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State-of-the-art on research and applications of machine learning in the building life cycle
Fueled by big data, powerful and affordable computing resources, and advanced algorithms, machine learning has been explored and applied to buildings research for the past decades and has demonstrated its potential to enhance building performance. This study systematically surveyed how machine learning has been applied at different stages of building life cycle. By conducting a literature search on the Web of Knowledge platform, we found 9579 papers in this field and selected 153 papers for an in-depth review. The number of published papers is increasing year by year, with a focus on building design, operation, and control. However, no study was found using machine learning in building commissioning. There are successful pilot studies on fault detection and diagnosis of HVAC equipment and systems, load prediction, energy baseline estimate, load shape clustering, occupancy prediction, and learning occupant behaviors and energy use patterns. None of the existing studies were adopted broadly by the building industry, due to common challenges including (1) lack of large scale labeled data to train and validate the model, (2) lack of model transferability, which limits a model trained with one data-rich building to be used in another building with limited data, (3) lack of strong justification of costs and benefits of deploying machine learning, and (4) the performance might not be reliable and robust for the stated goals, as the method might work for some buildings but could not be generalized to others. Findings from the study can inform future machine learning research to improve occupant comfort, energy efficiency, demand flexibility, and resilience of buildings, as well as to inspire young researchers in the field to explore multidisciplinary approaches that integrate building science, computing science, data science, and social science
Flow-based Intrinsic Curiosity Module
In this paper, we focus on a prediction-based novelty estimation strategy
upon the deep reinforcement learning (DRL) framework, and present a flow-based
intrinsic curiosity module (FICM) to exploit the prediction errors from optical
flow estimation as exploration bonuses. We propose the concept of leveraging
motion features captured between consecutive observations to evaluate the
novelty of observations in an environment. FICM encourages a DRL agent to
explore observations with unfamiliar motion features, and requires only two
consecutive frames to obtain sufficient information when estimating the
novelty. We evaluate our method and compare it with a number of existing
methods on multiple benchmark environments, including Atari games, Super Mario
Bros., and ViZDoom. We demonstrate that FICM is favorable to tasks or
environments featuring moving objects, which allow FICM to utilize the motion
features between consecutive observations. We further ablatively analyze the
encoding efficiency of FICM, and discuss its applicable domains
comprehensively.Comment: The SOLE copyright holder is IJCAI (International Joint Conferences
on Artificial Intelligence), all rights reserved. The link is provided as
follows: https://www.ijcai.org/Proceedings/2020/28
Wind Power Forecasting Methods Based on Deep Learning: A Survey
Accurate wind power forecasting in wind farm can effectively reduce the enormous impact on grid operation safety when high permeability intermittent power supply is connected to the power grid. Aiming to provide reference strategies for relevant researchers as well as practical applications, this paper attempts to provide the literature investigation and methods analysis of deep learning, enforcement learning and transfer learning in wind speed and wind power forecasting modeling. Usually, wind speed and wind power forecasting around a wind farm requires the calculation of the next moment of the definite state, which is usually achieved based on the state of the atmosphere that encompasses nearby atmospheric pressure, temperature, roughness, and obstacles. As an effective method of high-dimensional feature extraction, deep neural network can theoretically deal with arbitrary nonlinear transformation through proper structural design, such as adding noise to outputs, evolutionary learning used to optimize hidden layer weights, optimize the objective function so as to save information that can improve the output accuracy while filter out the irrelevant or less affected information for forecasting. The establishment of high-precision wind speed and wind power forecasting models is always a challenge due to the randomness, instantaneity and seasonal characteristics
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