Lumpable hidden Markov models - model reduction and reduced complexity filtering

Copyright © 2000 IEEEThis paper is concerned with filtering of hidden Markov processes (HMP) which possess (or approximately possess) the property of lumpability. This property is a generalization of the property of lumpability of a Markov chain which has been previously addressed by others. In essence, the property of lumpability means that there is a partition of the (atomic) states of the Markov chain into aggregated sets which act in a similar manner as far as the state dynamics and observation statistics are concerned. We prove necessary and sufficient conditions on the HMP for exact lumpability to hold. For a particular class of hidden Markov models (HMM), namely finite output alphabet models, conditions for lumpability of all HMP representable by a specified HMM are given. The corresponding optimal filter algorithms for the aggregated states are then derived. The paper also describes an approach to efficient suboptimal filtering for HMP which are approximately lumpable. By this we mean that the HMM generating the process may be approximated by a lumpable HMM. This approach involves directly finding a lumped HMM which approximates the original HMM well, in a matrix norm sense. An alternative approach for model reduction based on approximating a given HMM by an exactly lumpable HMM is also derived. This method is based on the alternating convex projections algorithm. Some simulation examples are presented which illustrate the performance of the suboptimal filtering algorithmsLangford B. White, Robert Mahony and Gary D. Brush

Computer Aided Verification

This open access two-volume set LNCS 11561 and 11562 constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 31st International Conference on Computer Aided Verification, CAV 2019, held in New York City, USA, in July 2019. The 52 full papers presented together with 13 tool papers and 2 case studies, were carefully reviewed and selected from 258 submissions. The papers were organized in the following topical sections: Part I: automata and timed systems; security and hyperproperties; synthesis; model checking; cyber-physical systems and machine learning; probabilistic systems, runtime techniques; dynamical, hybrid, and reactive systems; Part II: logics, decision procedures; and solvers; numerical programs; verification; distributed systems and networks; verification and invariants; and concurrency

Proactive-reactive, robust scheduling and capacity planning of deconstruction projects under uncertainty

A project planning and decision support model is developed and applied to identify and reduce risk and uncertainty in deconstruction project planning. It allows calculating building inventories based on sensor information and construction standards and it computes robust project plans for different scenarios with multiple modes, constrained renewable resources and locations. A reactive and flexible planning element is proposed in the case of schedule infeasibility during project execution

Imprecise probability in epistemology

There is a growing interest in the foundations as well as the application of imprecise probability in contemporary epistemology. This dissertation is concerned with the application. In particular, the research presented concerns ways in which imprecise probability, i.e. sets of probability measures, may helpfully address certain philosophical problems pertaining to rational belief. The issues I consider are disagreement among epistemic peers, complete ignorance, and inductive reasoning with imprecise priors. For each of these topics, it is assumed that belief can be modeled with imprecise probability, and thus there is a non-classical solution to be given to each problem. I argue that this is the case for peer disagreement and complete ignorance. However, I discovered that the approach has its shortcomings, too, specifically in regard to inductive reasoning with imprecise priors. Nevertheless, the dissertation ultimately illustrates that imprecise probability as a model of rational belief has a lot of promise, but one should be aware of its limitations also

LIPIcs, Volume 261, ICALP 2023, Complete Volume

LIPIcs, Volume 261, ICALP 2023, Complete Volum

Proactive-reactive, robust scheduling and capacity planning of deconstruction projects under uncertainty

A project planning and decision support model is developed and applied to identify and reduce risk and uncertainty in deconstruction project planning. It allows calculating building inventories based on sensor information and construction standards and it computes robust project plans for different scenarios with multiple modes, constrained renewable resources and locations. A reactive and flexible planning element is proposed in the case of schedule infeasibility during project execution

Programming Languages and Systems

This open access book constitutes the proceedings of the 28th European Symposium on Programming, ESOP 2019, which took place in Prague, Czech Republic, in April 2019, held as Part of the European Joint Conferences on Theory and Practice of Software, ETAPS 2019