28,488 research outputs found
Variational Downscaling, Fusion and Assimilation of Hydrometeorological States via Regularized Estimation
Improved estimation of hydrometeorological states from down-sampled
observations and background model forecasts in a noisy environment, has been a
subject of growing research in the past decades. Here, we introduce a unified
framework that ties together the problems of downscaling, data fusion and data
assimilation as ill-posed inverse problems. This framework seeks solutions
beyond the classic least squares estimation paradigms by imposing proper
regularization, which are constraints consistent with the degree of smoothness
and probabilistic structure of the underlying state. We review relevant
regularization methods in derivative space and extend classic formulations of
the aforementioned problems with particular emphasis on hydrologic and
atmospheric applications. Informed by the statistical characteristics of the
state variable of interest, the central results of the paper suggest that
proper regularization can lead to a more accurate and stable recovery of the
true state and hence more skillful forecasts. In particular, using the Tikhonov
and Huber regularization in the derivative space, the promise of the proposed
framework is demonstrated in static downscaling and fusion of synthetic
multi-sensor precipitation data, while a data assimilation numerical experiment
is presented using the heat equation in a variational setting
Learning to Discover Sparse Graphical Models
We consider structure discovery of undirected graphical models from
observational data. Inferring likely structures from few examples is a complex
task often requiring the formulation of priors and sophisticated inference
procedures. Popular methods rely on estimating a penalized maximum likelihood
of the precision matrix. However, in these approaches structure recovery is an
indirect consequence of the data-fit term, the penalty can be difficult to
adapt for domain-specific knowledge, and the inference is computationally
demanding. By contrast, it may be easier to generate training samples of data
that arise from graphs with the desired structure properties. We propose here
to leverage this latter source of information as training data to learn a
function, parametrized by a neural network that maps empirical covariance
matrices to estimated graph structures. Learning this function brings two
benefits: it implicitly models the desired structure or sparsity properties to
form suitable priors, and it can be tailored to the specific problem of edge
structure discovery, rather than maximizing data likelihood. Applying this
framework, we find our learnable graph-discovery method trained on synthetic
data generalizes well: identifying relevant edges in both synthetic and real
data, completely unknown at training time. We find that on genetics, brain
imaging, and simulation data we obtain performance generally superior to
analytical methods
Covariance Estimation: The GLM and Regularization Perspectives
Finding an unconstrained and statistically interpretable reparameterization
of a covariance matrix is still an open problem in statistics. Its solution is
of central importance in covariance estimation, particularly in the recent
high-dimensional data environment where enforcing the positive-definiteness
constraint could be computationally expensive. We provide a survey of the
progress made in modeling covariance matrices from two relatively complementary
perspectives: (1) generalized linear models (GLM) or parsimony and use of
covariates in low dimensions, and (2) regularization or sparsity for
high-dimensional data. An emerging, unifying and powerful trend in both
perspectives is that of reducing a covariance estimation problem to that of
estimating a sequence of regression problems. We point out several instances of
the regression-based formulation. A notable case is in sparse estimation of a
precision matrix or a Gaussian graphical model leading to the fast graphical
LASSO algorithm. Some advantages and limitations of the regression-based
Cholesky decomposition relative to the classical spectral (eigenvalue) and
variance-correlation decompositions are highlighted. The former provides an
unconstrained and statistically interpretable reparameterization, and
guarantees the positive-definiteness of the estimated covariance matrix. It
reduces the unintuitive task of covariance estimation to that of modeling a
sequence of regressions at the cost of imposing an a priori order among the
variables. Elementwise regularization of the sample covariance matrix such as
banding, tapering and thresholding has desirable asymptotic properties and the
sparse estimated covariance matrix is positive definite with probability
tending to one for large samples and dimensions.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/11-STS358 the Statistical
Science (http://www.imstat.org/sts/) by the Institute of Mathematical
Statistics (http://www.imstat.org
EEG-Based User Reaction Time Estimation Using Riemannian Geometry Features
Riemannian geometry has been successfully used in many brain-computer
interface (BCI) classification problems and demonstrated superior performance.
In this paper, for the first time, it is applied to BCI regression problems, an
important category of BCI applications. More specifically, we propose a new
feature extraction approach for Electroencephalogram (EEG) based BCI regression
problems: a spatial filter is first used to increase the signal quality of the
EEG trials and also to reduce the dimensionality of the covariance matrices,
and then Riemannian tangent space features are extracted. We validate the
performance of the proposed approach in reaction time estimation from EEG
signals measured in a large-scale sustained-attention psychomotor vigilance
task, and show that compared with the traditional powerband features, the
tangent space features can reduce the root mean square estimation error by
4.30-8.30%, and increase the estimation correlation coefficient by 6.59-11.13%.Comment: arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:1702.0291
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