16 research outputs found

    Poisson process bandits:Sequential models and algorithms for maximising the detection of point data

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    In numerous settings in areas as diverse as security, ecology, astronomy, and logistics, it is desirable to optimally deploy a limited resource to observe events, which may be modelled as point data arising according to a Non-homogeneous Poisson process. Increasingly, thanks to developments in mobile and adaptive technologies, it is possible to update a deployment of such resource and gather feedback on the quality of multiple actions. Such a capability presents the opportunity to learn, and with it a classic problem in operations research and machine learning - the explorationexploitation dilemma. To perform optimally, how should investigative choices which explore the value of poorly understood actions and optimising choices which choose actions known to be of a high value be balanced? Effective techniques exist to resolve this dilemma in simpler settings, but the Poisson process data brings new challenges. In this thesis, effective solution methods for the problem of sequentially deploying resource are developed, via a combination of efficient inference schemes, bespoke optimisation approaches, and advanced sequential decision-making strategies. Furthermore, extensive theoretical work provides strong guarantees on the performance of the proposed solution methods and an understanding of the challenges of this problem and more complex extensions. In particular, Upper Confidence Bound and Thompson Sampling (TS) approaches are derived for combinatorial and continuum-armed bandit versions of the problem, with accompanying analysis displaying that the regret of the approaches is of optimal order. A broader understanding of the performance of TS based on non-parametric models for smooth reward functions is developed, and new posterior contraction results for the Gaussian Cox Process, a popular Bayesian non-parametric model of point data, are derived. These results point to effective strategies for more challenging variants of the event detection problem, and more generally advance the understanding of bandit decision-making with complex data structures

    Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence: Proceedings of the Thirty-Fourth Conference

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    Arousal, exploration and the locus coeruleus-norepinephrine system

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    The studies described in this thesis address a range of topics related to arousal, exploration, temporal attention, and the locus coeruleus-norepinephrine (LC-NE) system. Chapters 2 and 3 report two studies that investigated a recent theory about the role of the LC-NE system in the regulation of the exploration-exploitation trade-off. Chapter 4 reports a study on neurocognitive function in patients with dopamine-β-hydroxylase (DβH) deficiency. Chapter 5 reports an fMRI study on the neural correlates of perceptual curiosity. Chapter 6 and 7 reported several experiments investigating the effects of ‘accessory stimuli’ and temporal certainty on information processing, using scalp electrophysiology and sequential-sampling models of decision making. Taken together, the studies reported in this thesis suggest that arousal, exploration and temporal attention are closely related, which is likely due to a shared neural basis.LEI Universiteit LeidenFSW - Action Control - Ou

    Intent-aligned AI systems deplete human agency: the need for agency foundations research in AI safety

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    The rapid advancement of artificial intelligence (AI) systems suggests that artificial general intelligence (AGI) systems may soon arrive. Many researchers are concerned that AIs and AGIs will harm humans via intentional misuse (AI-misuse) or through accidents (AI-accidents). In respect of AI-accidents, there is an increasing effort focused on developing algorithms and paradigms that ensure AI systems are aligned to what humans intend, e.g. AI systems that yield actions or recommendations that humans might judge as consistent with their intentions and goals. Here we argue that alignment to human intent is insufficient for safe AI systems and that preservation of long-term agency of humans may be a more robust standard, and one that needs to be separated explicitly and a priori during optimization. We argue that AI systems can reshape human intention and discuss the lack of biological and psychological mechanisms that protect humans from loss of agency. We provide the first formal definition of agency-preserving AI-human interactions which focuses on forward-looking agency evaluations and argue that AI systems - not humans - must be increasingly tasked with making these evaluations. We show how agency loss can occur in simple environments containing embedded agents that use temporal-difference learning to make action recommendations. Finally, we propose a new area of research called "agency foundations" and pose four initial topics designed to improve our understanding of agency in AI-human interactions: benevolent game theory, algorithmic foundations of human rights, mechanistic interpretability of agency representation in neural-networks and reinforcement learning from internal states

    Gaining Insight into Determinants of Physical Activity using Bayesian Network Learning

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    Contains fulltext : 228326pre.pdf (preprint version ) (Open Access) Contains fulltext : 228326pub.pdf (publisher's version ) (Open Access)BNAIC/BeneLearn 202

    Using MapReduce Streaming for Distributed Life Simulation on the Cloud

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    Distributed software simulations are indispensable in the study of large-scale life models but often require the use of technically complex lower-level distributed computing frameworks, such as MPI. We propose to overcome the complexity challenge by applying the emerging MapReduce (MR) model to distributed life simulations and by running such simulations on the cloud. Technically, we design optimized MR streaming algorithms for discrete and continuous versions of Conway’s life according to a general MR streaming pattern. We chose life because it is simple enough as a testbed for MR’s applicability to a-life simulations and general enough to make our results applicable to various lattice-based a-life models. We implement and empirically evaluate our algorithms’ performance on Amazon’s Elastic MR cloud. Our experiments demonstrate that a single MR optimization technique called strip partitioning can reduce the execution time of continuous life simulations by 64%. To the best of our knowledge, we are the first to propose and evaluate MR streaming algorithms for lattice-based simulations. Our algorithms can serve as prototypes in the development of novel MR simulation algorithms for large-scale lattice-based a-life models.https://digitalcommons.chapman.edu/scs_books/1014/thumbnail.jp

    Essentials of Business Analytics

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    Attention Restraint, Working Memory Capacity, and Mind Wandering: Do Emotional Valence or Intentionality Matter?

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    Attention restraint appears to mediate the relationship between working memory capacity (WMC) and mind wandering (Kane et al., 2016). Prior work has identifed two dimensions of mind wandering—emotional valence and intentionality. However, less is known about how WMC and attention restraint correlate with these dimensions. Te current study examined the relationship between WMC, attention restraint, and mind wandering by emotional valence and intentionality. A confrmatory factor analysis demonstrated that WMC and attention restraint were strongly correlated, but only attention restraint was related to overall mind wandering, consistent with prior fndings. However, when examining the emotional valence of mind wandering, attention restraint and WMC were related to negatively and positively valenced, but not neutral, mind wandering. Attention restraint was also related to intentional but not unintentional mind wandering. Tese results suggest that WMC and attention restraint predict some, but not all, types of mind wandering
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