Stochastic techniques for the design of robust and efficient emission trading mechanisms

The assessment of greenhouse gases (GHGs) emitted to and removed from the atmosphere is highon both political and scientific agendas internationally. As increasing international concern and cooper- ation aim at policy-oriented solutions to the climate change problem, several issues have begun to arise regarding verification and compliance under both proposed and legislated schemes meant to reduce the human-induced global climate impact. The issues of concern are rooted in the level of confidence with which national emission assessments can be performed, as well as the management of uncertainty and its role in developing informed policy. The approaches to addressing uncertainty that was discussed at the 2nd International Workshop on Uncertainty in Greenhouse Gas Inventories 1 attempt to improve national inventories or to provide a basis for the standardization of inventory estimates to enable comparison of emissions and emission changes across countries. Some authors use detailed uncertainty analyses to enforce the current structure of the emissions trading system while others attempt to internalize high levels of uncertainty by tailoring the emissions trading market rules. In all approaches, uncertainty analysis is regarded as a key component of national GHG inventory analyses. This presentation will provide an overview of the topics that are discussed among scientists at the aforementioned workshop to support robust decision making. These range from achieving and report- ing GHG emission inventories at global, national and sub-national scales; to accounting for uncertainty of emissions and emission changes across these scales; to bottom-up versus top-down emission analy- ses; to detecting and analyzing emission changes vis-a-vis their underlying uncertainties; to reconciling short-term emission commitments and long-term concentration targets; to dealing with verification, com- pliance and emissions trading; to communicating, negotiating and effectively using uncertainty

Light Commercial Vehicle ADAS-Oriented Modelling: An Optimization-Based Conversion Tool from Multibody to Real-Time Vehicle Dynamics Model

In the last few years, the number of Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) on road vehicles has been increased with the aim of dramatically reducing road accidents. Therefore, the OEMs need to integrate and test these systems, to comply with the safety regulations. To lower the development cost, instead of experimental testing, many virtual simulation scenarios need to be tested for ADAS validation. The classic multibody vehicle approach, normally used to design and optimize vehicle dynamics performance, is not always suitable to cope with these new tasks; therefore, real-time lumped-parameter vehicle models implementation becomes more and more necessary. This paper aims at providing a methodology to convert experimentally validated light commercial vehicles (LCV) multibody models (MBM) into real-time lumped-parameter models (RTM). The proposed methodology involves the definition of the vehicle subsystems and the level of complexity required to achieve a good match between the simulation results obtained from the two models. Thus, an automatic vehicle model converter will be presented together with the assessment of its accuracy. An optimization phase is included into the conversion tool, to fine-tune uncertain vehicle parameters and to compensate for inherent modelling differences. The objective function of the optimization is based on typical performance indices used for vehicle longitudinal and lateral dynamics assessment. Finally, the simulation results from the original and converted models are compared during steady-state and transient tests, to prove the conversion fidelity