A critical review of online battery remaining useful lifetime prediction methods.

Lithium-ion batteries play an important role in our daily lives. The prediction of the remaining service life of lithium-ion batteries has become an important issue. This article reviews the methods for predicting the remaining service life of lithium-ion batteries from three aspects: machine learning, adaptive filtering, and random processes. The purpose of this study is to review, classify and compare different methods proposed in the literature to predict the remaining service life of lithium-ion batteries. This article first summarizes and classifies various methods for predicting the remaining service life of lithium-ion batteries that have been proposed in recent years. On this basis, by selecting specific criteria to evaluate and compare the accuracy of different models, find the most suitable method. Finally, summarize the development of various methods. According to the research in this article, the average accuracy of machine learning is 32.02% higher than the average of the other two methods, and the prediction cycle is 9.87% shorter than the average of the other two methods

Overview of Machine Learning Methods for Lithium-Ion Battery Remaining Useful Lifetime Prediction

Lithium-ion batteries play an indispensable role, from portable electronic devices to electric vehicles and home storage systems. Even though they are characterized by superior performance than most other storage technologies, their lifetime is not unlimited and has to be predicted to ensure the economic viability of the battery application. Furthermore, to ensure the optimal battery system operation, the remaining useful lifetime (RUL) prediction has become an essential feature of modern battery management systems (BMSs). Thus, the prediction of RUL of Lithium-ion batteries has become a hot topic for both industry and academia. The purpose of this work is to review, classify, and compare different machine learning (ML)-based methods for the prediction of the RUL of Lithium-ion batteries. First, this article summarizes and classifies various Lithium-ion battery RUL estimation methods that have been proposed in recent years. Secondly, an innovative method was selected for evaluation and compared in terms of accuracy and complexity. DNN is more suitable for RUL prediction due to its strong independent learning ability and generalization ability. In addition, the challenges and prospects of BMS and RUL prediction research are also put forward. Finally, the development of various methods is summarized

Enhanced Gaussian Process Dynamical Models with Knowledge Transfer for Long-term Battery Degradation Forecasting

Predicting the end-of-life or remaining useful life of batteries in electric vehicles is a critical and challenging problem, predominantly approached in recent years using machine learning to predict the evolution of the state-of-health during repeated cycling. To improve the accuracy of predictive estimates, especially early in the battery lifetime, a number of algorithms have incorporated features that are available from data collected by battery management systems. Unless multiple battery data sets are used for a direct prediction of the end-of-life, which is useful for ball-park estimates, such an approach is infeasible since the features are not known for future cycles. In this paper, we develop a highly-accurate method that can overcome this limitation, by using a modified Gaussian process dynamical model (GPDM). We introduce a kernelised version of GPDM for a more expressive covariance structure between both the observable and latent coordinates. We combine the approach with transfer learning to track the future state-of-health up to end-of-life. The method can incorporate features as different physical observables, without requiring their values beyond the time up to which data is available. Transfer learning is used to improve learning of the hyperparameters using data from similar batteries. The accuracy and superiority of the approach over modern benchmarks algorithms including a Gaussian process model and deep convolutional and recurrent networks are demonstrated on three data sets, particularly at the early stages of the battery lifetime

A critical review of improved deep learning methods for the remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion batteries.

As widely used for secondary energy storage, lithium-ion batteries have become the core component of the power supply system and accurate remaining useful life prediction is the key to ensure its reliability. Because of the complex working characteristics of lithium-ion batteries as well as the model parameter changing along with the aging process, the accuracy of the online remaining useful life prediction is difficult but urgent to be improved for the reliable power supply application. The deep learning algorithm improves the accuracy of the remaining useful life prediction, which also reduces the characteristic testing time requirement, providing the possibility to improve the power profitability of predictive energy management. This article analyzes, reviews, classifies, and compares different adaptive mathematical models on deep learning algorithms for the remaining useful life prediction. The features are identified for the modeling ability, according to which the adaptive prediction methods are classified. The specific criteria are defined to evaluate different modeling accuracy in the deep learning calculation procedure. The key features of effective life prediction are used to draw relevant conclusions and suggestions are provided, in which the high-accuracy deep convolutional neural network — extreme learning machine algorithm is chosen to be utilized for the stable remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion batteries

A hybrid data driven framework considering feature extraction for battery state of health estimation and remaining useful life prediction.

Battery life prediction is of great significance to the safe operation, and the maintenance costs are reduced. This paper proposed a hybrid framework considering feature extraction to solve the problem of data backward, large sample data and uneven distribution of high-dimensional feature space, then to achieve a more accurate and stable prediction performance. By feature extraction, the measured data can be directly fed into the life prediction model. The hybrid framework combines variational mode decomposition, the multi-kernel support vector regression model and the improved sparrow search algorithm. Better parameters of the estimation model are obtained by introducing elite chaotic opposition-learning strategy and adaptive weights to optimize the sparrow search algorithm. The comparison is conducted by dataset from National Aeronautics and Space Administration, which shows that the proposed framework has a more accurate and stable prediction performance

Model-free non-invasive health assessment for battery energy storage assets

Increasing penetration of renewable energy generation in the modern power network introduces uncertainty about the energy available to maintain a balance between generation and demand due to its time-fluctuating output that is strongly dependent on the weather. With the development of energy storage technology, there is the potential for this technology to become a key element to help overcome this intermittency in a generation. However, the increasing penetration of battery energy storage within the power network introduces an additional challenge to asset owners on how to monitor and manage battery health. The accurate estimation of the health of this device is crucial in determining its reliability, power-delivering capability and ability to contribute to the operation of the whole power system. Generally, doing this requires invasive measurements or computationally expensive physics-based models, which do not scale up cost-effectively to a fleet of assets. As storage aggregation becomes more commonplace, there is a need for a health metric that will be able to predict battery health based only on the limited information available, eliminating the necessity of installation of extensive telemetry in the system. This work develops a solution to battery health prognostics by providing an alternative, a non-invasive approach to the estimation of battery health that estimates the extent to which a battery asset has been maloperated based only on the battery-operating regime imposed on the device. The model introduced in this work is based on the Hidden Markov Model, which stochastically models the battery limitations imposed by its chemistry as a combination of present and previous sequential charging actions, and articulates the preferred operating regime as a measure of health consequence. The resulting methodology is demonstrated on distribution network level electrical demand and generation data, accurately predicting maloperation under a number of battery technology scenarios. The effectiveness of the proposed battery maloperation model as a proxy for actual battery degradation for lithium-ion technology was also tested against lab tested battery degradation data, showing that the proposed health measure in terms of maloperation level reflected that measured in terms of capacity fade. The developed model can support condition monitoring and remaining useful life estimates, but in the wider context could also be used as the policy function in an automated scheduler to utilise assets while optimising their health.Increasing penetration of renewable energy generation in the modern power network introduces uncertainty about the energy available to maintain a balance between generation and demand due to its time-fluctuating output that is strongly dependent on the weather. With the development of energy storage technology, there is the potential for this technology to become a key element to help overcome this intermittency in a generation. However, the increasing penetration of battery energy storage within the power network introduces an additional challenge to asset owners on how to monitor and manage battery health. The accurate estimation of the health of this device is crucial in determining its reliability, power-delivering capability and ability to contribute to the operation of the whole power system. Generally, doing this requires invasive measurements or computationally expensive physics-based models, which do not scale up cost-effectively to a fleet of assets. As storage aggregation becomes more commonplace, there is a need for a health metric that will be able to predict battery health based only on the limited information available, eliminating the necessity of installation of extensive telemetry in the system. This work develops a solution to battery health prognostics by providing an alternative, a non-invasive approach to the estimation of battery health that estimates the extent to which a battery asset has been maloperated based only on the battery-operating regime imposed on the device. The model introduced in this work is based on the Hidden Markov Model, which stochastically models the battery limitations imposed by its chemistry as a combination of present and previous sequential charging actions, and articulates the preferred operating regime as a measure of health consequence. The resulting methodology is demonstrated on distribution network level electrical demand and generation data, accurately predicting maloperation under a number of battery technology scenarios. The effectiveness of the proposed battery maloperation model as a proxy for actual battery degradation for lithium-ion technology was also tested against lab tested battery degradation data, showing that the proposed health measure in terms of maloperation level reflected that measured in terms of capacity fade. The developed model can support condition monitoring and remaining useful life estimates, but in the wider context could also be used as the policy function in an automated scheduler to utilise assets while optimising their health