Comprehensive Safety Analysis of Vulnerable Road User Involved Motor Vehicle Crashes

This dissertation explores, identifies, and evaluates a multitude of factors significantly affecting motor vehicle crashes involving pedestrians and bicyclists, commonly defined as vulnerable road users (VRUs). The methodologies are guided by the concept of safe behavior of different parties that are primary responsible for a crash, either a pedestrian, a bicyclist or a driver, pertaining to roadway design, traffic conditions, land use and built environment variables; and the findings are beneficial for recommending targeted and effective safety interventions. The topic is motivated by the fact that human factors contribute to over ninety percent of the crashes, especially the ones involving VRUs. Studying the effect of road users’ behavior, their responses to the dynamics of traveling environment, and compliance rate to traffic rules is instrumental to precisely measure and evaluate how each of the investigated variables changes the crash risk. To achieve this goal, an extensive database is established based on data collected from sources such as the linework from topologically integrated geographic encoding and referencing, Google maps, motor vehicle accident reports, Wisconsin Information System for Local Roads, and Smart Location Dataset from Environmental Protection Agency. The crosscutting datasets represent various aspects of motorist and non-motorists travel decisions and behaviors, as well as their safety status. With this comprehensive database, intrinsic relationships between pedestrian-vehicle crashes and a broad range of socioeconomic and demographic factors, land use and built environment, crime rate and traffic violations, road design, traffic control, and pedestrian-oriented design features are identified, analyzed, and evaluated. The comprehensive safety analysis begins with the structural equation model (SEM) that is employed to discover possible underlying factor structure connecting exogenous variables and crashes involving pedestrians. Informed by the SEM output, the analysis continues with the development of crash count models and responsible party choice models to respectively address factors relating to roles in a crash by pedestrians and drivers. As a result, factors contributing to crashes where a pedestrian is responsible, a driver is responsible, or both parties are responsible can be specified, categorized, and quantified. Moreover, targeted and appropriate safety countermeasures can be designed, recommended, and prioritized by engineers, planners, or enforcement agencies to jointly create a pedestrian-friendly environment. The second aspect of the analysis is to specify the crash party at-fault, which provides evidence about whether pedestrians, bicyclists or drivers are more likely to be involved in severe crashes and to identify the contributing factors that affect the fault of a specific road user group. An extensive investigation of the available information regarding the crash (i.e., issued citations, actions/circumstances that may have played a role in the crash occurrence, and crash scenario completed by the police officer) are considered. The goal is to recognize and measure the factors affecting a specific party at-fault. This provides information that is vital for proactive crisis management: to decrease and to prevent future crashes. As a part of the result, a guideline is proposed to assign the party at-fault through crash data fields and narratives. Statistical methods such as the extreme gradient boosting (XGboost) decision tree and the multinomial logit (MNL) model are used. Appealing conclusions have been found and suggestions are made for law enforcement, education, and roadway management to enhance the safety countermeasures. The third aspect is to evaluate the enhancements of crash report form for its effectiveness of reporting VRU involved motor vehicle crashes. One of the State of Wisconsin projects aiming to develop crash report forms was to redesign the old MV4000 crash report form into the new DT4000 crash report form. The modification was applied from January 1, 2017, statewide. The reason behind this switch is to resolve some matters with the old MV4000 crash report form, including insufficient reporting in roadway-related data fields, lack of data fields describing driver distraction, intersection type, no specification of the exact traffic barrier, insufficient information regarding safety equipment usage by motorists and non-motorists, unclear information about the crash location, and inadequate evidence concerning non-motorists actions, circumstances and condition prior to the crash. Hence, the new DT4000 crash form modified some existing data fields incorporated new crash elements and more detailed attributes. The modified and new data fields, their associated attribute values have been thoroughly studied and the effectiveness of improved data collection in terms of a better understanding of factors associated with and contributing to VRU crashes has been comprehensively evaluated. The evaluation has confirmed that the DT4000 crash form provided more specific, details, and useful about the crash circumstances

Exploration of smart infrastructure for drivers of autonomous vehicles

The connection between vehicles and infrastructure is an integral part of providing autonomous vehicles information about the environment. Autonomous vehicles need to be safe and users need to trust their driving decision. When smart infrastructure information is integrated into the vehicle, the driver needs to be informed in an understandable manner what the smart infrastructure detected. Nevertheless, interactions that benefit from smart infrastructure have not been the focus of research, leading to knowledge gaps in the integration of smart infrastructure information in the vehicle. For example, it is unclear, how the information from two complex systems can be presented, and if decisions are made, how these can be explained. Enriching the data of vehicles with information from the infrastructure opens unexplored opportunities. Smart infrastructure provides vehicles with information to predict traffic flow and traffic events. Additionally, it has information about traffic events in several kilometers distance and thus enables a look ahead on a traffic situation, which is not in the immediate view of drivers. We argue that this smart infrastructure information can be used to enhance the driving experience. To achieve this, we explore designing novel interactions, providing warnings and visualizations about information that is out of the view of the driver, and offering explanations for the cause of changed driving behavior of the vehicle. This thesis focuses on exploring the possibilities of smart infrastructure information with a focus on the highway. The first part establishes a design space for 3D in-car augmented reality applications that profit from smart infrastructure information. Through the input of two focus groups and a literature review, use cases are investigated that can be introduced in the vehicle's interaction interface which, among others, rely on environment information. From those, a design space that can be used to design novel in-car applications is derived. The second part explores out-of-view visualizations before and during take over requests to increase situation awareness. With three studies, different visualizations for out-of-view information are implemented in 2D, stereoscopic 3D, and augmented reality. Our results show that visualizations improve the situation awareness about critical events in larger distances during take over request situations. In the third part, explanations are designed for situations in which the vehicle drives unexpectedly due to unknown reasons. Since smart infrastructure could provide connected vehicles with out-of-view or cloud information, the driving maneuver of the vehicle might remain unclear to the driver. Therefore, we explore the needs of drivers in those situations and derive design recommendations for an interface which displays the cause for the unexpected driving behavior. This thesis answers questions about the integration of environment information in vehicles'. Three important aspects are explored, which are essential to consider when implementing use cases with smart infrastructure in mind. It enables to design novel interactions, provides insights on how out-of-view visualizations can improve the drivers' situation awareness and explores unexpected driving situations and the design of explanations for them. Overall, we have shown how infrastructure and connected vehicle information can be introduced in vehicles' user interface and how new technology such as augmented reality glasses can be used to improve the driver's perception of the environment.Autonome Fahrzeuge werden immer mehr in den alltäglichen Verkehr integriert. Die Verbindung von Fahrzeugen mit der Infrastruktur ist ein wesentlicher Bestandteil der Bereitstellung von Umgebungsinformationen in autonome Fahrzeugen. Die Erweiterung der Fahrzeugdaten mit Informationen der Infrastruktur eröffnet ungeahnte Möglichkeiten. Intelligente Infrastruktur übermittelt verbundenen Fahrzeugen Informationen über den prädizierten Verkehrsfluss und Verkehrsereignisse. Zusätzlich können Verkehrsgeschehen in mehreren Kilometern Entfernung übermittelt werden, wodurch ein Vorausblick auf einen Bereich ermöglicht wird, der für den Fahrer nicht unmittelbar sichtbar ist. Mit dieser Dissertation wird gezeigt, dass Informationen der intelligenten Infrastruktur benutzt werden können, um das Fahrerlebnis zu verbessern. Dies kann erreicht werden, indem innovative Interaktionen gestaltet werden, Warnungen und Visualisierungen über Geschehnisse außerhalb des Sichtfelds des Fahrers vermittelt werden und indem Erklärungen über den Grund eines veränderten Fahrzeugverhaltens untersucht werden. Interaktionen, welche von intelligenter Infrastruktur profitieren, waren jedoch bisher nicht im Fokus der Forschung. Dies führt zu Wissenslücken bezüglich der Integration von intelligenter Infrastruktur in das Fahrzeug. Diese Dissertation exploriert die Möglichkeiten intelligenter Infrastruktur, mit einem Fokus auf die Autobahn. Der erste Teil erstellt einen Design Space für Anwendungen von augmentierter Realität (AR) in 3D innerhalb des Autos, die unter anderem von Informationen intelligenter Infrastruktur profitieren. Durch das Ergebnis mehrerer Studien werden Anwendungsfälle in einem Katalog gesammelt, welche in die Interaktionsschnittstelle des Autos einfließen können. Diese Anwendungsfälle bauen unter anderem auf Umgebungsinformationen. Aufgrund dieser Anwendungen wird der Design Space entwickelt, mit Hilfe dessen neuartige Anwendungen für den Fahrzeuginnenraum entwickelt werden können. Der zweite Teil exploriert Visualisierungen für Verkehrssituationen, die außerhalb des Sichtfelds des Fahrers sind. Es wird untersucht, ob durch diese Visualisierungen der Fahrer besser auf ein potentielles Übernahmeszenario vorbereitet wird. Durch mehrere Studien wurden verschiedene Visualisierungen in 2D, stereoskopisches 3D und augmentierter Realität implementiert, die Szenen außerhalb des Sichtfelds des Fahrers darstellen. Diese Visualisierungen verbessern das Situationsbewusstsein über kritische Szenarien in einiger Entfernung während eines Übernahmeszenarios. Im dritten Teil werden Erklärungen für Situationen gestaltet, in welchen das Fahrzeug ein unerwartetes Fahrmanöver ausführt. Der Grund des Fahrmanövers ist dem Fahrer dabei unbekannt. Mit intelligenter Infrastruktur verbundene Fahrzeuge erhalten Informationen, die außerhalb des Sichtfelds des Fahrers liegen oder von der Cloud bereit gestellt werden. Dadurch könnte der Grund für das unerwartete Fahrverhalten unklar für den Fahrer sein. Daher werden die Bedürfnisse des Fahrers in diesen Situationen erforscht und Empfehlungen für die Gestaltung einer Schnittstelle, die Erklärungen für das unerwartete Fahrverhalten zur Verfügung stellt, abgeleitet. Zusammenfassend wird gezeigt wie Daten der Infrastruktur und Informationen von verbundenen Fahrzeugen in die Nutzerschnittstelle des Fahrzeugs implementiert werden können. Zudem wird aufgezeigt, wie innovative Technologien wie AR Brillen, die Wahrnehmung der Umgebung des Fahrers verbessern können. Durch diese Dissertation werden Fragen über Anwendungsfälle für die Integration von Umgebungsinformationen in Fahrzeugen beantwortet. Drei wichtige Themengebiete wurden untersucht, welche bei der Betrachtung von Anwendungsfällen der intelligenten Infrastruktur essentiell sind. Durch diese Arbeit wird die Gestaltung innovativer Interaktionen ermöglicht, Einblicke in Visualisierungen von Informationen außerhalb des Sichtfelds des Fahrers gegeben und es wird untersucht, wie Erklärungen für unerwartete Fahrsituationen gestaltet werden können