An Economic Model-Based Predictive Control to Manage the Users' Thermal Comfort in a Building

The goal of maintaining users' thermal comfort conditions in indoor environments may require complex regulation procedures and a proper energy management. This problem is being widely analyzed, since it has a direct effect on users' productivity. This paper presents an economic model-based predictive control (MPC) whose main strength is the use of the day-ahead price (DAP) in order to predict the energy consumption associated with the heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC). In this way, the control system is able to maintain a high thermal comfort level by optimizing the use of the HVAC system and to reduce, at the same time, the energy consumption associated with it, as much as possible. Later, the performance of the proposed control system is tested through simulations with a non-linear model of a bioclimatic building room. Several simulation scenarios are considered as a test-bed. From the obtained results, it is possible to conclude that the control system has a good behavior in several situations, i.e., it can reach the users' thermal comfort for the analyzed situations, whereas the HVAC use is adjusted through the DAP; therefore, the energy savings associated with the HVAC is increased.Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation [DPI2014-56364-C2-1-R]; EU-ERDF funds; Competitiveness and ERDF funds; Fundacion Iberdrola Espana; Portuguese Foundation for Science & Technology, through IDMEC, under LAETA [ID/EMS/50022/2013

Wireless sensors and IoT platform for intelligent HVAC control

Energy consumption of buildings (residential and non-residential) represents approximately 40% of total world electricity consumption, with half of this energy consumed by HVAC systems. Model-Based Predictive Control (MBPC) is perhaps the technique most often proposed for HVAC control, since it offers an enormous potential for energy savings. Despite the large number of papers on this topic during the last few years, there are only a few reported applications of the use of MBPC for existing buildings, under normal occupancy conditions and, to the best of our knowledge, no commercial solution yet. A marketable solution has been recently presented by the authors, coined the IMBPC HVAC system. This paper describes the design, prototyping and validation of two components of this integrated system, the Self-Powered Wireless Sensors and the IOT platform developed. Results for the use of IMBPC in a real building under normal occupation demonstrate savings in the electricity bill while maintaining thermal comfort during the whole occupation schedule.QREN SIDT [38798]; Portuguese Foundation for Science & Technology, through IDMEC, under LAETA [ID/EMS/50022/2013

A novel improved model for building energy consumption prediction based on model integration

Building energy consumption prediction plays an irreplaceable role in energy planning, management, and conservation. Constantly improving the performance of prediction models is the key to ensuring the efficient operation of energy systems. Moreover, accuracy is no longer the only factor in revealing model performance, it is more important to evaluate the model from multiple perspectives, considering the characteristics of engineering applications. Based on the idea of model integration, this paper proposes a novel improved integration model (stacking model) that can be used to forecast building energy consumption. The stacking model combines advantages of various base prediction algorithms and forms them into “meta-features” to ensure that the final model can observe datasets from different spatial and structural angles. Two cases are used to demonstrate practical engineering applications of the stacking model. A comparative analysis is performed to evaluate the prediction performance of the stacking model in contrast with existing well-known prediction models including Random Forest, Gradient Boosted Decision Tree, Extreme Gradient Boosting, Support Vector Machine, and K-Nearest Neighbor. The results indicate that the stacking method achieves better performance than other models, regarding accuracy (improvement of 9.5%–31.6% for Case A and 16.2%–49.4% for Case B), generalization (improvement of 6.7%–29.5% for Case A and 7.1%-34.6% for Case B), and robustness (improvement of 1.5%–34.1% for Case A and 1.8%–19.3% for Case B). The proposed model enriches the diversity of algorithm libraries of empirical models

Neural network based predictive control of personalized heating systems

The aim of a personalized heating system is to provide a desirable microclimate for each individual when heating is needed. In this paper, we present a method based on machine learning algorithms for generation of predictive models for use in control of personalized heating systems. Data was collected from two individual test subjects in an experiment that consisted of 14 sessions per test subject with each session lasting 4 h. A dynamic recurrent nonlinear autoregressive neural network with exogenous inputs (NARX) was used for developing the models for the prediction of personalized heating settings. The models for subjects A and B were tested with the data that was not used in creating the neural network (unseen data) to evaluate the accuracy of the prediction. Trained NARX showed good performance when tested with the unseen data, with no sign of overfitting. For model A, the optimal network was with 12 hidden neurons with root mean square error equal to 0.043 and Pearson correlation coefficient equal to 0.994. The best result for model B was obtained with a neural network with 16 hidden neurons with root mean square error equal to 0.049 and Pearson correlation coefficient equal to 0.966. In addition to the neural network models, several other machine learning algorithms were tested. Furthermore, the models were on-line tested and the results showed that the test subjects were satisfied with the heating settings that were automatically controlled using the models. Tests with automatic control showed that both test subjects felt comfortable throughout the tests and test subjects expressed their satisfaction with the automatic control

Simulation of a model-based optimal controller for heating systems under realistic hypothesis

An optimal controller for auxiliary heating of passive solar buildings and commercial buildings with high internal gains is tested in simulation. Some of the most restrictive simplifications that were used in previous studies of that controller (Kummert et al., 2001) are lifted: the controller is applied to a multizone building, and a detailed model is used for the HVAC system. The model-based control algorithm is not modified. It is based on a simplified internal model