Sequence-to-Sequence Prediction of Vehicle Trajectory via LSTM Encoder-Decoder Architecture

In this paper, we propose a deep learning based vehicle trajectory prediction technique which can generate the future trajectory sequence of surrounding vehicles in real time. We employ the encoder-decoder architecture which analyzes the pattern underlying in the past trajectory using the long short-term memory (LSTM) based encoder and generates the future trajectory sequence using the LSTM based decoder. This structure produces the $K$ most likely trajectory candidates over occupancy grid map by employing the beam search technique which keeps the $K$ locally best candidates from the decoder output. The experiments conducted on highway traffic scenarios show that the prediction accuracy of the proposed method is significantly higher than the conventional trajectory prediction techniques

Interaction-aware Kalman Neural Networks for Trajectory Prediction

Forecasting the motion of surrounding obstacles (vehicles, bicycles, pedestrians and etc.) benefits the on-road motion planning for intelligent and autonomous vehicles. Complex scenes always yield great challenges in modeling the patterns of surrounding traffic. For example, one main challenge comes from the intractable interaction effects in a complex traffic system. In this paper, we propose a multi-layer architecture Interaction-aware Kalman Neural Networks (IaKNN) which involves an interaction layer for resolving high-dimensional traffic environmental observations as interaction-aware accelerations, a motion layer for transforming the accelerations to interaction aware trajectories, and a filter layer for estimating future trajectories with a Kalman filter network. Attributed to the multiple traffic data sources, our end-to-end trainable approach technically fuses dynamic and interaction-aware trajectories boosting the prediction performance. Experiments on the NGSIM dataset demonstrate that IaKNN outperforms the state-of-the-art methods in terms of effectiveness for traffic trajectory prediction.Comment: 8 pages, 4 figures, Accepted for IEEE Intelligent Vehicles Symposium (IV) 202

Explainable and Advisable Learning for Self-driving Vehicles

Deep neural perception and control networks are likely to be a key component of self-driving vehicles. These models need to be explainable - they should provide easy-to-interpret rationales for their behavior - so that passengers, insurance companies, law enforcement, developers, etc., can understand what triggered a particular behavior. Explanations may be triggered by the neural controller, namely introspective explanations, or informed by the neural controller's output, namely rationalizations. Our work has focused on the challenge of generating introspective explanations of deep models for self-driving vehicles. In Chapter 3, we begin by exploring the use of visual explanations. These explanations take the form of real-time highlighted regions of an image that causally influence the network's output (steering control). In the first stage, we use a visual attention model to train a convolution network end-to-end from images to steering angle. The attention model highlights image regions that potentially influence the network's output. Some of these are true influences, but some are spurious. We then apply a causal filtering step to determine which input regions actually influence the output. This produces more succinct visual explanations and more accurately exposes the network's behavior. In Chapter 4, we add an attention-based video-to-text model to produce textual explanations of model actions, e.g. "the car slows down because the road is wet". The attention maps of controller and explanation model are aligned so that explanations are grounded in the parts of the scene that mattered to the controller. We explore two approaches to attention alignment, strong- and weak-alignment. These explainable systems represent an externalization of tacit knowledge. The network's opaque reasoning is simplified to a situation-specific dependence on a visible object in the image. This makes them brittle and potentially unsafe in situations that do not match training data. In Chapter 5, we propose to address this issue by augmenting training data with natural language advice from a human. Advice includes guidance about what to do and where to attend. We present the first step toward advice-giving, where we train an end-to-end vehicle controller that accepts advice. The controller adapts the way it attends to the scene (visual attention) and the control (steering and speed). Further, in Chapter 6, we propose a new approach that learns vehicle control with the help of long-term (global) human advice. Specifically, our system learns to summarize its visual observations in natural language, predict an appropriate action response (e.g. "I see a pedestrian crossing, so I stop"), and predict the controls, accordingly

Tracking by Prediction: A Deep Generative Model for Mutli-Person localisation and Tracking

Current multi-person localisation and tracking systems have an over reliance on the use of appearance models for target re-identification and almost no approaches employ a complete deep learning solution for both objectives. We present a novel, complete deep learning framework for multi-person localisation and tracking. In this context we first introduce a light weight sequential Generative Adversarial Network architecture for person localisation, which overcomes issues related to occlusions and noisy detections, typically found in a multi person environment. In the proposed tracking framework we build upon recent advances in pedestrian trajectory prediction approaches and propose a novel data association scheme based on predicted trajectories. This removes the need for computationally expensive person re-identification systems based on appearance features and generates human like trajectories with minimal fragmentation. The proposed method is evaluated on multiple public benchmarks including both static and dynamic cameras and is capable of generating outstanding performance, especially among other recently proposed deep neural network based approaches.Comment: To appear in IEEE Winter Conference on Applications of Computer Vision (WACV), 201

Edge Learning of Vehicular Trajectories at Regulated Intersections

Trajectory prediction is crucial in assisting both human-driven and autonomous vehicles. Most of the existing approaches, however, focus on straight stretches of road and do not address trajectory prediction at intersections. This work aims to fill this gap by proposing a solution that copes with the higher complexity exhibited for the intersection scenario, leveraging the 5G-MEC capabilities. In particular, the reduced latency and edge computational power are exploited to centrally collect and process measurements from both vehicles (e.g., odometry) and road infrastructure (e.g., traffic light phases). Based on such a holistic system view, we develop a Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network which, as shown through simulations using a real-world dataset, provides high-accuracy trajectory predictions. The encountered challenges and advantages of the presented approach are analyzed in detail, paving the way for a new vehicle trajectory prediction methodology

An End-to-End Vehicle Trajcetory Prediction Framework

Anticipating the motion of neighboring vehicles is crucial for autonomous driving, especially on congested highways where even slight motion variations can result in catastrophic collisions. An accurate prediction of a future trajectory does not just rely on the previous trajectory, but also, more importantly, a simulation of the complex interactions between other vehicles nearby. Most state-of-the-art networks built to tackle the problem assume readily available past trajectory points, hence lacking a full end-to-end pipeline with direct video-to-output mechanism. In this article, we thus propose a novel end-to-end architecture that takes raw video inputs and outputs future trajectory predictions. It first extracts and tracks the 3D location of the nearby vehicles via multi-head attention-based regression networks as well as non-linear optimization. This provides the past trajectory points which then feeds into the trajectory prediction algorithm consisting of an attention-based LSTM encoder-decoder architecture, which allows it to model the complicated interdependence between the vehicles and make an accurate prediction of the future trajectory points of the surrounding vehicles. The proposed model is evaluated on the large-scale BLVD dataset, and has also been implemented on CARLA. The experimental results demonstrate that our approach outperforms various state-of-the-art models.Comment: 6 pages, 5 figure