Extended Kalman filtering with stochastic nonlinearities and multiple missing measurements

Copyright @ 2012 ElsevierIn this paper, the extended Kalman filtering problem is investigated for a class of nonlinear systems with multiple missing measurements over a finite horizon. Both deterministic and stochastic nonlinearities are included in the system model, where the stochastic nonlinearities are described by statistical means that could reflect the multiplicative stochastic disturbances. The phenomenon of measurement missing occurs in a random way and the missing probability for each sensor is governed by an individual random variable satisfying a certain probability distribution over the interval [0,1]. Such a probability distribution is allowed to be any commonly used distribution over the interval [0,1] with known conditional probability. The aim of the addressed filtering problem is to design a filter such that, in the presence of both the stochastic nonlinearities and multiple missing measurements, there exists an upper bound for the filtering error covariance. Subsequently, such an upper bound is minimized by properly designing the filter gain at each sampling instant. It is shown that the desired filter can be obtained in terms of the solutions to two Riccati-like difference equations that are of a form suitable for recursive computation in online applications. An illustrative example is given to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed filter design scheme.This work was supported in part by the National 973 Project under Grant 2009CB320600, National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grants 61028008, 61134009 and 60825303, the State Key Laboratory of Integrated Automation for the Process Industry (Northeastern University) of China, the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) of the U.K. under Grant GR/S27658/01, the Royal Society of the U.K., and the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation of Germany

Neural ODEs with stochastic vector field mixtures

It was recently shown that neural ordinary differential equation models cannot solve fundamental and seemingly straightforward tasks even with high-capacity vector field representations. This paper introduces two other fundamental tasks to the set that baseline methods cannot solve, and proposes mixtures of stochastic vector fields as a model class that is capable of solving these essential problems. Dynamic vector field selection is of critical importance for our model, and our approach is to propagate component uncertainty over the integration interval with a technique based on forward filtering. We also formalise several loss functions that encourage desirable properties on the trajectory paths, and of particular interest are those that directly encourage fewer expected function evaluations. Experimentally, we demonstrate that our model class is capable of capturing the natural dynamics of human behaviour; a notoriously volatile application area. Baseline approaches cannot adequately model this problem

Mathematical control of complex systems

Copyright © 2013 ZidongWang et al.This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Level Set Methods for Stochastic Discontinuity Detection in Nonlinear Problems

Stochastic physical problems governed by nonlinear conservation laws are challenging due to solution discontinuities in stochastic and physical space. In this paper, we present a level set method to track discontinuities in stochastic space by solving a Hamilton-Jacobi equation. By introducing a speed function that vanishes at discontinuities, the iso-zero of the level set problem coincide with the discontinuities of the conservation law. The level set problem is solved on a sequence of successively finer grids in stochastic space. The method is adaptive in the sense that costly evaluations of the conservation law of interest are only performed in the vicinity of the discontinuities during the refinement stage. In regions of stochastic space where the solution is smooth, a surrogate method replaces expensive evaluations of the conservation law. The proposed method is tested in conjunction with different sets of localized orthogonal basis functions on simplex elements, as well as frames based on piecewise polynomials conforming to the level set function. The performance of the proposed method is compared to existing adaptive multi-element generalized polynomial chaos methods