Available and missing data to model impact of climate change on European forests

Climate change is expected to cause major changes in forest ecosystems during the 21st century and beyond. To assess forest impacts from climate change, the existing empirical information must be structured, harmonised and assimilated into a form suitable to develop and test state-of-the-art forest and ecosystem models. The combination of empirical data collected at large spatial and long temporal scales with suitable modelling approaches is key to understand forest dynamics under climate change. To facilitate data and model integration, we identified major climate change impacts observed on European forest functioning and summarised the data available for monitoring and predicting such impacts. Our analysis of c. 120 forest-related databases (including information from remote sensing, vegetation inventories, dendroecology, palaeoecology, eddy-flux sites, common garden experiments and genetic techniques) and 50 databases of environmental drivers highlights a substantial degree of data availability and accessibility. However, some critical variables relevant to predicting European forest responses to climate change are only available at relatively short time frames (up to 10-20 years), including intra-specific trait variability, defoliation patterns, tree mortality and recruitment. Moreover, we identified data gaps or lack of data integration particularly in variables related to local adaptation and phenotypic plasticity, dispersal capabilities and physiological responses. Overall, we conclude that forest data availability across Europe is improving, but further efforts are needed to integrate, harmonise and interpret this data (i.e. making data useable for non-experts). Continuation of existing monitoring and networks schemes together with the establishments of new networks to address data gaps is crucial to rigorously predict climate change impacts on European forests.Peer reviewe

Available and missing data to model impact of climate change on European forests

Climate change is expected to cause major changes in forest ecosystems during the 21st century and beyond. To assess forest impacts from climate change, the existing empirical information must be structured, harmonised and assimilated into a form suitable to develop and test state-of-the-art forest and ecosystem models. The combination of empirical data collected at large spatial and long temporal scales with suitable modelling approaches is key to understand forest dynamics under climate change. To facilitate data and model integration, we identified major climate change impacts observed on European forest functioning and summarised the data available for monitoring and predicting such impacts. Our analysis of c. 120 forest-related databases (including information from remote sensing, vegetation inventories, dendroecology, palaeoecology, eddy-flux sites, common garden experiments and genetic techniques) and 50 databases of environmental drivers highlights a substantial degree of data availability and accessibility. However, some critical variables relevant to predicting European forest responses to climate change are only available at relatively short time frames (up to 10-20 years), including intra-specific trait variability, defoliation patterns, tree mortality and recruitment. Moreover, we identified data gaps or lack of data integration particularly in variables related to local adaptation and phenotypic plasticity, dispersal capabilities and physiological responses. Overall, we conclude that forest data availability across Europe is improving, but further efforts are needed to integrate, harmonise and interpret this data (i.e. making data useable for non-experts). Continuation of existing monitoring and networks schemes together with the establishments of new networks to address data gaps is crucial to rigorously predict climate change impacts on European forests. © 2019 The Author(s

Remote Sensing Technologies for Assessing Climate-Smart Criteria in Mountain Forests

Peer reviewe

Mapping Species Composition of Forests and Tree Plantations in Northeastern Costa Rica with an Integration of Hyperspectral and Multitemporal Landsat Imagery

An efficient means to map tree plantations is needed to detect tropical land use change and evaluate reforestation projects. To analyze recent tree plantation expansion in northeastern Costa Rica, we examined the potential of combining moderate-resolution hyperspectral imagery (2005 HyMap mosaic) with multitemporal, multispectral data (Landsat) to accurately classify (1) general forest types and (2) tree plantations by species composition. Following a linear discriminant analysis to reduce data dimensionality, we compared four Random Forest classification models: hyperspectral data (HD) alone; HD plus interannual spectral metrics; HD plus a multitemporal forest regrowth classification; and all three models combined. The fourth, combined model achieved overall accuracy of 88.5%. Adding multitemporal data significantly improved classification accuracy (p less than 0.0001) of all forest types, although the effect on tree plantation accuracy was modest. The hyperspectral data alone classified six species of tree plantations with 75% to 93% producer's accuracy; adding multitemporal spectral data increased accuracy only for two species with dense canopies. Non-native tree species had higher classification accuracy overall and made up the majority of tree plantations in this landscape. Our results indicate that combining occasionally acquired hyperspectral data with widely available multitemporal satellite imagery enhances mapping and monitoring of reforestation in tropical landscapes

The Changing Matrix: Reforestation and Connectivity in a Tropical Habitat Corridor

In the last two decades, export-oriented crops and timber and fruit plantations have joined small-scale cultivation and pasture as important causes of tropical deforestation. Widespread conversion of tropical forest to agriculture threatens to isolate protected areas, which has led to efforts to maintain functional connectivity in landscapes between protected areas. Relatively few "landscape conservation" efforts have been assessed for their effect on deforestation, but advances in remote sensing now permit detailed monitoring of tropical land uses over time, including mapping of tree crops and plantations. This dissertation evaluates the long-term impact of forest conservation and reforestation policies on tropical forests in a habitat corridor. The following chapters test the capability of remote sensing to monitor tropical conservation efforts and assess whether landscape conservation policies can maintain forest cover and connectivity in the face of rapid agricultural expansion. Costa Rica has one of the most comprehensive landscape conservation policies in the tropics: a 1996 Forest Law banned deforestation and expanded payments for environmental services (PES) to protect forests and plant trees, prioritizing designated habitat corridors between protected areas. The long-term effect of the program on land-use transitions is not well known. To take advantage of this regional policy experiment, I used a time-series of five moderate-resolution Landsat images to track land-use change from 1986 to 2011in the oldest habitat corridor, the San Juan-La Selva Biological Corridor (SJLSBC). Forest conservation policies were associated with a 40% decline in deforestation after 1996 despite a doubling in the area of cropland in the last decade. The proportion of cropland derived from mature forest dropped from 16.4% to 1.9% after 1996, while one fifth of pasture expansion continued to be derived from mature forest. These results suggest that forest conservation policies can successfully lower deforestation, and that they can be more effective with large export producers than small-scale cattle producers. Tree plantations are an important component of Costa Rican PES, but knowledge of their distribution and contribution to connectivity in the corridor region is poor. After reviewing the remote sensing literature, I employed a novel integration of hyperspectral images and a Landsat time-series to create the first regional map of tropical tree plantation species. Including multitemporal data significantly improved overall hyperspectral map accuracy to 91%; the six tree plantation species were classified with 83% mean producer's accuracy. Non-native species made up 89% of tree plantations, and they were cleared more rapidly than native tree plantations and secondary forests. I combined existing land cover maps, field behavioral experiments, and a graph connectivity model to estimate whether landscape conservation policies increased connectivity for understory insectivorous birds, a representative forest-dependent group. The field playback experiments indicated both native and exotic tree plantations with a dense shrubby understory were acceptable dispersal habitat for all species, and that birds traveled readily near secondary forest edges but rarely into forested pasture. Graph model parameters were informed by these results. For all of these bird species, functional connectivity declined by 14-21% with only a 4.9% decline in forest area over time, implying that conservation policies have not caused a net increase in functional connectivity in the SJLSBC region. Despite making up 2% of the region, tree plantations had little effect on regional connectivity because of their placement in the landscape; we demonstrate that spatially-targeted reforestation of 0.1% of the region could increase connectivity by 1.8%. Collectively, the results presented in these chapters underline the potential and limitations of landscape conservation policies and corridor plans in the tropics; combining regulations and PES can lower deforestation over the medium-term, but increased enforcement, improved monitoring with remote sensing, and targeted conservation effort is needed to combat illegal deforestation and restore functional connectivity. Given numerous new tropical corridor and PES programs and the qualified successes of landscape conservation policies in Costa Rica and other tropical countries, our approach to the analysis can be applied to monitor and evaluate connectivity across the tropics

Triennial Report: 2006-2008

Triennial Report Purpose [Page] 2 The Geographic Information Science Center of Excellence [Page] 4 Three Years in Review [Page] 5 SDSU Faculty [Page] 6-11 EROS Faculty [Page] 12-16 Post-Doctoral Researchers [Page] 17-26 GSE Ph.D. program [Page] 27 Ph.D. Students [Page] 28-39 Center Scholars Program [Page] 40 Masters Students [Page] 41 Geospatial Analysts [Page] 42 Administrative Staff [Page] 43 Center Alumni [Page] 44 Research Funding [Page] 45-46 Ph.D. Student Scholarship Grants [Page] 47 Computing Resources [Page] 48 Looking Forward [Page] 49 Appendix I Faculty publications 2006-2008 [Page] 50-58 Appendix II Cool faculty research and locations [Page] 60-65 Appendix III GIScCE birthplace map [Page] 66 Appendix IV Telephone and email contact information [Page] 67-68 Appendix V How to get to the GIScCE [Page] 6

Remote Sensing in Mangroves

The book highlights recent advancements in the mapping and monitoring of mangrove forests using earth observation satellite data. New and historical satellite data and aerial photographs have been used to map the extent, change and bio-physical parameters, such as phenology and biomass. Research was conducted in different parts of the world. Knowledge and understanding gained from this book can be used for the sustainable management of mangrove forests of the worl

Remote detection of invasive alien species

The spread of invasive alien species (IAS) is recognized as the most severe threat to biodiversity outside of climate change and anthropogenic habitat destruction. IAS negatively impact ecosystems, local economies, and residents. They are especially problematic because once established, they give rise to positive feedbacks, increasing the likelihood of further invasions and spread. The integration of remote sensing (RS) to the study of invasion, in addition to contributing to our understanding of invasion processes and impacts to biodiversity, has enabled managers to monitor invasions and predict the spread of IAS, thus supporting biodiversity conservation and management action. This chapter focuses on RS capabilities to detect and monitor invasive plant species across terrestrial, riparian, aquatic, and human-modified ecosystems. All of these environments have unique species assemblages and their own optimal methodology for effective detection and mapping, which we discuss in detail

Spaceborne L-Band Synthetic Aperture Radar Data for Geoscientific Analyses in Coastal Land Applications: A Review

The coastal zone offers among the world’s most productive and valuable ecosystems and is experiencing increasing pressure from anthropogenic impacts: human settlements, agriculture, aquaculture, trade, industrial activities, oil and gas exploitation and tourism. Earth observation has great capability to deliver valuable data at the local, regional and global scales and can support the assessment and monitoring of land‐ and water‐related applications in coastal zones. Compared to optical satellites, cloud‐cover does not limit the timeliness of data acquisition with spaceborne Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) sensors, which have all‐weather, day and night capabilities. Hence, active radar systems demonstrate great potential for continuous mapping and monitoring of coastal regions, particularly in cloud‐prone tropical and sub‐tropical climates. The canopy penetration capability with long radar wavelength enables L‐band SAR data to be used for coastal terrestrial environments and has been widely applied and investigated for the following geoscientific topics: mapping and monitoring of flooded vegetation and inundated areas; the retrieval of aboveground biomass; and the estimation of soil moisture. Human activities, global population growth, urban sprawl and climate change‐induced impacts are leading to increased pressure on coastal ecosystems causing land degradation, deforestation and land use change. This review presents a comprehensive overview of existing research articles that apply spaceborne L‐band SAR data for geoscientific analyses that are relevant for coastal land applications

A review of carbon monitoring in wet carbon systems using remote sensing

Carbon monitoring is critical for the reporting and verification of carbon stocks and change. Remote sensing is a tool increasingly used to estimate the spatial heterogeneity, extent and change of carbon stocks within and across various systems. We designate the use of the term wet carbon system to the interconnected wetlands, ocean, river and streams, lakes and ponds, and permafrost, which are carbon-dense and vital conduits for carbon throughout the terrestrial and aquatic sections of the carbon cycle. We reviewed wet carbon monitoring studies that utilize earth observation to improve our knowledge of data gaps, methods, and future research recommendations. To achieve this, we conducted a systematic review collecting 1622 references and screening them with a combination of text matching and a panel of three experts. The search found 496 references, with an additional 78 references added by experts. Our study found considerable variability of the utilization of remote sensing and global wet carbon monitoring progress across the nine systems analyzed. The review highlighted that remote sensing is routinely used to globally map carbon in mangroves and oceans, whereas seagrass, terrestrial wetlands, tidal marshes, rivers, and permafrost would benefit from more accurate and comprehensive global maps of extent. We identified three critical gaps and twelve recommendations to continue progressing wet carbon systems and increase cross system scientific inquiry