Simulation-based Reliability Evaluation of Maintenance the Efficiency of A Repairable System

  The aim of this paper is to study the asymptotic behavior of the Arithmetic Reduction of Intensity (ARI) and Arithmetic Reduction of Age (ARA) models as two imperfect maintenance models. These models have been proposed by Doyen & Gaudoin (2011), the failure process with bathtub failure intensity. The maintenance effect is characterized by the change induced by the failure intensity before and after a failure during the degradation period. To simplify the study, the asymptotic properties of the failure process are derived. Then, the asymptotic normality of several maintenance efficiency estimators can be proved in the case where the failure process without maintenance is known. Practically, the coverage rate of the asymptotic confidence intervals issued from those estimators is studied

Networks and the epidemiology of infectious disease

The science of networks has revolutionised research into the dynamics of interacting elements. It could be argued that epidemiology in particular has embraced the potential of network theory more than any other discipline. Here we review the growing body of research concerning the spread of infectious diseases on networks, focusing on the interplay between network theory and epidemiology. The review is split into four main sections, which examine: the types of network relevant to epidemiology; the multitude of ways these networks can be characterised; the statistical methods that can be applied to infer the epidemiological parameters on a realised network; and finally simulation and analytical methods to determine epidemic dynamics on a given network. Given the breadth of areas covered and the ever-expanding number of publications, a comprehensive review of all work is impossible. Instead, we provide a personalised overview into the areas of network epidemiology that have seen the greatest progress in recent years or have the greatest potential to provide novel insights. As such, considerable importance is placed on analytical approaches and statistical methods which are both rapidly expanding fields. Throughout this review we restrict our attention to epidemiological issues