An Evolutionary Neural Network Approach for Slopes Stability Assessment

A current big challenge for developed or developing countries is how to keep large-scale transportation infrastructure networks operational under all conditions. Network extensions and budgetary constraints for maintenance purposes are among the main factors that make transportation network management a non-trivial task. On the other hand, the high number of parameters affecting the stability condition of engineered slopes makes their assessment even more complex and difficult to accomplish. Aiming to help achieve the more efficient management of such an important element of modern society, a first attempt at the development of a classification system for rock and soil cuttings, as well as embankments based on visual features, was made in this paper using soft computing algorithms. The achieved results, although interesting, nevertheless have some important limitations to their successful use as auxiliary tools for transportation network management tasks. Accordingly, we carried out new experiments through the combination of modern optimization and soft computing algorithms. Thus, one of the main challenges to overcome is related to the selection of the best set of input features for a feedforward neural network for earthwork hazard category (EHC) identification. We applied a genetic algorithm (GA) for this purpose. Another challenging task is related to the asymmetric distribution of the data (since typically good conditions are much more common than bad ones). To address this question, three training sampling approaches were explored: no resampling, the synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE), and oversampling. Some relevant observations were taken from the optimization process, namely, the identification of which variables are more frequently selected for EHC identification. After finding the most efficient models, a detailed sensitivity analysis was applied over the selected models, allowing us to measure the relative importance of each attribute in EHC identification

Advances in Data-Driven Modeling and Global Optimization of Constrained Grey-Box Computational Systems

The effort to mimic a chemical plant’s operations or to design and operate a completely new technology in silico is a highly studied research field under process systems engineering. As the rising computation power allows us to simulate and model systems in greater detail through careful consideration of the underlying phenomena, the increasing use of complex simulation software and generation of multi-scale models that spans over multiple length and time scales calls for computationally efficient solution strategies that can handle problems with different complexities and characteristics. This work presents theoretical and algorithmic advancements for a range of challenging classes of mathematical programming problems through introducing new data-driven hybrid modeling and optimization strategies. First, theoretical and algorithmic advances for bi-level programming, multi-objective optimization, problems containing stiff differential algebraic equations, and nonlinear programming problems are presented. Each advancement is accompanied with an application from the grand challenges faced in the engineering domain including, food-energy-water nexus considerations, energy systems design with economic and environmental considerations, thermal cracking of natural gas liquids, and oil production optimization. Second, key modeling challenges in environmental and biomedical systems are addressed through employing advanced data analysis techniques. Chemical contaminants created during environmental emergencies, such as hurricanes, pose environmental and health related risks for exposure. The goal of this work is to alleviate challenges associated with understanding contaminant characteristics, their redistribution, and their biological potential through the use of data analytics

Modification of stochastic ground motion models for matching target intensity measures

Stochastic ground motion models produce synthetic time‐histories by modulating a white noise sequence through functions that address spectral and temporal properties of the excitation. The resultant ground motions can be then used in simulation‐based seismic risk assessment applications. This is established by relating the parameters of the aforementioned functions to earthquake and site characteristics through predictive relationships. An important concern related to the use of these models is the fact that through current approaches in selecting these predictive relationships, compatibility to the seismic hazard is not guaranteed. This work offers a computationally efficient framework for the modification of stochastic ground motion models to match target intensity measures (IMs) for a specific site and structure of interest. This is set as an optimization problem with a dual objective. The first objective minimizes the discrepancy between the target IMs and the predictions established through the stochastic ground motion model for a chosen earthquake scenario. The second objective constraints the deviation from the model characteristics suggested by existing predictive relationships, guaranteeing that the resultant ground motions not only match the target IMs but are also compatible with regional trends. A framework leveraging kriging surrogate modeling is formulated for performing the resultant multi‐objective optimization, and different computational aspects related to this optimization are discussed in detail. The illustrative implementation shows that the proposed framework can provide ground motions with high compatibility to target IMs with small only deviation from existing predictive relationships and discusses approaches for selecting a final compromise between these two competing objectives

Evolutionary multiobjective optimization for automatic agent-based model calibration: A comparative study

This work was supported by the Spanish Agencia Estatal de Investigacion, the Andalusian Government, the University of Granada, and European Regional Development Funds (ERDF) under Grants EXASOCO (PGC2018-101216-B-I00), SIMARK (P18-TP-4475), and AIMAR (A-TIC-284-UGR18). Manuel Chica was also supported by the Ramon y Cajal program (RYC-2016-19800).The authors would like to thank the ``Centro de Servicios de Informática y Redes de Comunicaciones'' (CSIRC), University of Granada, for providing the computing resources (Alhambra supercomputer).Complex problems can be analyzed by using model simulation but its use is not straight-forward since modelers must carefully calibrate and validate their models before using them. This is specially relevant for models considering multiple outputs as its calibration requires handling different criteria jointly. This can be achieved using automated calibration and evolutionary multiobjective optimization methods which are the state of the art in multiobjective optimization as they can find a set of representative Pareto solutions under these restrictions and in a single run. However, selecting the best algorithm for performing automated calibration can be overwhelming. We propose to deal with this issue by conducting an exhaustive analysis of the performance of several evolutionary multiobjective optimization algorithms when calibrating several instances of an agent-based model for marketing with multiple outputs. We analyze the calibration results using multiobjective performance indicators and attainment surfaces, including a statistical test for studying the significance of the indicator values, and benchmarking their performance with respect to a classical mathematical method. The results of our experimentation reflect that those algorithms based on decomposition perform significantly better than the remaining methods in most instances. Besides, we also identify how different properties of the problem instances (i.e., the shape of the feasible region, the shape of the Pareto front, and the increased dimensionality) erode the behavior of the algorithms to different degrees.Spanish Agencia Estatal de InvestigacionAndalusian GovernmentUniversity of GranadaEuropean Commission PGC2018-101216-B-I00 P18-TP-4475 A-TIC-284-UGR18Spanish Government RYC-2016-1980

Development and application of a framework for model structure evaluation in environmental modelling

In a fast developing world with an ever rising population, the pressures on our natural environment are continuously increasing, causing problems such as floods, water- and air pollution, droughts,... Insight in the driving mechanisms causing these threats is essential in order to properly mitigate these problems. During the last decades, mathematical models became an essential part of scientific research to better understand and predict natural phenomena. Notwithstanding the diversity of currently existing models and modelling frameworks, the identification of the most appropriate model structure for a given problem remains a research challenge. The latter is the main focus of this dissertation, which aims to improve current practices of model structure comparison and evaluation. This is done by making individual model decisions more transparent and explicitly testable. A diagnostic framework, focusing on a flexible and open model structure definition and specifying the requirements for future model developments, is described. Methods for model structure evaluation are documented, implemented, extended and applied on both respirometric and hydrological models. For the specific case of lumped hydrological models, the unity between apparently different models is illustrated. A schematic representation of these model structures provides a more transparent communication tool, while meeting the requirements of the diagnostic approach