Hybrid Advanced Optimization Methods with Evolutionary Computation Techniques in Energy Forecasting

More accurate and precise energy demand forecasts are required when energy decisions are made in a competitive environment. Particularly in the Big Data era, forecasting models are always based on a complex function combination, and energy data are always complicated. Examples include seasonality, cyclicity, fluctuation, dynamic nonlinearity, and so on. These forecasting models have resulted in an over-reliance on the use of informal judgment and higher expenses when lacking the ability to determine data characteristics and patterns. The hybridization of optimization methods and superior evolutionary algorithms can provide important improvements via good parameter determinations in the optimization process, which is of great assistance to actions taken by energy decision-makers. This book aimed to attract researchers with an interest in the research areas described above. Specifically, it sought contributions to the development of any hybrid optimization methods (e.g., quadratic programming techniques, chaotic mapping, fuzzy inference theory, quantum computing, etc.) with advanced algorithms (e.g., genetic algorithms, ant colony optimization, particle swarm optimization algorithm, etc.) that have superior capabilities over the traditional optimization approaches to overcome some embedded drawbacks, and the application of these advanced hybrid approaches to significantly improve forecasting accuracy

Fractional ARIMA with an improved cuckoo search optimization for the efficient Short-term power load forecasting

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Enhanced Differential Crossover and Quantum Particle Swarm Optimization for IoT Applications

An optimized design with real-time and multiple realistic constraints in complex engineering systems is a crucial challenge for designers. In the non-uniform Internet of Things (IoT) node deployments, the approximation accuracy is directly affected by the parameters like node density and coverage. We propose a novel enhanced differential crossover quantum particle swarm optimization algorithm for solving nonlinear numerical problems. The algorithm is based on hybrid optimization using quantum PSO. Differential evolution operator is used to circumvent group moves in small ranges and falling into the local optima and improves global searchability. The cross operator is employed to promote information interchange among individuals in a group, and exceptional genes can be continued moderately, accompanying the evolutionary process's continuance and adding proactive and reactive features. The proposed algorithm's performance is verified as well as compared with the other algorithms through 30 classic benchmark functions in IEEE CEC2017, with a basic PSO algorithm and improved versions. The results show the smaller values of fitness function and computational efficiency for the benchmark functions of IEEE CEC2019. The proposed algorithm outperforms the existing optimization algorithms and different PSO versions, and has a high precision and faster convergence speed. The average location error is substantially reduced for the smart parking IoT application

Prediction of earnings per share for industry

Prediction of Earnings Per Share (EPS) is the fundamental problem in finance industry. Various Data Mining technologies have been widely used in computational finance. This research work aims to predict the future EPS with previous values through the use of data mining technologies, thus to provide decision makers a reference or evidence for their economic strategies and business activity. We created three models LR, RBF and MLP for the regression problem. Our experiments with these models were carried out on the real datasets provided by a software company. The performance assessment was based on Correlation Coefficient and Root Mean Squared Error. These algorithms were validated with the data of six different companies. Some differences between the models have been observed. In most cases, Linear Regression and Multilayer Perceptron are effectively capable of predicting the future EPS. But for the high nonlinear data, MLP gives better performance

A Vector Grouping Learning Brain Storm Optimization Algorithm for Global Optimization Problems

The original brain storm optimization (BSO) method does not rationally compromise global exploration and local exploitation capability, which results in the premature convergence when solving complicated optimization problems like the shifted or shifted rotated functions. To address this problem, the paper develops a vector grouping learning BSO (VGLBSO) method. In VGLBSO, the individuals’ creation based on vector grouping learning (IC-VGL) scheme is first developed to improve the population diversity and compromise the global exploration and local exploitation capability. Moreover, a hybrid individuals’ update (H-IU) scheme is established by reasonably combing two different individuals’ update schemes, which further compromises the global exploration and local exploitation capability. Finally, the random grouping (RG) scheme, instead of K-means grouping is allowed to shrink the computational cost and maintain the diversity of the information exchange between different individuals. Twenty-eight popular benchmark functions are used to compare VGLBSO with 12 BSO and nine swarm intelligence methods. Experimental results present that VGLBSO achieves the best overall performance including the global search ability, convergence speed, and scalability amongst all the compared algorithms

INCUBATION OF METAHEURISTIC SEARCH ALGORITHMS INTO NOVEL APPLICATION FIELDS

Several optimization algorithms have been developed to handle various optimization issues in many fields, capturing the attention of many researchers. Algorithm optimizations are commonly inspired by nature or involve the modification of existing algorithms. So far, the new algorithms are set up and focusing on achieving the desired optimization goal. While this can be useful and efficient in the short term, in the long run, this is not enough as it needs to repeat for any new problem that occurs and maybe in specific difficulties, therefore one algorithm cannot be used for all real-world problems. This dissertation provides three approaches for implementing metaheuristic search (MHS) algorithms in fields that do not directly solve optimization issues. The first approach is to study parametric studies on MHS algorithms that attempt to understand how parameters work in MHS algorithms. In this first direction, we choose the Jaya algorithm, a relatively recent MHS algorithm defined as a method that does not require algorithm-specific control parameters. In this work, we incorporate weights as an extra parameter to test if Jaya’s approach is actually "parameter-free." This algorithm’s performance is evaluated by implementing 12 unconstrained benchmark functions. The results will demonstrate the direct impact of parameter adjustments on algorithm performance. The second approach is to embed the MHS algorithm on the Blockchain Proof of Work (PoW) to deal with the issue of excessive energy consumption, particularly in using bitcoin. This study uses an iterative optimization algorithm to solve the Traveling Salesperson Problem (TSP) as a model problem, which has the same concept as PoW and requires extending the Blockchain with additional blocks. The basic idea behind this research is to increase the tour cost for the best tour found for n blocks, extended by adding one more city as a requirement to include a new block in the Blockchain. The results reveal that the proposed concept can improve the way the current system solves complicated cryptographic problems Furthermore, MHS are implemented in the third direction approach to solving agricultural problems, especially the cocoa flowers pollination. We chose the problem in pollination in cacao flowers since they are distinctive and different from other flowers due to their small size and lack of odor, allowing just a few pollinators to successfully pollinate them, most notably a tiny midge called Forcipomyia Inornatipennis (FP). This concept was then adapted and implemented into an Idle-Metaheuristic for simulating the pollination of cocoa flowers. We analyze how MHS algorithms derived from three well-known methods perform when used to flower pollination problems. Swarm Intelligence Algorithms, Individual Random Search, and Multi-Agent Systems Search are the three methodologies studied here. The results shows that the Multi-Agent System search performs better than other methods. The findings of the three approaches reveal that adopting an MHS algorithms can solve the problem in this study by indirectly solving the optimization problem using the same problem model concept. Furthermore, the researchers concluded that parameter settings in the MHS algorithms are not so difficult to use, and each parameter can be adjusted to solve the real-world issue. This study is expected to encourage other researchers to improve and develop the performance of MHS algorithms used to deal with multiple real-world problems.九州工業大学博士学位論文 学位記番号: 情工博甲第367号 学位授与年月日: 令和4年3月25日1 Introduction|2 Traditional Metaheuristic Search Optimization|3 Parametric Study of Metaheuristic Search Algorithms|4 Embedded Metaheuristic Search Algorithms for Blockchain Proof-of-Work|5 Idle-Metaheuristic for Flower Pollination Simulation|6 Conclusion and Future Works九州工業大学令和3年

An improved data classification framework based on fractional particle swarm optimization

Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) is a population based stochastic optimization technique which consist of particles that move collectively in iterations to search for the most optimum solutions. However, conventional PSO is prone to lack of convergence and even stagnation in complex high dimensional-search problems with multiple local optima. Therefore, this research proposed an improved Mutually-Optimized Fractional PSO (MOFPSO) algorithm based on fractional derivatives and small step lengths to ensure convergence to global optima by supplying a fine balance between exploration and exploitation. The proposed algorithm is tested and verified for optimization performance comparison on ten benchmark functions against six existing established algorithms in terms of Mean of Error and Standard Deviation values. The proposed MOFPSO algorithm demonstrated lowest Mean of Error values during the optimization on all benchmark functions through all 30 runs (Ackley = 0.2, Rosenbrock = 0.2, Bohachevsky = 9.36E-06, Easom = -0.95, Griewank = 0.01, Rastrigin = 2.5E-03, Schaffer = 1.31E-06, Schwefel 1.2 = 3.2E-05, Sphere = 8.36E-03, Step = 0). Furthermore, the proposed MOFPSO algorithm is hybridized with Back-Propagation (BP), Elman Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) and Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) to propose an enhanced data classification framework, especially for data classification applications. The proposed classification framework is then evaluated for classification accuracy, computational time and Mean Squared Error on five benchmark datasets against seven existing techniques. It can be concluded from the simulation results that the proposed MOFPSO-ERNN classification algorithm demonstrated good classification performance in terms of classification accuracy (Breast Cancer = 99.01%, EEG = 99.99%, PIMA Indian Diabetes = 99.37%, Iris = 99.6%, Thyroid = 99.88%) as compared to the existing hybrid classification techniques. Hence, the proposed technique can be employed to improve the overall classification accuracy and reduce the computational time in data classification applications

Component-wise analysis of metaheuristic algorithms for novel fuzzy-meta classifier

Metaheuristic research has proposed promising results in science, business, and engineering problems. But, mostly high-level analysis is performed on metaheuristic performances. This leaves several critical questions unanswered due to black-box issue that does not reveal why certain metaheuristic algorithms performed better on some problems and not on others. To address the significant gap between theory and practice in metaheuristic research, this study proposed in-depth analysis approach using component-view of metaheuristic algorithms and diversity measurement for determining exploration and exploitation abilities. This research selected three commonly used swarm-based metaheuristic algorithms – Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Artificial Bee Colony (ABC), and Cuckoo Search (CS) – to perform component-wise analysis. As a result, the study able to address premature convergence problem in PSO, poor exploitation in ABC, and imbalanced exploration and exploitation issue in CS. The proposed improved PSO (iPSO), improved ABC (iABC), and improved CS (iCS) outperformed standard algorithms and variants from existing literature, as well as, Grey Wolf Optimization (GWO) and Animal Migration Optimization (AMO) on ten numerical optimization problems with varying modalities. The proposed iPSO, iABC, and iCS were then employed on proposed novel Fuzzy-Meta Classifier (FMC) which offered highly reduced model complexity and high accuracy as compared to Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). The proposed three-layer FMC produced efficient rules that generated nearly 100% accuracies on ten different classification datasets, with significantly reduced number of trainable parameters and number of nodes in the network architecture, as compared to ANFIS