5,352 research outputs found
Probabilistic description logics for subjective uncertainty
We propose a family of probabilistic description logics (DLs) that are derived in a principled way from Halpern's probabilistic first-order logic. The resulting probabilistic DLs have a two-dimensional semantics similar to temporal DLs and are well-suited for representing subjective probabilities. We carry out a detailed study of reasoning in the new family of logics, concentrating on probabilistic extensions of the DLs ALC and EL, and showing that the complexity ranges from PTime via ExpTime and 2ExpTime to undecidable
Heuristic Ranking in Tightly Coupled Probabilistic Description Logics
The Semantic Web effort has steadily been gaining traction in the recent
years. In particular,Web search companies are recently realizing that their
products need to evolve towards having richer semantic search capabilities.
Description logics (DLs) have been adopted as the formal underpinnings for
Semantic Web languages used in describing ontologies. Reasoning under
uncertainty has recently taken a leading role in this arena, given the nature
of data found on theWeb. In this paper, we present a probabilistic extension of
the DL EL++ (which underlies the OWL2 EL profile) using Markov logic networks
(MLNs) as probabilistic semantics. This extension is tightly coupled, meaning
that probabilistic annotations in formulas can refer to objects in the
ontology. We show that, even though the tightly coupled nature of our language
means that many basic operations are data-intractable, we can leverage a
sublanguage of MLNs that allows to rank the atomic consequences of an ontology
relative to their probability values (called ranking queries) even when these
values are not fully computed. We present an anytime algorithm to answer
ranking queries, and provide an upper bound on the error that it incurs, as
well as a criterion to decide when results are guaranteed to be correct.Comment: Appears in Proceedings of the Twenty-Eighth Conference on Uncertainty
in Artificial Intelligence (UAI2012
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Logics of Imprecise Comparative Probability
This paper studies connections between two alternatives to the standard probability calculus for representing and reasoning about uncertainty: imprecise probability andcomparative probability. The goal is to identify complete logics for reasoning about uncertainty in a comparative probabilistic language whose semantics is given in terms of imprecise probability. Comparative probability operators are interpreted as quantifying over a set of probability measures. Modal and dynamic operators are added for reasoning about epistemic possibility and updating sets of probability measures
Semantics for Probabilistic Inference
A number of writers(Joseph Halpern and Fahiem Bacchus among them) have
offered semantics for formal languages in which inferences concerning
probabilities can be made. Our concern is different. This paper provides a
formalization of nonmonotonic inferences in which the conclusion is supported
only to a certain degree. Such inferences are clearly 'invalid' since they must
allow the falsity of a conclusion even when the premises are true.
Nevertheless, such inferences can be characterized both syntactically and
semantically. The 'premises' of probabilistic arguments are sets of statements
(as in a database or knowledge base), the conclusions categorical statements in
the language. We provide standards for both this form of inference, for which
high probability is required, and for an inference in which the conclusion is
qualified by an intermediate interval of support.Comment: Appears in Proceedings of the Eighth Conference on Uncertainty in
Artificial Intelligence (UAI1992
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