Spatial-temporal data modelling and processing for personalised decision support

The purpose of this research is to undertake the modelling of dynamic data without losing any of the temporal relationships, and to be able to predict likelihood of outcome as far in advance of actual occurrence as possible. To this end a novel computational architecture for personalised ( individualised) modelling of spatio-temporal data based on spiking neural network methods (PMeSNNr), with a three dimensional visualisation of relationships between variables is proposed. In brief, the architecture is able to transfer spatio-temporal data patterns from a multidimensional input stream into internal patterns in the spiking neural network reservoir. These patterns are then analysed to produce a personalised model for either classification or prediction dependent on the specific needs of the situation. The architecture described above was constructed using MatLab© in several individual modules linked together to form NeuCube (M1). This methodology has been applied to two real world case studies. Firstly, it has been applied to data for the prediction of stroke occurrences on an individual basis. Secondly, it has been applied to ecological data on aphid pest abundance prediction. Two main objectives for this research when judging outcomes of the modelling are accurate prediction and to have this at the earliest possible time point. The implications of these findings are not insignificant in terms of health care management and environmental control. As the case studies utilised here represent vastly different application fields, it reveals more of the potential and usefulness of NeuCube (M1) for modelling data in an integrated manner. This in turn can identify previously unknown (or less understood) interactions thus both increasing the level of reliance that can be placed on the model created, and enhancing our human understanding of the complexities of the world around us without the need for over simplification. Read less Keywords Personalised modelling; Spiking neural network; Spatial-temporal data modelling; Computational intelligence; Predictive modelling; Stroke risk predictio

Sensitivity of multi-product two-stage economic lotsizing models and their dependency on change-over and product cost ratio's

This study considers the production and inventory management problem of a two-stage semi-process production system. In case both production stages are physically connected it is obvious that materials are forced to flow. The economic lotsize depends on the holding cost of the end-product and the combined change-over cost of both production stages. On the other hand this 'flow shop' is forced to produce at the speed of the slowest stage. The benefit of this approach is the low amount of Work In Process inventory. When on the other hand, the involved stages are physically disconnected, a stock of intermediates acts as a decoupling point. Typically for the semi-process industry are high change-over costs for the process oriented first stage, which results in large lotsize differences for the different production stages. Using the stock of intermediates as a decoupling point avoids the complexity of synchronising operations but is an additional reason to augment the intermediate stock position. The disadvantage of this model is the high amount of Work-In-Process inventory. This paper proposes the 'synchronised planning model' realising a global optimum instead of the combination of two locally optimised settings. The mathematical model proves (for a two-stage single-product setting) that the optimal two-stage production frequency corresponds with the single EOQ solution for the first stage. A sensitivity study reveals, within these two-stage lotsizing models, the economical cost dependency on product and change-over cost ratio‟s. The purpose of this paper is to understand under which conditions the „joined setup‟ or the „two-stage individual eoq model‟ remain close to the optimal model. Numerical examples prove that the conclusions about the optimal settings remain valid when extending the model to a two-stage multi-product setting. The research reveals that two-stage individually optimized EOQ lotsizing should only be used when the end-product stage has a high added value and small change-over costs, compared to the first stage. Physically connected operations should be used when the end-product stage has a small added value and low change-over costs, or high added value and large change-over costs compared to the first production stage. The paper concludes with suggesting a practical common cycle approach to tackle a two-stage multi-product production and inventory management problem. The common cycle approach brings the benefit of a repetitive and predictable production schedule

Spatial-temporal data modelling and processing for personalised decision support

The purpose of this research is to undertake the modelling of dynamic data without losing any of the temporal relationships, and to be able to predict likelihood of outcome as far in advance of actual occurrence as possible. To this end a novel computational architecture for personalised ( individualised) modelling of spatio-temporal data based on spiking neural network methods (PMeSNNr), with a three dimensional visualisation of relationships between variables is proposed. In brief, the architecture is able to transfer spatio-temporal data patterns from a multidimensional input stream into internal patterns in the spiking neural network reservoir. These patterns are then analysed to produce a personalised model for either classification or prediction dependent on the specific needs of the situation. The architecture described above was constructed using MatLab© in several individual modules linked together to form NeuCube (M1). This methodology has been applied to two real world case studies. Firstly, it has been applied to data for the prediction of stroke occurrences on an individual basis. Secondly, it has been applied to ecological data on aphid pest abundance prediction. Two main objectives for this research when judging outcomes of the modelling are accurate prediction and to have this at the earliest possible time point. The implications of these findings are not insignificant in terms of health care management and environmental control. As the case studies utilised here represent vastly different application fields, it reveals more of the potential and usefulness of NeuCube (M1) for modelling data in an integrated manner. This in turn can identify previously unknown (or less understood) interactions thus both increasing the level of reliance that can be placed on the model created, and enhancing our human understanding of the complexities of the world around us without the need for over simplification. Read less Keywords Personalised modelling; Spiking neural network; Spatial-temporal data modelling; Computational intelligence; Predictive modelling; Stroke risk predictio

Unified Concept of Bottleneck

The term `bottleneck` has been extensively used in operations management literature. Management paradigms like the Theory of Constraints focus on the identification and exploitation of bottlenecks. Yet, we show that the term has not been rigorously defined. We provide a classification of bottleneck definitions available in literature and discuss several myths associated with the concept of bottleneck. The apparent diversity of definitions raises the question whether it is possible to have a single bottleneck definition which has as much applicability in high variety job shops as in mass production environments. The key to the formulation of an unified concept of bottleneck lies in relating the concept of bottleneck to the concept of shadow price of resources. We propose an universally applicable bottleneck definition based on the concept of average shadow price. We discuss the procedure for determination of bottleneck values for diverse production environments. The Law of Diminishing Returns is shown to be a sufficient but not necessary condition for the equivalence of the average and the marginal shadow price. The equivalence of these two prices is proved for several environments. Bottleneck identification is the first step in resource acquisition decisions faced by managers. The definition of bottleneck presented in the paper has the potential to not only reduce ambiguity regarding the meaning of the term but also open a new window to the formulation and analysis of a rich set of problems faced by managers.

The distributed assembly permutation flowshop scheduling problem

Nowadays, improving the management of complex supply chains is a key to become competitive in the twenty-first century global market. Supply chains are composed of multi-plant facilities that must be coordinated and synchronised to cut waste and lead times. This paper proposes a Distributed Assembly Permutation Flowshop Scheduling Problem (DAPFSP) with two stages to model and study complex supply chains. This problem is a generalisation of the Distributed Permutation Flowshop Scheduling Problem (DPFSP). The first stage of the DAPFSP is composed of f identical production factories. Each one is a flowshop that produces jobs to be assembled into final products in a second assembly stage. The objective is to minimise the makespan. We present first a Mixed Integer Linear Programming model (MILP). Three constructive algorithms are proposed. Finally, a Variable Neighbourhood Descent (VND) algorithm has been designed and tested by a comprehensive ANOVA statistical analysis. The results show that the VND algorithm offers good performance to solve this scheduling problem.Ruben Ruiz is partially supported by the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation, under the project 'RESULT - Realistic Extended Scheduling Using Light Techniques' with reference DPI2012-36243-C02-01. Carlos Andres-Romano is partially supported by the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation, under the project 'INSAMBLE' - Scheduling at assembly/disassembly synchronised supply chains with reference DPI2011-27633.Hatami, S.; Ruiz García, R.; Andrés Romano, C. (2013). The distributed assembly permutation flowshop scheduling problem. International Journal of Production Research. 51(17):5292-5308. https://doi.org/10.1080/00207543.2013.807955S529253085117Basso, D., Chiarandini, M., & Salmaso, L. (2007). Synchronized permutation tests in replicated designs. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 137(8), 2564-2578. doi:10.1016/j.jspi.2006.04.016Biggs, D., De Ville, B., & Suen, E. 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An efficient constructive heuristic for flowtime minimisation in permutation flow shops. Omega, 31(4), 311-317. doi:10.1016/s0305-0483(03)00047-1Gao, J., & Chen, R. (2011). A hybrid genetic algorithm for the distributed permutation flowshop scheduling problem. International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems, 4(4), 497-508. doi:10.1080/18756891.2011.9727808Hansen, P., & Mladenović, N. (2001). Variable neighborhood search: Principles and applications. European Journal of Operational Research, 130(3), 449-467. doi:10.1016/s0377-2217(00)00100-4Hariri, A. M. A., & Potts, C. N. (1997). A branch and bound algorithm for the two-stage assembly scheduling problem. European Journal of Operational Research, 103(3), 547-556. doi:10.1016/s0377-2217(96)00312-8Jia, H. Z., Fuh, J. Y. H., Nee, A. Y. C., & Zhang, Y. F. (2002). Web-based Multi-functional Scheduling System for a Distributed Manufacturing Environment. Concurrent Engineering, 10(1), 27-39. doi:10.1177/1063293x02010001054Jia, H. Z., Nee, A. Y. C., Fuh, J. Y. H., & Zhang, Y. F. (2003). Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, 14(3/4), 351-362. doi:10.1023/a:1024653810491Jia, H. Z., Fuh, J. Y. H., Nee, A. Y. C., & Zhang, Y. F. (2007). Integration of genetic algorithm and Gantt chart for job shop scheduling in distributed manufacturing systems. Computers & Industrial Engineering, 53(2), 313-320. doi:10.1016/j.cie.2007.06.024Kass, G. V. (1980). An Exploratory Technique for Investigating Large Quantities of Categorical Data. Applied Statistics, 29(2), 119. doi:10.2307/2986296Lee, C.-Y., Cheng, T. C. E., & Lin, B. M. T. (1993). Minimizing the Makespan in the 3-Machine Assembly-Type Flowshop Scheduling Problem. Management Science, 39(5), 616-625. doi:10.1287/mnsc.39.5.616Morgan, J. N., & Sonquist, J. A. (1963). Problems in the Analysis of Survey Data, and a Proposal. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 58(302), 415-434. doi:10.1080/01621459.1963.10500855Pan, Q.-K., & Ruiz, R. (2012). Local search methods for the flowshop scheduling problem with flowtime minimization. European Journal of Operational Research, 222(1), 31-43. doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2012.04.034Potts, C. N., Sevast’janov, S. V., Strusevich, V. A., Van Wassenhove, L. N., & Zwaneveld, C. M. (1995). The Two-Stage Assembly Scheduling Problem: Complexity and Approximation. Operations Research, 43(2), 346-355. doi:10.1287/opre.43.2.346Ruiz, R., & Stützle, T. (2007). A simple and effective iterated greedy algorithm for the permutation flowshop scheduling problem. European Journal of Operational Research, 177(3), 2033-2049. doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2005.12.009Ruiz, R., Şerifoğlu, F. S., & Urlings, T. (2008). Modeling realistic hybrid flexible flowshop scheduling problems. Computers & Operations Research, 35(4), 1151-1175. doi:10.1016/j.cor.2006.07.014Ruiz, R., & Andrés-Romano, C. (2011). Scheduling unrelated parallel machines with resource-assignable sequence-dependent setup times. The International Journal of Advanced Manufacturing Technology, 57(5-8), 777-794. doi:10.1007/s00170-011-3318-2Stafford, E. F., Tseng, F. T., & Gupta, J. N. D. (2005). Comparative evaluation of MILP flowshop models. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 56(1), 88-101. doi:10.1057/palgrave.jors.2601805Tozkapan, A., Kırca, Ö., & Chung, C.-S. (2003). A branch and bound algorithm to minimize the total weighted flowtime for the two-stage assembly scheduling problem. Computers & Operations Research, 30(2), 309-320. doi:10.1016/s0305-0548(01)00098-3Tseng, F. T., & Stafford, E. F. (2008). New MILP models for the permutation flowshop problem. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 59(10), 1373-1386. doi:10.1057/palgrave.jors.260245

The Integration of Process Planning and Shop Floor Scheduling in Small Batch Part Manufacturing

In this paper we explore possibilities to cut manufacturing leadtimes and to improve delivery performance in a small batch part manufacturing shop by integrating process planning and shop floor scheduling. Using a set of initial process plans (one for each order in the shop), we exploit a resource decomposition procedure to determine schedules to determine schedules which minimize the maximum lateness, given these process plans. If the resulting schedule is still unsatisfactory, a critical path analysis is performed to select jobs as candidates for alternative process plans. In this way, an excellent due date performance can be achieved, with a minimum of process planning and scheduling effort

Bicriteria scheduling of a two-machine flowshop with sequence-dependent setup times

The official published version of the article can be found at the link below.A two-machine flowshop scheduling problem is addressed to minimize setups and makespan where each job is characterized by a pair of attributes that entail setups on each machine. The setup times are sequence-dependent on both machines. It is shown that these objectives conflict, so the Pareto optimization approach is considered. The scheduling problems considering either of these objectives are NP-hard , so exact optimization techniques are impractical for large-sized problems. We propose two multi-objective metaheurisctics based on genetic algorithms (MOGA) and simulated annealing (MOSA) to find approximations of Pareto-optimal sets. The performances of these approaches are compared with lower bounds for small problems. In larger problems, performance of the proposed algorithms are compared with each other. Experimentations revealed that both algorithms perform very similar on small problems. Moreover, it was observed that MOGA outperforms MOSA in terms of the quality of solutions on larger problems.Partial Funding from EPSRC under grant EP/D050863/1

Deterministic Assembly Scheduling Problems: A Review and Classification of Concurrent-Type Scheduling Models and Solution Procedures

Many activities in industry and services require the scheduling of tasks that can be concurrently executed, the most clear example being perhaps the assembly of products carried out in manufacturing. Although numerous scientific contributions have been produced on this area over the last decades, the wide extension of the problems covered and the lack of a unified approach have lead to a situation where the state of the art in the field is unclear, which in turn hinders new research and makes translating the scientific knowledge into practice difficult. In this paper we propose a unified notation for assembly scheduling models that encompass all concurrent-type scheduling problems. Using this notation, the existing contributions are reviewed and classified into a single framework, so a comprehensive, unified picture of the field is obtained. In addition, a number of conclusions regarding the state of the art in the topic are presented, as well as some opportunities for future research.Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación español DPI2016-80750-

Clips: a capacity and lead time integrated procedure for scheduling.

We propose a general procedure to address real life job shop scheduling problems. The shop typically produces a variety of products, each with its own arrival stream, its own route through the shop and a given customer due date. The procedure first determines the manufacturing lot sizes for each product. The objective is to minimize the expected lead time and therefore we model the production environment as a queueing network. Given these lead times, release dates are set dynamically. This in turn creates a time window for every manufacturing order in which the various operations have to be sequenced. The sequencing logic is based on a Extended Shifting Bottleneck Procedure. These three major decisions are next incorporated into a four phase hierarchical operational implementation scheme. A small numerical example is used to illustrate the methodology. The final objective however is to develop a procedure that is useful for large, real life shops. We therefore report on a real life application.Model; Models; Applications; Product; Scheduling;