2,987 research outputs found
Multi-Output Gaussian Processes for Crowdsourced Traffic Data Imputation
Traffic speed data imputation is a fundamental challenge for data-driven
transport analysis. In recent years, with the ubiquity of GPS-enabled devices
and the widespread use of crowdsourcing alternatives for the collection of
traffic data, transportation professionals increasingly look to such
user-generated data for many analysis, planning, and decision support
applications. However, due to the mechanics of the data collection process,
crowdsourced traffic data such as probe-vehicle data is highly prone to missing
observations, making accurate imputation crucial for the success of any
application that makes use of that type of data. In this article, we propose
the use of multi-output Gaussian processes (GPs) to model the complex spatial
and temporal patterns in crowdsourced traffic data. While the Bayesian
nonparametric formalism of GPs allows us to model observation uncertainty, the
multi-output extension based on convolution processes effectively enables us to
capture complex spatial dependencies between nearby road segments. Using 6
months of crowdsourced traffic speed data or "probe vehicle data" for several
locations in Copenhagen, the proposed approach is empirically shown to
significantly outperform popular state-of-the-art imputation methods.Comment: 10 pages, IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems,
201
Inferring transportation modes from GPS trajectories using a convolutional neural network
Identifying the distribution of users' transportation modes is an essential
part of travel demand analysis and transportation planning. With the advent of
ubiquitous GPS-enabled devices (e.g., a smartphone), a cost-effective approach
for inferring commuters' mobility mode(s) is to leverage their GPS
trajectories. A majority of studies have proposed mode inference models based
on hand-crafted features and traditional machine learning algorithms. However,
manual features engender some major drawbacks including vulnerability to
traffic and environmental conditions as well as possessing human's bias in
creating efficient features. One way to overcome these issues is by utilizing
Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) schemes that are capable of automatically
driving high-level features from the raw input. Accordingly, in this paper, we
take advantage of CNN architectures so as to predict travel modes based on only
raw GPS trajectories, where the modes are labeled as walk, bike, bus, driving,
and train. Our key contribution is designing the layout of the CNN's input
layer in such a way that not only is adaptable with the CNN schemes but
represents fundamental motion characteristics of a moving object including
speed, acceleration, jerk, and bearing rate. Furthermore, we ameliorate the
quality of GPS logs through several data preprocessing steps. Using the clean
input layer, a variety of CNN configurations are evaluated to achieve the best
CNN architecture. The highest accuracy of 84.8% has been achieved through the
ensemble of the best CNN configuration. In this research, we contrast our
methodology with traditional machine learning algorithms as well as the seminal
and most related studies to demonstrate the superiority of our framework.Comment: 12 pages, 3 figures, 7 tables, Transportation Research Part C:
Emerging Technologie
FCG-ASpredictor: An Approach for the Prediction of Average Speed of Road Segments with Floating Car GPS Data
The average speed (AS) of a road segment is an important factor for predicting traffic congestion, because the accuracy of AS can directly affect the implementation of traffic management. The traffic environment, spatiotemporal information, and the dynamic interaction between these two factors impact the predictive accuracy of AS in the existing literature, and floating car data comprehensively reflect the operation of urban road vehicles. In this paper, we proposed a novel road segment AS predictive model, which is based on floating car data. First, the impact of historical AS, weather, and date attributes on AS prediction has been analyzed. Then, through spatiotemporal correlations calculation based on the data from Global Positioning System (GPS), the predictive method utilizes the recursive least squares method to fuse the historical AS with other factors (such as weather, date attributes, etc.) and adopts an extended Kalman filter algorithm to accurately predict the AS of the target segment. Finally, we applied our approach on the traffic congestion prediction on four road segments in Chengdu, China. The results showed that the proposed predictive model is highly feasible and accurate.
Document type: Articl
Understanding Human Mobility with Emerging Data Sources: Validation, spatiotemporal patterns, and transport modal disparity
Human mobility refers to the geographic displacement of human beings, seen as individuals or groups, in space and time. The understanding of mobility has broad relevance, e.g., how fast epidemics spread globally. After 2030, transport is likely to become the sector with the highest emissions in the 2\ub0C\ua0scenario. Better informed policy-making requires up-to-date empirical mobility data with good quality. However, the conventional methods are limited when dealing with new challenges. The prevalence of digital technologies enables a large-scale collection of human mobility traces, through social media data and GPS-enabled devices etc, which contribute significantly to the understanding of human mobility. However, their potentials for the further application are not fully exploited.This thesis uses emerging data sources, particularly Twitter data, to enhance the understanding of mobility and apply the obtained knowledge in the field of transport. The thesis answers three questions: Is Twitter a feasible data source to represent individual and population mobility? How are Twitter data used to reveal the spatiotemporal dynamics of mobility? How do Twitter data contribute to depicting the modal disparity of travel time by car vs public transit? In answering these questions, the methodological contribution of this thesis lies in the applied side of data science.Using geotagged Twitter data, mobility is firstly described by abstract metrics and physical models; in Paper A to reveal the population heterogeneity of mobility patterns using data mining techniques; and in Paper B to estimate travel demand with a novel approach to address the sparsity issue of Twitter data. In Paper C, GIS techniques are applied to combine the travel demand as revealed by Twitter data and the transportation network to give a more realistic picture of the modal disparity in travel time between car and public transit in four cities in different countries at a high spatial and temporal granularity. The validation of using Twitter data in mobility study contributes to better utilisation of this low-cost mobility data source. Compared with a static picture obtained by conventional data sources, the dynamics introduced by social media data among others contribute to better-informed policymaking and transport planning
Ambulance Emergency Response Optimization in Developing Countries
The lack of emergency medical transportation is viewed as the main barrier to
the access of emergency medical care in low and middle-income countries
(LMICs). In this paper, we present a robust optimization approach to optimize
both the location and routing of emergency response vehicles, accounting for
uncertainty in travel times and spatial demand characteristic of LMICs. We
traveled to Dhaka, Bangladesh, the sixth largest and third most densely
populated city in the world, to conduct field research resulting in the
collection of two unique datasets that inform our approach. This data is
leveraged to develop machine learning methodologies to estimate demand for
emergency medical services in a LMIC setting and to predict the travel time
between any two locations in the road network for different times of day and
days of the week. We combine our robust optimization and machine learning
frameworks with real data to provide an in-depth investigation into three
policy-related questions. First, we demonstrate that outpost locations
optimized for weekday rush hour lead to good performance for all times of day
and days of the week. Second, we find that significant improvements in
emergency response times can be achieved by re-locating a small number of
outposts and that the performance of the current system could be replicated
using only 30% of the resources. Lastly, we show that a fleet of small
motorcycle-based ambulances has the potential to significantly outperform
traditional ambulance vans. In particular, they are able to capture three times
more demand while reducing the median response time by 42% due to increased
routing flexibility offered by nimble vehicles on a larger road network. Our
results provide practical insights for emergency response optimization that can
be leveraged by hospital-based and private ambulance providers in Dhaka and
other urban centers in LMICs
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