Multi-layered Spiking Neural Network with Target Timestamp Threshold Adaptation and STDP

Spiking neural networks (SNNs) are good candidates to produce ultra-energy-efficient hardware. However, the performance of these models is currently behind traditional methods. Introducing multi-layered SNNs is a promising way to reduce this gap. We propose in this paper a new threshold adaptation system which uses a timestamp objective at which neurons should fire. We show that our method leads to state-of-the-art classification rates on the MNIST dataset (98.60%) and the Faces/Motorbikes dataset (99.46%) with an unsupervised SNN followed by a linear SVM. We also investigate the sparsity level of the network by testing different inhibition policies and STDP rules

Evaluation of Machine Learning Techniques for Inflow Prediction in Lake Como, Italy

Abstract Accurate streamflow prediction is a fundamental task for integrated water resources management and flood risk mitigation. The purpose of this study is to forecast the water inflow to lake Como, (Italy) using different machine learning algorithms. The forecast is done for different days ranging from one day to three days. These models are evaluated by three statistical measures including Mean Absolute Error, Root Mean Squared Error, and the Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency Coefficient. The experimental results show that Neural Network performs better for streamflow estimation with MAE and RMSE followed by Support Vector Regression and Random Forest

Hydrologic prediction using pattern recognition and soft-computing techniques

Several studies indicate that the data-driven models have proven to be potentially useful tools in hydrological modeling. Nevertheless, it is a common perception among researchers and practitioners that the usefulness of the system theoretic models is limited to forecast applications, and they cannot be used as a tool for scientific investigations. Also, the system-theoretic models are believed to be less reliable as they characterize the hydrological processes by learning the input-output patterns embedded in the dataset and not based on strong physical understanding of the system. It is imperative that the above concerns needs to be addressed before the data-driven models can gain wider acceptability by researchers and practitioners.In this research different methods and tools that can be adopted to promote transparency in the data-driven models are probed with the objective of extending the usefulness of data-driven models beyond forecast applications as a tools for scientific investigations, by providing additional insights into the underlying input-output patterns based on which the data-driven models arrive at a decision. In this regard, the utility of self-organizing networks (competitive learning and self-organizing maps) in learning the patterns in the input space is evaluated by developing a novel neural network model called the spiking modular neural networks (SMNNs). The performance of the SMNNs is evaluated based on its ability to characterize streamflows and actual evapotranspiration process. Also the utility of self-organizing algorithms, namely genetic programming (GP), is evaluated with regards to its ability to promote transparency in data-driven models. The robustness of the GP to evolve its own model structure with relevant parameters is illustrated by applying GP to characterize the actual-evapotranspiration process. The results from this research indicate that self-organization in learning, both in terms of self-organizing networks and self-organizing algorithms, could be adopted to promote transparency in data-driven models.In pursuit of improving the reliability of the data-driven models, different methods for incorporating uncertainty estimates as part of the data-driven model building exercise is evaluated in this research. The local-scale models are shown to be more reliable than the global-scale models in characterizing the saturated hydraulic conductivity of soils. In addition, in this research, the importance of model structure uncertainty in geophysical modeling is emphasized by developing a framework to account for the model structure uncertainty in geophysical modeling. The contribution of the model structure uncertainty to the predictive uncertainty of the model is shown to be larger than the uncertainty associated with the model parameters. Also it has been demonstrated that increasing the model complexity may lead to a better fit of the function, but at the cost of an increasing level of uncertainty. It is recommended that the effect of model structure uncertainty should be considered for developing reliable hydrological models

The Evolution, Analysis, and Design of Minimal Spiking Neural Networks for Temporal Pattern Recognition

All sensory stimuli are temporal in structure. How a pattern of action potentials encodes the information received from the sensory stimuli is an important research question in neurosciencce. Although it is clear that information is carried by the number or the timing of spikes, the information processing in the nervous system is poorly understood. The desire to understand information processing in the animal brain led to the development of spiking neural networks (SNNs). Understanding information processing in spiking neural networks may give us an insight into the information processing in the animal brain. One way to understand the mechanisms which enable SNNs to perform a computational task is to associate the structural connectivity of the network with the corresponding functional behaviour. This work demonstrates the structure-function mapping of spiking networks evolved (or handcrafted) for recognising temporal patterns. The SNNs are composed of simple yet biologically meaningful adaptive exponential integrate-and-fire (AdEx) neurons. The computational task can be described as identifying a subsequence of three signals (say ABC) in a random input stream of signals ("ABBBCCBABABCBBCAC"). The topology and connection weights of the networks are optimised using a genetic algorithm such that the network output spikes only for the correct input pattern and remains silent for all others. The fitness function rewards the network output for spiking after receiving the correct pattern and penalises spikes elsewhere. To analyse the effect of noise, two types of noise are introduced during evolution: (i) random fluctuations of the membrane potential of neurons in the network at every network step, (ii) random variations of the duration of the silent interval between input signals. It has been observed that evolution in the presence of noise produced networks that were robust to perturbation of neuronal parameters. Moreover, the networks also developed a form of memory, enabling them to maintain network states in the absence of input activity. It has been demonstrated that the network states of an evolved network have a one-to-one correspondence with the states of a finite-state transducer (FST) { a model of computation for time-structured data. The analysis of networks indicated that the task of recognition is accomplished by transitions between network states. Evolution may overproduce synaptic connections, pruning these superfluous connections pronounced structural similarities among individuals obtained from different independent runs. Moreover, the analysis of the pruned networks highlighted that memory is a property of self-excitation in the network. Neurons with self-excitatory loops (also called autapses) could sustain spiking activity indefinitely in the absence of input activity. To recognise a pattern of length n, a network requires n+1 network states, where n states are maintained actively with autapses and the penultimate state is maintained passively by no activity in the network. Simultaneously, the role of other connections in the network is identified. Of particular interest, three interneurons in the network are found to have a specialized role: (i) the lock neuron is always active, preventing the output from spiking unless it is released by the penultimate signal in the correct pattern, exposing the output neuron to spike for the correct last signal, (ii) the switch neuron is responsible for switching the network between the inter-signal states and the start state, and (iii) the accept neuron produces spikes in the output neuron when the network receives the last correct input. It also sends a signal to the switch neuron, transforming the network back into the start state Understanding how information is processed in the evolved networks led to handcrafting network topologies for recognising more extended patterns. The proposed rules can extend network topologies to recognize temporal patterns up to length six. To validate the handcrafted topology, a genetic algorithm is used to optimise its connection weights. It has been observed that the maximum number of active neurons representing a state in the network increases with the pattern length. Therefore, the suggested rules can handcraft network topologies only up to length 6. Handcrafting network topologies, representing a network state with a fixed number of active neurons requires further investigation