Data-Driven Modeling and Prediction for Reservoir Characterization and Simulation Using Seismic and Petrophysical Data Analyses

This study explores the application of data-driven modeling and prediction in reservoir characterization and simulation using seismic and petrophysical data analyses. Different aspects of the application of data-driven modeling methods are studied, which include rock facies classification, seismic attribute analyses, petrophysical properties prediction, seismic facies segmentation, and reservoir dimension reduction. The application of using petrophysical well logs to predict rock facies is explored using different data analytics methods including decision tree, random forest, support vector machine and neural network. Different models are trained from a set of well logs and pre-interpreted rock facies data. Among the compared methods, the random forest method has the best performance in classifying rock facies in the dataset. Seismic attribute values from a 3D seismic survey and petrophysical properties from well logs are collected to explore the relationships between seismic data and well logs. In this study, deep learning neural network models are created to establish the relationships. The results show that a deep learning neural network model with multi-hidden layers is capable to predict porosity values using extracted seismic attribute values. The utilization of a set of seismic attributes improves the model performance in predicting porosity values from seismic data. This study also presents a novel deep learning approach to automatically identify salt bodies directly from seismic images. A wavelet convolutional neural network (Wavelet CNN) model, which combines wavelet transformation analyses with a traditional convolutional neural network (CNN), is developed and demonstrated to increase the accuracy in predicting salt boundaries from seismic images. The Wavelet CNN model outperforms the conventional image recognition techniques, providing higher accuracy, to identify salt bodies from seismic images. Besides, this study evaluates the effect of singular value decomposition (SVD) in dimension reduction of permeability fields during reservoir modeling. Reservoir simulation results show that SVD is valid in the parameterization of the permeability field. The reconstructed permeability fields after SVD processing are good approximations of the original permeability values. This study also evaluates the application of SVD on upscaling for reservoir modeling. Different upscaling schemes are applied on the permeability field, and their performance are evaluated using reservoir simulation

Fast Neural Network Predictions from Constrained Aerodynamics Datasets

Incorporating computational fluid dynamics in the design process of jets, spacecraft, or gas turbine engines is often challenged by the required computational resources and simulation time, which depend on the chosen physics-based computational models and grid resolutions. An ongoing problem in the field is how to simulate these systems faster but with sufficient accuracy. While many approaches involve simplified models of the underlying physics, others are model-free and make predictions based only on existing simulation data. We present a novel model-free approach in which we reformulate the simulation problem to effectively increase the size of constrained pre-computed datasets and introduce a novel neural network architecture (called a cluster network) with an inductive bias well-suited to highly nonlinear computational fluid dynamics solutions. Compared to the state-of-the-art in model-based approximations, we show that our approach is nearly as accurate, an order of magnitude faster, and easier to apply. Furthermore, we show that our method outperforms other model-free approaches

A machine learning approach to portfolio pricing and risk management for high-dimensional problems

We present a general framework for portfolio risk management in discrete time, based on a replicating martingale. This martingale is learned from a finite sample in a supervised setting. The model learns the features necessary for an effective low-dimensional representation, overcoming the curse of dimensionality common to function approximation in high-dimensional spaces. We show results based on polynomial and neural network bases. Both offer superior results to naive Monte Carlo methods and other existing methods like least-squares Monte Carlo and replicating portfolios.Comment: 30 pages (main), 10 pages (appendix), 3 figures, 22 table

Artificial neural networks and physical modeling for determination of baseline consumption of CHP plants

An effective modeling technique is proposed for determining baseline energy consumption in the industry. A CHP plant is considered in the study that was subjected to a retrofit, which consisted of the implementation of some energy-saving measures. This study aims to recreate the post-retrofit energy consumption and production of the system in case it would be operating in its past configuration (before retrofit) i.e., the current consumption and production in the event that no energy-saving measures had been implemented. Two different modeling methodologies are applied to the CHP plant: thermodynamic modeling and artificial neural networks (ANN). Satisfactory results are obtained with both modeling techniques. Acceptable accuracy levels of prediction are detected, confirming good capability of the models for predicting plant behavior and their suitability for baseline energy consumption determining purposes. High level of robustness is observed for ANN against uncertainty affecting measured values of variables used as input in the models. The study demonstrates ANN great potential for assessing baseline consumption in energyintensive industry. Application of ANN technique would also help to overcome the limited availability of on-shelf thermodynamic software for modeling all specific typologies of existing industrial processes

Inversion using a new low-dimensional representation of complex binary geological media based on a deep neural network

Efficient and high-fidelity prior sampling and inversion for complex geological media is still a largely unsolved challenge. Here, we use a deep neural network of the variational autoencoder type to construct a parametric low-dimensional base model parameterization of complex binary geological media. For inversion purposes, it has the attractive feature that random draws from an uncorrelated standard normal distribution yield model realizations with spatial characteristics that are in agreement with the training set. In comparison with the most commonly used parametric representations in probabilistic inversion, we find that our dimensionality reduction (DR) approach outperforms principle component analysis (PCA), optimization-PCA (OPCA) and discrete cosine transform (DCT) DR techniques for unconditional geostatistical simulation of a channelized prior model. For the considered examples, important compression ratios (200 - 500) are achieved. Given that the construction of our parameterization requires a training set of several tens of thousands of prior model realizations, our DR approach is more suited for probabilistic (or deterministic) inversion than for unconditional (or point-conditioned) geostatistical simulation. Probabilistic inversions of 2D steady-state and 3D transient hydraulic tomography data are used to demonstrate the DR-based inversion. For the 2D case study, the performance is superior compared to current state-of-the-art multiple-point statistics inversion by sequential geostatistical resampling (SGR). Inversion results for the 3D application are also encouraging