper, we propose a new hypothesis\: GDTi behaves macroscopically as a transmitting causal relationship (TCR) underlying traffic flow, which remains stable under dynamic changing traffic flow. We further propose spatial-temporal Granger causality (STGC) to express TCR, which models global and dynamic spatial dependence. To model global transmission, we model the causal order and causal lag of TCRs global transmission by a spatial-temporal alignment algorithm. To capture dynamic spatial dependence, we approximate the stable TCR underlying dynamic traffic flow by a Granger causality test. The experimental results on three backbone models show that using STGC to model the spatial dependence has better results than the original model for 45 min and 1 h long-term prediction.Comment: 14 pages, 16 figures, 4 table

Correlating sparse sensing for large-scale traffic speed estimation: A Laplacian-enhanced low-rank tensor kriging approach

Traffic speed is central to characterizing the fluidity of the road network. Many transportation applications rely on it, such as real-time navigation, dynamic route planning, and congestion management. Rapid advances in sensing and communication techniques make traffic speed detection easier than ever. However, due to sparse deployment of static sensors or low penetration of mobile sensors, speeds detected are incomplete and far from network-wide use. In addition, sensors are prone to error or missing data due to various kinds of reasons, speeds from these sensors can become highly noisy. These drawbacks call for effective techniques to recover credible estimates from the incomplete data. In this work, we first identify the issue as a spatiotemporal kriging problem and propose a Laplacian enhanced low-rank tensor completion (LETC) framework featuring both lowrankness and multi-dimensional correlations for large-scale traffic speed kriging under limited observations. To be specific, three types of speed correlation including temporal continuity, temporal periodicity, and spatial proximity are carefully chosen and simultaneously modeled by three different forms of graph Laplacian, named temporal graph Fourier transform, generalized temporal consistency regularization, and diffusion graph regularization. We then design an efficient solution algorithm via several effective numeric techniques to scale up the proposed model to network-wide kriging. By performing experiments on two public million-level traffic speed datasets, we finally draw the conclusion and find our proposed LETC achieves the state-of-the-art kriging performance even under low observation rates, while at the same time saving more than half computing time compared with baseline methods. Some insights into spatiotemporal traffic data modeling and kriging at the network level are provided as well