Mapping winter wheat with combinations of temporally aggregated Sentinel-2 and Landsat-8 data in Shandong Province, China

Winter wheat is one of the major cereal crops in China. The spatial distribution of winter wheat planting areas is closely related to food security; however, mapping winter wheat with time-series finer spatial resolution satellite images across large areas is challenging. This paper explores the potential of combining temporally aggregated Landsat-8 OLI and Sentinel-2 MSI data available via the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform for mapping winter wheat in Shandong Province, China. First, six phenological median composites of Landsat-8 OLI and Sentinel-2 MSI reflectance measures were generated by a temporal aggregation technique according to the winter wheat phenological calendar, which covered seedling, tillering, over-wintering, reviving, jointing-heading and maturing phases, respectively. Then, Random Forest (RF) classifier was used to classify multi-temporal composites but also mono-temporal winter wheat development phases and mono-sensor data. The results showed that winter wheat could be classified with an overall accuracy of 93.4% and F1 measure (the harmonic mean of producer’s and user’s accuracy) of 0.97 with temporally aggregated Landsat-8 and Sentinel-2 data were combined. As our results also revealed, it was always good to classify multi-temporal images compared to mono-temporal imagery (the overall accuracy dropped from 93.4% to as low as 76.4%). It was also good to classify Landsat-8 OLI and Sentinel-2 MSI imagery combined instead of classifying them individually. The analysis showed among the mono-temporal winter wheat development phases that the maturing phase’s and reviving phase’s data were more important than the data for other mono-temporal winter wheat development phases. In sum, this study confirmed the importance of using temporally aggregated Landsat-8 OLI and Sentinel-2 MSI data combined and identified key winter wheat development phases for accurate winter wheat classification. These results can be useful to benefit on freely available optical satellite data (Landsat-8 OLI and Sentinel-2 MSI) and prioritize key winter wheat development phases for accurate mapping winter wheat planting areas across China and elsewhere

Forecasting wheat and barley crop production in arid and semi-arid regions using remotely sensed primary productivity and crop phenology:A case study in Iraq

Crop production and yield estimation using remotely sensed data have been studied widely, but such information is generally scarce in arid and semi-arid regions. In these regions, inter-annual variation in climatic factors (such as rainfall) combined with anthropogenic factors (such as civil war) pose major risks to food security. Thus, an operational crop production estimation and forecasting system is required to help decision-makers to make early estimates of potential food availability. Data from NASA's MODIS with official crop statistics were combined to develop an empirical regression-based model to forecast winter wheat and barley production in Iraq. The study explores remotely sensed indices representing crop productivity over the crop growing season to find the optimal correlation with crop production. The potential of three different remotely sensed indices, and information related to the phenology of crops, for forecasting crop production at the governorate level was tested and their results were validated using the leave-one-year-out approach. Despite testing several methodological approaches, and extensive spatio-temporal analysis, this paper depicts the difficulty in estimating crop yield on an annual base using current satellite low-resolution data. However, more precise estimates of crop production were possible. The result of the current research implies that the date of the maximum vegetation index (VI) offered the most accurate forecast of crop production with an average R2 = 0.70 compared to the date of MODIS EVI (Avg R2 = 0.68) and a NPP (Avg R2 = 0.66). When winter wheat and barley production were forecasted using NDVI, EVI and NPP and compared to official statistics, the relative error ranged from − 20 to 20%, − 45 to 28% and − 48 to 22%, respectively. The research indicated that remotely sensed indices could characterize and forecast crop production more accurately than simple cropping area, which was treated as a null model against which to evaluate the proposed approach

Correlation maps to assess soybean yield from EVI data in Paraná State, Brazil

Vegetation indices are widely used to monitor crop development and generally used as input data in models to forecast yield. The first step of this study consisted of using monthly Maximum Value Composites to create correlation maps using Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) sensor mounted on Terra satellite and historical yield during the soybean crop cycle in Paraná State, Brazil, from 2000/2001 to 2010/2011. We compared the ability of forecasting crop yield based on correlation maps and crop specific masks. We ran a preliminary regression model to test its ability on yield estimation for four municipalities during the soybean growing season. A regression model was developed for both methodologies to forecast soybean crop yield using leave-one-out cross validation. The Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) values in the implementation of the model ranged from 0.037 t ha−1 to 0.19 t ha−1 using correlation maps, while for crop specific masks, it varied from 0.21 t ha−1 to 0.35 t ha−1. The model was able to explain 96 % to 98 % of the variance in estimated yield from correlation maps, while it was able to explain only 2 % to 67 % for crop specific mask approach. The results showed that the correlation maps could be used to predict crop yield more effectively than crop specific masks. In addition, this method can provide an indication of soybean yield prior to harvesting

SPECTRAL AGROMETEOROLOGICAL MODELING ADAPTED BY MEANS OF SIMPLIFIED TRIANGLE METHOD FOR SOYBEAN IN PARANÁ STATE – BRAZIL

Agriculture is an economic activity with high dependence on weather and climate. Special geotechnology and agrometeorological modeling can be used to optimize productivity in regional and national systems, while minimizing costs. The aim was to test the agrometeorological model for estimating crop soybean yield proposed by Doorenbos and Kassam (1979), using only spectral data as input variable in the model obtained by a simplified triangle method applied in Paraná state, for crop years 2002/03 to 2011/12. A high accuracy of the data was found, the model values for the parameter d1 ("d1" modified Willmott) were between 0.8 and 0.95, whereas the root mean squared error showed that there was low variation between 30.81 to 116.88 (kg ha-1) and the p-value was used as the indicator significance of the model at the level of 5%, indicating that there was no statistically significant difference between the estimated and observed data, this means that the average of the data estimated by the model were statistically equal the average of the observed data. Thus, we can say that images of remote sensing can be used as tools in the absence of surface information, in agrometeorological modeling to estimate crop soybean yield

Towards a set of agrosystem-specific cropland mapping methods to address the global cropland diversity

Accurate cropland information is of paramount importance for crop monitoring. This study compares five existing cropland mapping methodologies over five contrasting Joint Experiment for Crop Assessment and Monitoring (JECAM) sites of medium to large average field size using the time series of 7-day 250 m Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) mean composites (red and near-infrared channels). Different strategies were devised to assess the accuracy of the classification methods: confusion matrices and derived accuracy indicators with and without equalizing class proportions, assessing the pairwise difference error rates and accounting for the spatial resolution bias. The robustness of the accuracy with respect to a reduction of the quantity of calibration data available was also assessed by a bootstrap approach in which the amount of training data was systematically reduced. Methods reached overall accuracies ranging from 85% to 95%, which demonstrates the ability of 250 m imagery to resolve fields down to 20 ha. Despite significantly different error rates, the site effect was found to persistently dominate the method effect. This was confirmed even after removing the share of the classification due to the spatial resolution of the satellite data (from 10% to 30%). This underlines the effect of other agrosystems characteristics such as cloudiness, crop diversity, and calendar on the ability to perform accurately. All methods have potential for large area cropland mapping as they provided accurate results with 20% of the calibration data, e.g. 2% of the study area in Ukraine. To better address the global cropland diversity, results advocate movement towards a set of cropland classification methods that could be applied regionally according to their respective performance in specific landscapes.Instituto de Clima y AguaFil: Waldner, François. Université catholique de Louvain. Earth and Life Institute - Environment, Croix du Sud; BelgicaFil: De Abelleyra, Diego. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA). Instituto de Clima y Agua; ArgentinaFil: Veron, Santiago Ramón. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA). Instituto de Clima y Agua; Argentina. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Agronomía. Departamento de Métodos Cuantitativos y Sistemas de Información; ArgentinaFil: Zhang, Miao. Chinese Academy of Science. Institute of Remote Sensing and Digital Earth; ChinaFil: Wu, Bingfang. Chinese Academy of Science. Institute of Remote Sensing and Digital Earth; ChinaFil: Plotnikov, Dmitry. Russian Academy of Sciences. Space Research Institute. Terrestrial Ecosystems Monitoring Laboratory; RusiaFil: Bartalev, Sergey. Russian Academy of Sciences. Space Research Institute. Terrestrial Ecosystems Monitoring Laboratory; RusiaFil: Lavreniuk, Mykola. Space Research Institute NAS and SSA. Department of Space Information Technologies; UcraniaFil: Skakun, Sergii. Space Research Institute NAS and SSA. Department of Space Information Technologies; Ucrania. University of Maryland. Department of Geographical Sciences; Estados UnidosFil: Kussul, Nataliia. Space Research Institute NAS and SSA. Department of Space Information Technologies; UcraniaFil: Le Maire, Guerric. UMR Eco&Sols, CIRAD; Francia. Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária. Meio Ambiante; BrasilFil: Dupuy, Stéphane. Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement. Territoires, Environnement, Télédétection et Information Spatiale; FranciaFil: Jarvis, Ian. Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada. Science and Technology Branch. Agri-Climate, Geomatics and Earth Observation; CanadáFil: Defourny, Pierre. Université Catholique de Louvain. Earth and Life Institute - Environment, Croix du Sud; Belgic