Paving the Way for Consensus: Improving the Effectiveness of Multilateral Negotiation Management at the WTO

Reaching decisions on international trade by consensus amongst 164 governments is an extraordinarily difficult task. Social science research demonstrates that the management of the negotiation process by the host government and WTO Secretariat can play an important role in tipping the balance between deadlock and agreement. This requires close coordination between the representative of the host country and the Director General of the WTO. While effective process management alone will not solve the problems that the WTO faces, it can create more favourable conditions for reaching consensus. Conversely, poor process makes this already- difficult task practically impossible. Effective negotiation management consists of seven key elements: preparing well in advance; teamwork both within the host team and between the hosts and the Secretariat; transparent, consistent and realistic communication; selecting the right individuals for the job; breaking the process down into small-group negotiations and handling this with care; leveraging the legitimacy that non-party stakeholders can bring to the process; and increasing the likelihood of agreement through managing the agenda, draft texts, and the overall atmosphere of the negotiations. Both process and context determine negotiation outcomes. Comparing the 1999 Seattle Ministerial Con- ference with the 2001 Doha Ministerial Conference allows one to hold the context relatively constant, thus demonstrating the independent effect of process management. Variation in process management by the respective organisers of the two summits led to very different outcomes. The 2015 Paris Agreement on climate change was a notable success for multilateralism. Like WTO negotiations, climate negotiations also take place in the challenging environment of consensus decision- making. Process management by the French hosts is considered a model of best practice, and has been widely credited as a factor behind the successful outcome. Lessons can be learned from this case. Future hosts of Ministerial Conferences are specifically recommended to pay attention to the following: It is vital to consult with as many members as possible in advance of the Ministerial. If budget allows, it is preferable to travel to capitals to demonstrate respect. Toavoidconflictfurtherdowntheroad,clearlydefinetherespectiverolesoftheDirector-Gen- eral and the Conference Chair from the outset, with the Conference chair taking the political lead. Thehostgovernmentcannotmanagetheentireprocessaloneandwillneedtoappointfacilitators to chair issue-specific working groups. This critical role requires specific skills and experience. Organising a workshop for facilitators in advance of the Ministerial could increase their effective- ness. The format, attendees and timing of small-group negotiations at the Ministerial can all affect re- sults. Whatever form these meetings take, transparency is a key consideration. Seemingly trivial details such as room facilities, security and catering at the venue all matter to delegates and can cause unnecessary friction when mismanaged

Bose--Einstein Condensation in the Large Deviations Regime with Applications to Information System Models

We study the large deviations behavior of systems that admit a certain form of a product distribution, which is frequently encountered both in Physics and in various information system models. First, to fix ideas, we demonstrate a simple calculation of the large deviations rate function for a single constraint (event). Under certain conditions, the behavior of this function is shown to exhibit an analogue of Bose--Einstein condensation (BEC). More interestingly, we also study the large deviations rate function associated with two constraints (and the extension to any number of constraints is conceptually straightforward). The phase diagram of this rate function is shown to exhibit as many as seven phases, and it suggests a two--dimensional generalization of the notion of BEC (or more generally, a multi--dimensional BEC). While the results are illustrated for a simple model, the underlying principles are actually rather general. We also discuss several applications and implications pertaining to information system models

Self-consistent Approach to Off-Shell Transport

The properties of two forms of the gradient expanded Kadanoff--Baym equations, i.e. the Kadanoff--Baym and Botermans-Malfliet forms, suitable to describe the transport dynamics of particles and resonances with broad spectral widths, are discussed in context of conservation laws, the definition of a kinetic entropy and the possibility of numerical realization. Recent results on exact conservations of charge and energy-momentum within Kadanoff-Baym form of quantum kinetics based on local coupling schemes are extended to two cases relevant in many applications. These concern the interaction via a finite range potential, and, relevant in nuclear and hadron physics, e.g. for the pion--nucleon interaction, the case of derivative coupling.Comment: 35 pages, submitted to issue of Phys. Atom. Nucl. dedicated to S.T. Belyaev on the occasion of his 80th birthday. Few references are adde

Resonance Transport and Kinetic Entropy

Within the real-time formulation of nonequilibrium field theory, generalized transport equations are derived avoiding the standard quasiparticle approximation. They permit to include unstable particles into the transport scheme. In order to achieve a self-consistent, conserving and thermodynamically consistent description, we generalize the Baym's $\Phi$-functional method to genuine nonequilibrium processes. The developed transport description naturally includes all those quantum features already inherent in the corresponding equilibrium limit. Memory effects appearing in collision term diagrams of higher order are discussed. The variational properties of $\Phi$-functional permit to derive a generalized expression for the non-equilibrium kinetic entropy flow, which includes fluctuations and mass width effects. In special cases an $H$-theorem is demonstrated implying that the entropy can only increase with time. Memory effects in the kinetic terms provide corrections to the kinetic entropy flow that in equilibrium limit recover the famous bosonic type $T^3 \ln T$ correction to the specific heat of Fermi liquids like Helium-3.Comment: 50 pages, submitted to Nucl. Phys.

A Review of The Models of Land Development Process: The Structure Models

This is the final part of a three series paper reviewing the models Df land development process. One aspect which is lacking in all the three types of models discussed earlier is the focus on the way the production of the built environment is influenced by wider forces. It is suggested that the structure models seek to overcome this by focusing explaination of the development process within the perspective of the structural dynamics of the modes of production. However, they barely penetrate into the details of the events of the land development process and the network of the agency relationships. Therefore, it is concluded that the land development process is best explained within the critical framework of the institutional analysis as shaped by the structure and agency approac

Towards More Relevant Evolutionary Models: Integrating an Artificial Genome With a Developmental Phenotype

The relationship between the genotype and phenotype of organisms plays a key role in the evolutionary process. While Evolutionary Computation (EC) models have traditionally taken biological inspiration in the design of many key model components (e.g., genetic mutation and crossover, populations under natural selection, etc.), there is a need for more biological input in specifying how a genotype forms a phenotype. There are two powerful theoretical abstractions used in biology for explaining the evolutionary basis of phenotypic development. The first is that there is a sequence of hereditary information (the genotype) passed from one generation to the next. The second is that genes extracted from this sequence interact to form networks of regulation that, when coupled with environmental factors, control the development of an organism (the phenotype). An abstract model of gene regulation exists in the form of the Artificial Genome. This model provides a principled approach to extracting regulatory networks of genes from sequence-level information. L-systems provide a mature framework for modelling developmental phenotypes interacting within environments. This paper takes a step towards integrating these two models, providing a biologically-inspired modelling framework that bridges the chasm between processes occurring in evolutionary timescales, and those occurring within individual lifetimes

Fatal attraction: a critique of Carl Schmitt's international political and legal theory

The ongoing Schmitt revival has extended Carl Schmitt's reach over the fields of international legal and political theory. Neo-Schmittians suggest that his international thought provides a new reading of the history of international law and order, which validates the explanatory power of his theoretical premises – the concept of the political, political decisionism, and concrete-order-thinking. Against this background, this article mounts a systematic reappraisal of Schmitt's international thought in a historical perspective. The argument is that his work requires re-contextualization as the intellectual product of an ultra-intense moment in Schmitt's friend/enemy distinction. It inscribed Hitler's ‘spatial revolution’ into a full-scale reinterpretation of Europe's geopolitical history, grounded in land appropriations, which legitimized Nazi Germany's wars of conquest. Consequently, Schmitt's elevation of the early modern nomos as the model for civilized warfare – the ‘golden age’ of international law – against which American legal universalism can be portrayed as degenerated, is conceptually and empirically flawed. Schmitt devised a politically motivated set of theoretical premises to provide a historical counter-narrative against liberal normativism, which generated defective history. The reconstruction of this history reveals the explanatory limits of his theoretical vocabulary – friend/enemy binary, sovereignty-as-exception, nomos/universalism – for past and present analytical purposes. Schmitt's defective analytics and problematic history compromise the standing of his work for purposes of international theory