Sample adaptive multiple kernel learning for failure prediction of railway points

© 2019 Association for Computing Machinery. Railway points are among the key components of railway infrastructure. As a part of signal equipment, points control the routes of trains at railway junctions, having a significant impact on the reliability, capacity, and punctuality of rail transport. Meanwhile, they are also one of the most fragile parts in railway systems. Points failures cause a large portion of railway incidents. Traditionally, maintenance of points is based on a fixed time interval or raised after the equipment failures. Instead, it would be of great value if we could forecast points' failures and take action beforehand, min-imising any negative effect. To date, most of the existing prediction methods are either lab-based or relying on specially installed sensors which makes them infeasible for large-scale implementation. Besides, they often use data from only one source. We, therefore, explore a new way that integrates multi-source data which are ready to hand to fulfil this task. We conducted our case study based on Sydney Trains rail network which is an extensive network of passenger and freight railways. Unfortunately, the real-world data are usually incomplete due to various reasons, e.g., faults in the database, operational errors or transmission faults. Besides, railway points differ in their locations, types and some other properties, which means it is hard to use a unified model to predict their failures. Aiming at this challenging task, we firstly constructed a dataset from multiple sources and selected key features with the help of domain experts. In this paper, we formulate our prediction task as a multiple kernel learning problem with missing kernels. We present a robust multiple kernel learning algorithm for predicting points failures. Our model takes into account the missing pattern of data as well as the inherent variance on different sets of railway points. Extensive experiments demonstrate the superiority of our algorithm compared with other state-of-the-art methods

Multiscale Machine Learning and Numerical Investigation of Ageing in Infrastructures

Infrastructure is a critical component of a country’s economic growth. Interaction with extreme service environments can adversely affect the long-term performance of infrastructure and accelerate ageing. This research focuses on using machine learning to improve the efficiency of analysing the multiscale ageing impact on infrastructure. First, a data-driven campaign is developed to analyse the condition of an ageing infrastructure. A machine learning-based framework is proposed to predict the state of various assets across a railway system. The ageing of the bond in fibre-reinforced polymer (FRP)-strengthened concrete elements is investigated using machine learning. Different machine learning models are developed to characterise the long-term performance of the bond. The environmental ageing of composite materials is investigated by a micromechanics-based machine learning model. A mathematical framework is developed to automatically generate microstructures. The microstructures are analysed by the finite element (FE) method. The generated data is used to develop a machine learning model to study the degradation of the transverse performance of composites under humid conditions. Finally, a multiscale FE and machine learning framework is developed to expand the understanding of composite material ageing. A moisture diffusion analysis is performed to simulate the water uptake of composites under water immersion conditions. The results are downscaled to obtain micromodel stress fields. Numerical homogenisation is used to obtain the composite transverse behaviour. A machine learning model is developed based on the multiscale simulation results to model the ageing process of composites under water immersion. The frameworks developed in this thesis demonstrate how machine learning improves the analysis of ageing across multiple scales of infrastructure. The resulting understanding can help develop more efficient strategies for the rehabilitation of ageing infrastructure

Big Data Analytics for Condition Based Monitoring and Maintenance

University of Technology Sydney. Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology.Condition-based Maintenance (CBM) will significantly achieve the cost-saving while monitoring the related infrastructure through the most accurate maintenance scheduling. It also increases the reliability of monitored equipment. For example, in the field of rail transport, it helps ensure trains run on time and plays a critical role in the safety of railway operation. A key prerequisite for CBM is accurate fault prediction, which can be achieved through predictive machine learning models. Although artificial intelligence and machine learning have become successes in many applications, their potentials in CBM have not been fully recognised. The growing scale and modality of railway data bring opportunities as well as challenges to machine learning models. In this thesis, three key challenges were abstracted with regard to data analytics using machine learning technics for fault prediction, resulting from the sparse high-dimensional data, the incomplete data, and the multisource data. Then the three challenges were studied from an algorithmic point of view. The sparse high-dimensional data commonly exist in maintenance logs, in a format of categorical variables. Normally, a sophisticated feature engineering process is required to extract the complex feature-interactions, while the high dimensionality, sparseness, and the lack of reliable domain knowledge make this process quite ad-hoc and subject to strong personal opinion/experience of each individual engineer. This thesis proposed field-regularised factorisation machines to learn the complex feature-interactions automatically from such data and evaluated the proposed method with maintenance logs of railway points in a railway network. Another challenge comes with the fact that real-world data are usually incomplete due to various reasons, e.g., faults in the database, operational errors or transmission faults. To address these issues, this thesis proposed a missingness-pattern-adaptive model, which adaptively adjusts the predictive function for incomplete data. Some theoretical evidence was provided to support the correctness of our model. This model was tested with several public datasets with internal missing values. Generally, the predictive task for CBM can involve data from multiple sources, such as weather conditions, sensors, and maintenance logs. For the multi-source data, this thesis proposed a sample-adaptive multiple-kernel learning algorithm to facilitate the fusion of data for the predictive task. To verify the effectiveness of this method, experiments were conducted on real-life data generated by a large-scale railway network

Information Theory and Its Application in Machine Condition Monitoring

Condition monitoring of machinery is one of the most important aspects of many modern industries. With the rapid advancement of science and technology, machines are becoming increasingly complex. Moreover, an exponential increase of demand is leading an increasing requirement of machine output. As a result, in most modern industries, machines have to work for 24 hours a day. All these factors are leading to the deterioration of machine health in a higher rate than before. Breakdown of the key components of a machine such as bearing, gearbox or rollers can cause a catastrophic effect both in terms of financial and human costs. In this perspective, it is important not only to detect the fault at its earliest point of inception but necessary to design the overall monitoring process, such as fault classification, fault severity assessment and remaining useful life (RUL) prediction for better planning of the maintenance schedule. Information theory is one of the pioneer contributions of modern science that has evolved into various forms and algorithms over time. Due to its ability to address the non-linearity and non-stationarity of machine health deterioration, it has become a popular choice among researchers. Information theory is an effective technique for extracting features of machines under different health conditions. In this context, this book discusses the potential applications, research results and latest developments of information theory-based condition monitoring of machineries

Railway point machine prognostics based on feature fusion and health state assessment

This paper presents a condition monitoring approach for point machine prognostics to increase the reliability, availability, and safety in railway transportation industry. The proposed approach is composed of three steps: 1) health indicator (HI) construction by data fusion, 2) health state assessment, and 3) failure prognostics. In Step 1, the time-domain features are extracted and evaluated by hybrid and consistency feature evaluation metrics to select the best class of prognostics features. Then, the selected feature class is combined with the adaptive feature fusion algorithm to build a generic point machine HI. In Step 2, health state division is accomplished by time-series segmentation algorithm using the fused HI. Then, fault detection is performed by using a support vector machine classifier. Once the faulty state has been classified (i.e., incipient/starting fault), the single spectral analysis recurrent forecasting is triggered to estimate the component remaining useful life. The proposed methodology is validated on in-field point machine sliding-chair degradation data. The results show that the approach can be effectively used in railway point machine monitoring

Detection and Classification of Anomalies in Railway Tracks

Em Portugal, existe uma grande afluência dos transportes ferroviários. Acontece que as empresas que providenciam esses serviços por vezes necessitam de efetuar manutenção às vias-férreas/infraestruturas, o que leva à indisponibilização e/ou atraso dos serviços e máquinas, e consequentemente perdas monetárias. Assim sendo, torna-se necessário preparar um plano de manutenção e prever quando será fundamental efetuar manutenções, de forma a minimizar perdas. Através de um sistema de manutenção preditivo, é possível efetuar a manutenção apenas quando esta é necessária. Este tipo de sistema monitoriza continuamente máquinas e/ou processos, permitindo determinar quando a manutenção deverá existir. Uma das formas de fazer esta análise é treinar algoritmos de machine learning com uma grande quantidade de dados provenientes das máquinas e/ou processos. Nesta dissertação, o objetivo é contribuir para o desenvolvimento de um sistema de manutenção preditivo nas vias-férreas. O contributo específico será detetar e classificar anomalias. Para tal, recorrem-se a técnicas de Machine Learning e Deep Learning, mais concretamente algoritmos não supervisionados e semi-supervisionados, pois o conjunto de dados fornecido possui um número reduzido de anomalias. A escolha dos algoritmos é feita com base naquilo que atualmente é mais utilizado e apresenta melhores resultados. Assim sendo, o primeiro passo da dissertação consistiu em investigar quais as implementações mais comuns para detetar e classificar anomalias em sistemas de manutenção preditivos. Após a investigação, foram treinados os algoritmos que à primeira vista seriam capazes de se adaptar ao cenário apresentado, procurando encontrar os melhores hiperparâmetros para os mesmos. Chegou-se à conclusão, através da comparação da performance, que o mais enquadrado para abordar o problema da identificação das anomalias seria uma rede neuronal artifical Autoencoder. Através dos resultados deste modelo, foi possível definir thresholds para efetuar posteriormente a classificação da anomalia.In Portugal, the railway tracks commonly require maintenance, which leads to a stop/delay of the services, and consequently monetary losses and the non-full use of the equipment. With the use of a Predictive Maintenance System, these problems can be minimized, since these systems continuously monitor the machines and/or processes and determine when maintenance is required. Predictive Maintenance systems can be put together with machine and/or deep learning algorithms since they can be trained with high volumes of historical data and provide diagnosis, detect and classify anomalies, and estimate the lifetime of a machine/process. This dissertation contributes to developing a predictive maintenance system for railway tracks/infrastructure. The main objectives are to detect and classify anomalies in the railway track. To achieve this, unsupervised and semi-supervised algorithms are tested and tuned to determine the one that best adapts to the presented scenario. The algorithms need to be unsupervised and semi-supervised given the few anomalous labels in the dataset