97,190 research outputs found
Contact patterns among high school students
Face-to-face contacts between individuals contribute to shape social networks
and play an important role in determining how infectious diseases can spread
within a population. It is thus important to obtain accurate and reliable
descriptions of human contact patterns occurring in various day-to-day life
contexts. Recent technological advances and the development of wearable sensors
able to sense proximity patterns have made it possible to gather data giving
access to time-varying contact networks of individuals in specific
environments. Here we present and analyze two such data sets describing with
high temporal resolution the contact patterns of students in a high school. We
define contact matrices describing the contact patterns between students of
different classes and show the importance of the class structure. We take
advantage of the fact that the two data sets were collected in the same setting
during several days in two successive years to perform a longitudinal analysis
on two very different timescales. We show the high stability of the contact
patterns across days and across years: the statistical distributions of numbers
and durations of contacts are the same in different periods, and we observe a
very high similarity of the contact matrices measured in different days or
different years. The rate of change of the contacts of each individual from one
day to the next is also similar in different years. We discuss the interest of
the present analysis and data sets for various fields, including in social
sciences in order to better understand and model human behavior and
interactions in different contexts, and in epidemiology in order to inform
models describing the spread of infectious diseases and design targeted
containment strategies.Comment: Supplementary Information at
http://s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/files.figshare.com/1677807/File_S1.pd
Tuning the average path length of complex networks and its influence to the emergent dynamics of the majority-rule model
We show how appropriate rewiring with the aid of Metropolis Monte Carlo
computational experiments can be exploited to create network topologies
possessing prescribed values of the average path length (APL) while keeping the
same connectivity degree and clustering coefficient distributions. Using the
proposed rewiring rules we illustrate how the emergent dynamics of the
celebrated majority-rule model are shaped by the distinct impact of the APL
attesting the need for developing efficient algorithms for tuning such network
characteristics.Comment: 10 figure
Predicting epidemic risk from past temporal contact data
Understanding how epidemics spread in a system is a crucial step to prevent
and control outbreaks, with broad implications on the system's functioning,
health, and associated costs. This can be achieved by identifying the elements
at higher risk of infection and implementing targeted surveillance and control
measures. One important ingredient to consider is the pattern of
disease-transmission contacts among the elements, however lack of data or
delays in providing updated records may hinder its use, especially for
time-varying patterns. Here we explore to what extent it is possible to use
past temporal data of a system's pattern of contacts to predict the risk of
infection of its elements during an emerging outbreak, in absence of updated
data. We focus on two real-world temporal systems; a livestock displacements
trade network among animal holdings, and a network of sexual encounters in
high-end prostitution. We define the node's loyalty as a local measure of its
tendency to maintain contacts with the same elements over time, and uncover
important non-trivial correlations with the node's epidemic risk. We show that
a risk assessment analysis incorporating this knowledge and based on past
structural and temporal pattern properties provides accurate predictions for
both systems. Its generalizability is tested by introducing a theoretical model
for generating synthetic temporal networks. High accuracy of our predictions is
recovered across different settings, while the amount of possible predictions
is system-specific. The proposed method can provide crucial information for the
setup of targeted intervention strategies.Comment: 24 pages, 5 figures + SI (18 pages, 15 figures
Communities and beyond: mesoscopic analysis of a large social network with complementary methods
Community detection methods have so far been tested mostly on small empirical
networks and on synthetic benchmarks. Much less is known about their
performance on large real-world networks, which nonetheless are a significant
target for application. We analyze the performance of three state-of-the-art
community detection methods by using them to identify communities in a large
social network constructed from mobile phone call records. We find that all
methods detect communities that are meaningful in some respects but fall short
in others, and that there often is a hierarchical relationship between
communities detected by different methods. Our results suggest that community
detection methods could be useful in studying the general mesoscale structure
of networks, as opposed to only trying to identify dense structures.Comment: 11 pages, 10 figures. V2: typos corrected, one sentence added. V3:
revised version, Appendix added. V4: final published versio
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Structural balance emerges and explains performance in risky decision-making.
Polarization affects many forms of social organization. A key issue focuses on which affective relationships are prone to change and how their change relates to performance. In this study, we analyze a financial institutional over a two-year period that employed 66 day traders, focusing on links between changes in affective relations and trading performance. Traders' affective relations were inferred from their IMs (>2 million messages) and trading performance was measured from profit and loss statements (>1 million trades). Here, we find that triads of relationships, the building blocks of larger social structures, have a propensity towards affective balance, but one unbalanced configuration resists change. Further, balance is positively related to performance. Traders with balanced networks have the "hot hand", showing streaks of high performance. Research implications focus on how changes in polarization relate to performance and polarized states can depolarize
Dynamical Patterns of Cattle Trade Movements
Despite their importance for the spread of zoonotic diseases, our
understanding of the dynamical aspects characterizing the movements of farmed
animal populations remains limited as these systems are traditionally studied
as static objects and through simplified approximations. By leveraging on the
network science approach, here we are able for the first time to fully analyze
the longitudinal dataset of Italian cattle movements that reports the mobility
of individual animals among farms on a daily basis. The complexity and
inter-relations between topology, function and dynamical nature of the system
are characterized at different spatial and time resolutions, in order to
uncover patterns and vulnerabilities fundamental for the definition of targeted
prevention and control measures for zoonotic diseases. Results show how the
stationarity of statistical distributions coexists with a strong and
non-trivial evolutionary dynamics at the node and link levels, on all
timescales. Traditional static views of the displacement network hide important
patterns of structural changes affecting nodes' centrality and farms' spreading
potential, thus limiting the efficiency of interventions based on partial
longitudinal information. By fully taking into account the longitudinal
dimension, we propose a novel definition of dynamical motifs that is able to
uncover the presence of a temporal arrow describing the evolution of the system
and the causality patterns of its displacements, shedding light on mechanisms
that may play a crucial role in the definition of preventive actions
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