Rainfall-runoff correlation with particle swarm optimization algorithm

Author name used in this publication: Kwokwing Chau2003-2004 > Academic research: refereed > Publication in refereed journalAccepted ManuscriptPublishe

Multivariate calibration of a water and energy balance model in the spectral domain

The objective of this paper is to explore the possibility of using multiple variables in the calibration of hydrologic models in the spectral domain. A simple water and energy balance model was used, combined with observations of the energy balance and the soil moisture profile. The correlation functions of the model outputs and the observations for the different variables have been calculated after the removal of the diurnal cycle of the energy balance variables. These were transformed to the frequency domain to obtain spectral density functions, which were combined in the calibration algorithm. It has been found that it is best to use the square root of the spectral densities in the parameter estimation. Under these conditions, spectral calibration performs almost equally as well as time domain calibration using least squares differences between observed and simulated time series. Incorporation of the spectral coefficients of the cross-correlation functions did not improve the results of the calibration. Calibration on the correlation functions in the time domain led to worse model performance. When the meteorological forcing and model calibration data are not overlapping in time, spectral calibration has been shown to lead to an acceptable model performance. Overall, the results in this paper suggest that, in case of data scarcity, multivariate spectral calibration can be an attractive tool to estimate model parameters

A solution to the crucial problem of population degeneration in high-dimensional evolutionary optimization

Three popular evolutionary optimization algorithms are tested on high-dimensional benchmark functions. An important phenomenon responsible for many failures - population degeneration - is discovered. That is, through evolution, the population of searching particles degenerates into a subspace of the search space, and the global optimum is exclusive from the subspace. Subsequently, the search will tend to be confined to this subspace and eventually miss the global optimum. Principal components analysis (PCA) is introduced to discover population degeneration and to remedy its adverse effects. The experiment results reveal that an algorithm's efficacy and efficiency are closely related to the population degeneration phenomenon. Guidelines for improving evolutionary algorithms for high-dimensional global optimization are addressed. An application to highly nonlinear hydrological models demonstrates the efficacy of improved evolutionary algorithms in solving complex practical problems. © 2011 IEEE

Development of a PSO-ANN Model for Rainfall-Runoff Response in Basins, Case Study: Karaj Basin

Successful daily river flow forecasting is necessary in water resources planning and management. A reliable rainfall-runoff model can provide useful information for water resources planning and management. In this study, particle swarm optimization algorithm (PSO) as a metaheuristic approach is employed to train artificial neural network (ANN). The proposed PSO-ANN model is applied to simulate the rainfall runoff process in Karaj River for one and two days ahead. In this regard, different combinations of the input variables including flow and rainfall time series in previous days have been taken under consideration in order to obtain the best model's performances. To evaluate efficiency of the PSO algorithm in training ANNs, separate ANN models are developed using Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) training algorithm and the results are compared with those of the PSO-ANN models. The comparison reveals superiority of the PSO algorithm than the LM algorithm in training the ANN models. The best model for 1 and 2 days ahead runoff forecasting has R2 of 0.88 and 0.78. Results of this study shows that a reliable prediction of runoff in 1 and 2 days ahead can be achieved using PSO-ANN model. Overall, results of this study revealed that an acceptable prediction of the runoff up to two days ahead can be achieved by applying the PSO-ANN model

Rainfall-rinoff model based on ANN with LM, BR and PSO as learning algorithms

Rainfall-runoff model requires comprehensive computation as its relation is a complex natural phenomenon. Various inter-related processes are involved with factors such as rainfall intensity, geomorphology, climatic and landscape are all affecting runoff response. In general there is no single rainfallrunoff model that can cater to all flood prediction system with varying topological area. Hence, there is a vital need to have custom-tailored prediction model with specific range of data, type of perimeter and antecedent hour of prediction to meet the necessity of the locality. In an attempt to model a reliable rainfall-runoff system for a flood-prone area in Malaysia, 3 different approach of Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) are modelled based on the data acquired from Sungai Pahang, Pekan. In this paper, the ANN rainfall-runoff models are trained by the Levenberg Marquardt (LM), Bayesian Regularization (BR) and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO). The performances of the learning algorithms are compared and evaluated based on a 12-hour prediction model. The results demonstrate that LM produces the best model. It outperforms BR and PSO in terms of convergence rate, lowest mean square error (MSE) and optimum coefficeint of correlation. Furthermore, the LM approach are free from overfitting, which is a crucial concern in conventional ANN learning algorithm. Our case study takes the data of rainfall and runoff from the year 2012 to 2014. This is a case study in Pahang river basin, Pekan, Malaysia

Conceptual hydrological model calibration using multi-objective optimization techniques over the transboundary Komadugu-Yobe basin, Lake Chad Area, West Africa

Study Area: The discharge of the transboundary Komadugu-Yobe Basin, Lake Chad Area, West Africa is calibrated using multi-objective optimization techniques. Study focus: The GR5J hydrological model parameters are calibrated using six optimization methods i.e. Local Optimization-Multi Start (LOMS), the Differential Evolution (DE), the Multiobjective Particle the Swarm Optimization (MPSO), the Memetic Algorithm with Local Search Chains (MALS), the Shuffled Complex Evolution-Rosenbrock’s function (SCE-R), and the Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach. Three combined objective functions i.e. Root Mean Square Error, Nash- Sutcliffe efficiency, Kling-Gupta efficiency are applied. The calibration process is divided into two separate episodes (1974–2000 and 1980–1995) so as to ascertain the robustness of the calibration approaches. Runoff simulation results are analysed with a timefrequency wavelet transform. New hydrological insights for the region: For calibration and validation stages, all optimization methods simulate the base flow and high flow spells with a satisfactory level of accuracy. For calibration period, MCMC underestimate it by -0.07 mm/day. The performance evaluation shows that MCMC has the highest values of mean absolute error (0.28) and mean square error (0.40) while LOMS and MCMC record a low volumetric efficiency of 0.56. In all cases, the DE and the SCE-R methods perform better than others. The combination of multi-objective functions and multi-optimization techniques improve the model’s parameters stability and the algorithms’ optimization to represent the runoff in the basin

Comparing multi-objective optimization techniques to calibrate a conceptual hydrological model using in situ runoff and daily GRACE data

Hydrological models are necessary tools for simulating the water cycle and for understanding changes in water resources. To achieve realistic model simulation results, real-world observations are used to determine model parameters within a “calibration” procedure. Optimization techniques are usually applied in the model calibration step, which assures a maximum similarity between model outputs and observations. Practical experiences of hydrological model calibration have shown that single-objective approaches might not be adequate to tune different aspects of model simulations. These limitations can be as a result of (i) using observations that do not sufficiently represent the dynamics of the water cycle, and/or (ii) due to restricted efficiency of the applied calibration techniques. To address (i), we assess how adding daily Total Water Storage (dTWS) changes derived from the Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment (GRACE) as an extra observations, besides the traditionally used runoff data, improves calibration of a simple 4-parameter conceptual hydrological model (GR4J, in French: mod`ele du G´enie Rural `a 4 param`etres Journalier) within the Danube River Basin. As selecting a proper calibration approach (in ii) is a challenging task and might have significant influence on the quality of model simulations, for the first time, four evolutionary optimization techniques, including the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA-II), the Multi-objective Particle Swarm Optimization (MPSO), the Pareto Envelope-Based Selection Algorithm II (PESA-II), and the Strength Pareto Evolutionary Algorithm II (SPEA-II) along with the Combined objective function and Genetic Algorithm (CGA) are tested to calibrate the model in (i). A number of quality measures are applied to assess cardinality, accuracy, and diversity of solutions, which include the Number of Pareto Solutions (NPS), Generation Distance (GD), Spacing (SP), and Maximum Spread (MS). Our results indicate that according toMS and SP, NSGA-II performs better than other techniques for calibrating GR4J using GRACE dTWS and in situ runoff data. Considering GD as a measure of efficiency, MPSO is found to be the best technique. CGA is found to be an efficient method, while considering the statistics of the GR4J’s 4 calibrated parameters to rank the optimization techniques. The Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient is also used to assess the predictive power of the calibrated hydrological models, for which our results indicate satisfactory performance of the assessed calibration experiments

A Review on the Application of Natural Computing in Environmental Informatics

Natural computing offers new opportunities to understand, model and analyze the complexity of the physical and human-created environment. This paper examines the application of natural computing in environmental informatics, by investigating related work in this research field. Various nature-inspired techniques are presented, which have been employed to solve different relevant problems. Advantages and disadvantages of these techniques are discussed, together with analysis of how natural computing is generally used in environmental research.Comment: Proc. of EnviroInfo 201

Particle swarm optimization training algorithm for ANNs in stage prediction of Shing Mun River

Author name used in this publication: K. W. Chau2006-2007 > Academic research: refereed > Publication in refereed journalAccepted ManuscriptPublishe