3,357 research outputs found
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Asset liability management using stochastic programming
This chapter sets out to explain an important financial planning model
called asset liability management (ALM); in particular, it discusses why in
practice, optimum planning models are used. The ability to build an integrated
approach that combines liability models with that of asset allocation
decisions has proved to be desirable and more efficient in that it can lead to
better ALM decisions. The role of uncertainty and quantification of risk in
these planning models is considered
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Software tools for stochastic programming: A Stochastic Programming Integrated Environment (SPInE)
SP models combine the paradigm of dynamic linear programming with
modelling of random parameters, providing optimal decisions which hedge
against future uncertainties. Advances in hardware as well as software
techniques and solution methods have made SP a viable optimisation tool.
We identify a growing need for modelling systems which support the creation
and investigation of SP problems. Our SPInE system integrates a number of
components which include a flexible modelling tool (based on stochastic
extensions of the algebraic modelling languages AMPL and MPL), stochastic
solvers, as well as special purpose scenario generators and database tools.
We introduce an asset/liability management model and illustrate how SPInE
can be used to create and process this model as a multistage SP application
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Dynamic asset (and liability) management under market and credit risk
We introduce a modelling paradigm which integrates credit risk and market
risk in describing the random dynamical behaviour of the underlying fixed income assets.
We then consider an asset and liability management (ALM) problem and develop a mul-
tistage stochastic programming model which focuses on optimum risk decisions. These
models exploit the dynamical multiperiod structure of credit risk and provide insight
into the corrective recourse decisions whereby issues such as the timing risk of default is
appropriately taken into consideration. We also present a index tracking model in which
risk is measured (and optimised) by the CVaR of the tracking portfolio in relation to the
index. Both in- and out-of-sample (backtesting) experiments are undertaken to validate
our approach. In this way we are able to demonstrate the feasibility and flexibility of
the chosen framework
An asset and liability management (ALM) model using integrated chance constraints
This paper discusses and develops a Two Stage Integrated Chance Constraints Programming for the Employees Provident Fund Malaysia. The main aim is to manage, that is, balance assets and liabilities. Integrated Chance Constraints not only limit the event of underfunding but also the amount of underfunding. This paper includes the numerical illustration
Asset liability management modeling using multi-stage mixed-integer stochastic programming
A pension fund has to match the portfolio of long-term liabilities with the portfolio of assets. Key instruments in strategic Asset Liability Management (ALM) are the adjustments of the contribution rate of the sponsor and the reallocation of the investments in several asset classes at various points of time. We formulate a multistage mixed-integer stochastic program to model this ALM process. Special attention is paid to the use of binary variables.
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A decision model for natural oil buying policy under uncertainty
A manufacturer, in a fast moving consumer goods industry, buys Natural oils from a number of oil suppliers world-wide. The prices of these oils are the major raw material cost in producing the consumer goods, which are also sold world-wide. The volatility in the international prices of the Natural oils has signiÂŻcant impact on the planning and budgets decisions. Since the oils are bought and the ÂŻnished products are sold in markets throughout the world, the manufacturer is exposed to a variety of market uncertainties and the resulting risks. These uncertainties are the raw material prices, the demand and the therefore the selling prices for the finished goods- all of which influence the profitability of the manufacturing firm. The risks can be minimised by entering into futures contract of appropriate duration, that is, by following a schedule of "forward"' purchase of oil (with specific series of future delivery dates) with the oil suppliers. We formulate this problem as a two-stage Stochastic Program (SP) using the futures and the spot prices for the Natural oil. This SP model gives robust decisions that hedge against the uncertainties in the Natural oil prices and the demand for the finished products. The uncertainty in the oil prices and the demand are
modelled through a scenario generator. We have constructed a decision support system (DSS) that integrates the SP model, the scenario generator and the solution algorithm. This DSS also provides the decision maker a profile of the risk and return exposures for different policies
A mixed integer linear programming model for optimal sovereign debt issuance
Copyright @ 2011, Elsevier. NOTICE: this is the authorâs version of a work that was accepted for publication in the European Journal of Operational Research. Changes resulting from the publishing process, such as peer review, editing, corrections, structural formatting, and other quality control mechanisms may not be reflected in this document. Changes may have been made to this work since it was submitted for publication. A definitive version is available at the link below.Governments borrow funds to finance the excess of cash payments or interest payments over receipts, usually by issuing fixed income debt and index-linked debt. The goal of this work is to propose a stochastic optimization-based approach to determine the composition of the portfolio issued over a series of government auctions for the fixed income debt, to minimize the cost of servicing debt while controlling risk and maintaining market liquidity. We show that this debt issuance problem can be modeled as a mixed integer linear programming problem with a receding horizon. The stochastic model for the interest rates is calibrated using a Kalman filter and the future interest rates are represented using a recombining trinomial lattice for the purpose of scenario-based optimization. The use of a latent factor interest rate model and a recombining lattice provides us with a realistic, yet very tractable scenario generator and allows us to do a multi-stage stochastic optimization involving integer variables on an ordinary desktop in a matter of seconds. This, in turn, facilitates frequent re-calibration of the interest rate model and re-optimization of the issuance throughout the budgetary year allows us to respond to the changes in the interest rate environment. We successfully demonstrate the utility of our approach by out-of-sample back-testing on the UK debt issuance data
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Developments in linear and integer programming
In this review we describe recent developments in linear and integer (linear) programming. For over 50 years Operational Research practitioners have made use of linear optimisation models to aid decision making and over this period the size of problems that can be solved has increased dramatically, the time required to solve problems has decreased substantially and the flexibility of modelling and solving systems has increased steadily. Large models are no longer confined to large computers, and the flexibility of optimisation systems embedded in other decision support tools has made on-line decision making using linear programming a reality (and using integer programming a possibility). The review focuses on recent developments in algorithms, software and applications and investigates some connections between linear optimisation and other technologies
Risk-sensitive investment in a finite-factor model
A new jump diffusion regime-switching model is introduced, which allows for
linking jumps in asset prices with regime changes. We prove the existence and
uniqueness of the solution to the risk-sensitive asset management criterion
maximisation problem in this setting. We provide an ODE for the optimal value
function, which may be efficiently solved numerically. Relevant probability
measure changes are discussed in the appendix. The approach of Klebaner and
Lipster (2014) is used to prove the martingale property of the relevant density
processes.Comment: 23 pages, 1 figur
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