248 research outputs found

    Uncertainty Aversion and Backward Induction

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    In the context of the centipede game this paper discusses a solution concept for extensive games that is based on subgame perfection and uncertainty aversion. Players who deviate from the equilibrium path are considered non- rational. Rational players who face non-rational opponents face genuine uncertainty and may have non-additive beliefs about their future play. Rational players are boundedly uncertainty averse and maximise Choquet expected utility. It is shown that if the centipede game is sufficiently long, then the equilibrium strategy is to play `Across' early in the game and to play `Down' late in the game.

    An Analysis of a Simple Reinforcement Dynamics: Learning to Play an "Egalitarian" Equilibrium

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    The paper analyses a simple reinforcing dynamics. The dynamics can be interpreted as a learning dynamics with fixed aspiration level. All payoffs are assumed to be above this aspiration level, therefore all strategies are reinforcing. Different versions of the dynamics exhibit different convergence properties. The analysis starts with one-agent decision problems and proceeds to games. Some results are available for decision problems and simple games. For complex games computer simulations are performed. The hypothesis is that the dynamics favors an "egalitarian" equilibrium even if it does not satisfy other refinements.Equilibrium selection;stochastic learning;bounded rationality

    Non-cooperative Games

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    Non-cooperative games are mathematical models of interactive strategic decision situations.In contrast to cooperative models, they build on the assumption that all possibilities for commitment and contract have been incorporated in the rules of the game.This contribution describes the main models (games in normal form, and games in extensive form), as well as the main concepts that have been proposed to solve these games.Solution concepts predict the outcomes that might arise when the game is played by "rational" individuals, or after learning processes have converged.Most of these solution concepts are variations of the equilibrium concept that was proposed by John Nash in the 1950s, a Nash equilibrium being a combination of strategies such that no player can improve his payoff by deviating unilaterally.The paper also discusses the justifications of these concepts and concludes with remarks about the applicability of game theory in contexts where players are less than fully rational.noncooperative games

    Non-cooperative games.

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    - CONTINUOUS-TIME EVOLUTIONARY DYNAMICS: THEORY AND PRACTICE

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    This paper surveys some recent developments in the literature which studies continuous-timeevolutionary dynamics in the context of economic modeling.Evolutionary Game Theory, Equilibrium Analysis, Bounded Rationality
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