High-Resolution Road Vehicle Collision Prediction for the City of Montreal

Road accidents are an important issue of our modern societies, responsible for millions of deaths and injuries every year in the world. In Quebec only, in 2018, road accidents are responsible for 359 deaths and 33 thousands of injuries. In this paper, we show how one can leverage open datasets of a city like Montreal, Canada, to create high-resolution accident prediction models, using big data analytics. Compared to other studies in road accident prediction, we have a much higher prediction resolution, i.e., our models predict the occurrence of an accident within an hour, on road segments defined by intersections. Such models could be used in the context of road accident prevention, but also to identify key factors that can lead to a road accident, and consequently, help elaborate new policies. We tested various machine learning methods to deal with the severe class imbalance inherent to accident prediction problems. In particular, we implemented the Balanced Random Forest algorithm, a variant of the Random Forest machine learning algorithm in Apache Spark. Interestingly, we found that in our case, Balanced Random Forest does not perform significantly better than Random Forest. Experimental results show that 85% of road vehicle collisions are detected by our model with a false positive rate of 13%. The examples identified as positive are likely to correspond to high-risk situations. In addition, we identify the most important predictors of vehicle collisions for the area of Montreal: the count of accidents on the same road segment during previous years, the temperature, the day of the year, the hour and the visibility

Remote Sensing of Natural Hazards

Each year, natural hazards such as earthquakes, cyclones, flooding, landslides, wildfires, avalanches, volcanic eruption, extreme temperatures, storm surges, drought, etc., result in widespread loss of life, livelihood, and critical infrastructure globally. With the unprecedented growth of the human population, largescale development activities, and changes to the natural environment, the frequency and intensity of extreme natural events and consequent impacts are expected to increase in the future.Technological interventions provide essential provisions for the prevention and mitigation of natural hazards. The data obtained through remote sensing systems with varied spatial, spectral, and temporal resolutions particularly provide prospects for furthering knowledge on spatiotemporal patterns and forecasting of natural hazards. The collection of data using earth observation systems has been valuable for alleviating the adverse effects of natural hazards, especially with their near real-time capabilities for tracking extreme natural events. Remote sensing systems from different platforms also serve as an important decision-support tool for devising response strategies, coordinating rescue operations, and making damage and loss estimations.With these in mind, this book seeks original contributions to the advanced applications of remote sensing and geographic information systems (GIS) techniques in understanding various dimensions of natural hazards through new theory, data products, and robust approaches

3D Classification of Power Line Scene Using Airborne Lidar Data

Failure to adequately maintain vegetation within a power line corridor has been identified as a main cause of the August 14, 2003 electric power blackout. Such that, timely and accurate corridor mapping and monitoring are indispensible to mitigate such disaster. Moreover, airborne LiDAR (Light Detection And Ranging) has been recently introduced and widely utilized in industries and academies thanks to its potential to automate the data processing for scene analysis including power line corridor mapping. However, today’s corridor mapping practice using LiDAR in industries still remains an expensive manual process that is not suitable for the large-scale, rapid commercial compilation of corridor maps. Additionally, in academies only few studies have developed algorithms capable of recognizing corridor objects in the power line scene, which are mostly based on 2-dimensional classification. Thus, the objective of this dissertation is to develop a 3-dimensional classification system which is able to automatically identify key objects in the power line corridor from large-scale LiDAR data. This dissertation introduces new features for power structures, especially for the electric pylon, and existing features which are derived through diverse piecewise (i.e., point, line and plane) feature extraction, and then constructs a classification model pool by building individual models according to the piecewise feature sets and diverse voltage training samples using Random Forests. Finally, this dissertation proposes a Multiple Classifier System (MCS) which provides an optimal committee of models from the model pool for classification of new incoming power line scene. The proposed MCS has been tested on a power line corridor where medium voltage transmission lines (115 kV and 230 kV) pass. The classification results based on the MCS applied by optimally selecting the pre-built classification models according to the voltage type of the test corridor demonstrate a good accuracy (89.07%) and computationally effective time cost (approximately 4 hours/km) without additional training fees

A remote sensing perspective: mapping the human footprint in the Zambezi region of Namibia.

The “human footprint” can be used as a general proxy to estimate human activities across the landscape. The human footprint in the Zambezi Region of Namibia is critically important for regional management of conservation efforts and land use planning. The land covers in the Zambezi Region are characteristically difficult to separate spectrally, due to a highly heterogeneous savanna landscape. Object Based Image Analysis (OBIA) and Random Forest (RF) methods are notable for their ability to improve classification accuracies of remotely sensed imagery. In this study, I investigate the extent of the human footprint in the Zambezi Region of Namibia, using OBIA, RF, and a hybrid Object-based Random Forest approach. Results highlight that Object-based approaches score 5-10% better than a pixel-based RF approach in overall accuracy. Further investigation into the human footprint of the Zambezi Region is necessary for regional and local conservation and sustainable development

Spatial prediction of flood susceptible areas using machine learning approach: a focus on west african region

Dissertation submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial TechnologiesThe constant change in the environment due to increasing urbanization and climate change has led to recurrent flood occurrences with a devastating impact on lives and properties. Therefore, it is essential to identify the factors that drive flood occurrences, and flood locations prone to flooding which can be achieved through the performance of Flood Susceptibility Modelling (FSM) utilizing stand-alone and hybrid machine learning models to attain accurate and sustainable results which can instigate mitigation measures and flood risk control. In this research, novel hybridizations of Index of Entropy (IOE) with Decision Tree (DT), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF) was performed and equally as stand-alone models in Flood Susceptibility Modelling (FSM) and results of each model compared. First, feature selection and multi-collinearity analysis were performed to identify the predictive ability and the inter-relationship among the factors. Subsequently, IOE was performed as bivariate and multivariate statistical analysis to assess the correlation among the flood influencing factor’s classes with flooding and the overall influence (weight) of each factor on flooding. Subsequently, the weight generated was used in training the machine learning models. The performance of the proposed models was assessed using the popular Area Under Curve (AUC) and statistical metrics. Percentagewise, results attained reveals that DT-IOE hybrid model had the highest prediction accuracy of 87.1% while the DT had the lowest prediction performance of 77.0%. Among the other models, the result attained highlight that the proposed hybrid of machine learning and statistical models had a higher performance than the stand-alone models which reflect the detailed assessment performed by the hybrid models. The final susceptibility maps derived revealed that about 21% of the study area are highly prone to flooding and it is revealed that human-induced factors do have a huge influence on flooding in the region

Landslide Mapping and Susceptibility Assessment of Chittagong Hilly Areas, Bangladesh

Landslides are natural phenomena in mountainous areas that cause damage to properties and death to people around the world. In Bangladesh, landslides have caused enormous economic loss and casualty in Chittagong Hilly Areas (CHA). In this dissertation, a landslide inventory of CHA was prepared using Google Earth and field mapping. Google Earth-based mapping helped in recording landslides in inaccessible areas like forests. In contrast, field mapping helped in mapping landslides in accessible areas like areas near road networks. For absence data sampling of landslide susceptibility mapping, this research proposed the Mahalanobis distance (MD) based absence data sampling and compared it with the slope-based absence data sampling. Three Upazilas (subdistricts) of Rangamati district, Bangladesh was used as the study area. Fifteen landslide causal factors, including slope aspect, plan curvature, and geology, were used in the random forest model for landslide susceptibility mapping. The area under the success and prediction rate curves, statistical indices including the Kappa index, showed that both the absence data sampling method provided similar accuracy. But based on the Seed Cell Area Index (SCAI) MD based landslide susceptibility map was more consistent and did not overestimate the landslide susceptibility like the slope-based model. Finally, this study assessed the impact of three land use/land cover (LULC) scenarios: a. existing (2018); b. Proposed LULC (Planned); and c. Simulated (2028) LULC on landslide susceptibility of Rangamati municipality of Rangamati district. The random forest model was used, and it showed that high susceptibility zones would increase in both proposed and simulated LULC scenarios. It indicated that LULC change would increase the landslide susceptibility in the study area. The increase of landslide susceptibility is comparatively low in the proposed LULC, indicating the importance of implementing planned LULC in the study