Airline Disruption Recovery Using Symbiotic Simulation and Multi-fidelity Modelling

The airlines industry is prone to disruption due to various causes. Whilst an airline may not be able to control the causes of disruption, it can reduce the impact of a disruptive event, such as a mechanical failure, with its response by revising the schedule. Potential actions include swapping aircraft, delaying flights and cancellations. This paper will present our research into how symbiotic simulation could potentially be used to improve the response to a disruptive event by evaluating potential revised schedules. Due to the large solution space, exhaustive searches are infeasible. Our research is investigating the use of multi-fidelity models to help guide the search of the optimisation algorithm, leading to good solutions being generated within the time constraints of disruption management

The Role of Robots and Automation in Space

Advanced space transportation systems based on the shuttle and interim upper stage will open the way to the use of large-scale industrial and commercial systems in space. The role of robot and automation technology in the cost-effective implementation and operation of such systems in the next two decades is discussed. Planning studies initiated by NASA are described as applied to space exploration, global services, and space industrialization, and a forecast of potential missions in each category is presented. The appendix lists highlights of space robot technology from 1967 to the present

Toward a Bio-Inspired System Architecting Framework: Simulation of the Integration of Autonomous Bus Fleets & Alternative Fuel Infrastructures in Closed Sociotechnical Environments

Cities are set to become highly interconnected and coordinated environments composed of emerging technologies meant to alleviate or resolve some of the daunting issues of the 21st century such as rapid urbanization, resource scarcity, and excessive population demand in urban centers. These cybernetically-enabled built environments are expected to solve these complex problems through the use of technologies that incorporate sensors and other data collection means to fuse and understand large sums of data/information generated from other technologies and its human population. Many of these technologies will be pivotal assets in supporting and managing capabilities in various city sectors ranging from energy to healthcare. However, among these sectors, a significant amount of attention within the recent decade has been in the transportation sector due to the flood of new technological growth and cultivation, which is currently seeing extensive research, development, and even implementation of emerging technologies such as autonomous vehicles (AVs), the Internet of Things (IoT), alternative xxxvi fueling sources, clean propulsion technologies, cloud/edge computing, and many other technologies. Within the current body of knowledge, it is fairly well known how many of these emerging technologies will perform in isolation as stand-alone entities, but little is known about their performance when integrated into a transportation system with other emerging technologies and humans within the system organization. This merging of new age technologies and humans can make analyzing next generation transportation systems extremely complex to understand. Additionally, with new and alternative forms of technologies expected to come in the near-future, one can say that the quantity of technologies, especially in the smart city context, will consist of a continuously expanding array of technologies whose capabilities will increase with technological advancements, which can change the performance of a given system architecture. Therefore, the objective of this research is to understand the system architecture implications of integrating different alternative fueling infrastructures with autonomous bus (AB) fleets in the transportation system within a closed sociotechnical environment. By being able to understand the system architecture implications of alternative fueling infrastructures and AB fleets, this could provide performance-based input into a more sophisticated approach or framework which is proposed as a future work of this research

Air Force Institute of Technology Research Report 2005

This report summarizes the research activities of the Air Force Institute of Technology’s Graduate School of Engineering and Management. It describes research interests and faculty expertise; lists student theses/dissertations; identifies research sponsors and contributions; and outlines the procedures for contacting the school. Included in the report are: faculty publications, conference presentations, consultations, and funded research projects. Research was conducted in the areas of Aeronautical and Astronautical Engineering, Electrical Engineering and Electro-Optics, Computer Engineering and Computer Science, Systems and Engineering Management, Operational Sciences, and Engineering Physics

Multi-fidelity modelling approach for airline disruption management using simulation

Disruption to airline schedules is a key issue for the industry. There are various causes for disruption, ranging from weather events through to technical problems grounding aircraft. Delays can quickly propagate through a schedule, leading to high financial and reputational costs. Mitigating the impact of a disruption by adjusting the schedule is a high priority for the airlines. The problem involves rearranging aircraft, crew and passengers, often with large fleets and many uncertain elements. The multiple objectives, cost, delay and minimising schedule alterations, create a trade-off. In addition, the new schedule should be achievable without over-promising. This thesis considers the rescheduling of aircraft, the Aircraft Recovery Problem. The Aircraft Recovery Problem is well studied, though the literature mostly focusses on deterministic approaches, capable of modelling the complexity of the industry but with limited ability to capture the inherent uncertainty. Simulation offers a natural modelling framework, handling both the complexity and variability. However, the combinatorial aircraft allocation constraints are difficult for many simulation optimisation approaches, suggesting that a more tailored approach is required. This thesis proposes a two-stage multi-fidelity modelling approach, combining a low-fidelity Integer Program and a simulation. The deterministic Integer Program allocates aircraft to flights and gives an initial estimate of the delay of each flight. By solving in a multi-objective manner, it can quickly produce a set of promising solutions representing different trade-offs between disruption costs, total delay and the number of schedule alterations. The simulation is used to evaluate the candidate solutions and look for further local improvement. The aircraft allocation is fixed whilst a local search is performed over the flight delays, a continuous valued problem, aiming reduce costs. This is done by developing an adapted version of STRONG, a stochastic trust-region approach. The extension incorporates experimental design principles and projected gradient steps into STRONG to enable it to handle bound constraints. This method is demonstrated and evaluated with computational experiments on a set of disruptions with different fleet sizes and different numbers of disrupted aircraft. The results suggest that this multi-fidelity combination can produce good solutions to the Aircraft Recovery Problem. A more theoretical treatment of the extended trust-region simulation optimisation is also presented. The conditions under which a guarantee of the algorithm's asymptotic performance may be possible and a framework for proving these guarantees is presented. Some of the work towards this is discussed and we highlight where further work is required. This multi-fidelity approach could be used to implement a simulation-based decision support system for real-time disruption handling. The use of simulation for operational decisions raises the issue of how to evaluate a simulation-based tool and its predictions. It is argued that this is not a straightforward question of the real-world result being good or bad, as natural system variability can mask the results. This problem is formalised and a method is proposed for detecting systematic errors that could lead to poor decision making. The method is based on the Probability Integral Transformation using the simulation Empirical Cumulative Distribution Function and goodness of fit hypothesis tests for uniformity. This method is tested by applying it to the airline disruption problem previously discussed. Another simulation acts as a proxy real world, which deviates from the simulation in the runway service times. The results suggest that the method has high power when the deviations have a high impact on the performance measure of interest (more than 20%), but low power when the impact is less than 5%

Advancing Climate Change Research and Hydrocarbon Leak Detection : by Combining Dissolved Carbon Dioxide and Methane Measurements with ADCP Data

With the emergence of largescale, comprehensive environmental monitoring projects, there is an increased need to combine state-of-the art technologies to address complicated problems such as ocean acidifi cation and hydrocarbon leak detection

Air Force Institute of Technology Research Report 2012

This report summarizes the research activities of the Air Force Institute of Technology’s Graduate School of Engineering and Management. It describes research interests and faculty expertise; lists student theses/dissertations; identifies research sponsors and contributions; and outlines the procedures for contacting the school. Included in the report are: faculty publications, conference presentations, consultations, and funded research projects. Research was conducted in the areas of Aeronautical and Astronautical Engineering, Electrical Engineering and Electro-Optics, Computer Engineering and Computer Science, Systems and Engineering Management, Operational Sciences, Mathematics, Statistics and Engineering Physics