Road Traffic Congestion Analysis Via Connected Vehicles

La congestion routière est un état particulier de mobilité où les temps de déplacement augmentent et de plus en plus de temps est passé dans le véhicule. En plus d’être une expérience très stressante pour les conducteurs, la congestion a également un impact négatif sur l’environnement et l’économie. Dans ce contexte, des pressions sont exercées sur les autorités afin qu’elles prennent des mesures décisives pour améliorer le flot du trafic sur le réseau routier. En améliorant le flot, la congestion est réduite et la durée totale de déplacement des véhicules est réduite. D’une part, la congestion routière peut être récurrente, faisant référence à la congestion qui se produit régulièrement. La congestion non récurrente (NRC), quant à elle, dans un réseau urbain, est principalement causée par des incidents, des zones de construction, des événements spéciaux ou des conditions météorologiques défavorables. Les opérateurs d’infrastructure surveillent le trafic sur le réseau mais sont contraints à utiliser le moins de ressources possibles. Cette contrainte implique que l’état du trafic ne peut pas être mesuré partout car il n’est pas réaliste de déployer des équipements sophistiqués pour assurer la collecte précise des données de trafic et la détection en temps réel des événements partout sur le réseau routier. Alors certains emplacements où le flot de trafic doit être amélioré ne sont pas surveillés car ces emplacements varient beaucoup. D’un autre côté, de nombreuses études sur la congestion routière ont été consacrées aux autoroutes plutôt qu’aux régions urbaines, qui sont pourtant beaucoup plus susceptibles d’être surveillées par les autorités de la circulation. De plus, les systèmes actuels de collecte de données de trafic n’incluent pas la possibilité d’enregistrer des informations détaillées sur les événements qui surviennent sur la route, tels que les collisions, les conditions météorologiques défavorables, etc. Aussi, les études proposées dans la littérature ne font que détecter la congestion ; mais ce n’est pas suffisant, nous devrions être en mesure de mieux caractériser l’événement qui en est la cause. Les agences doivent comprendre quelle est la cause qui affecte la variabilité de flot sur leurs installations et dans quelle mesure elles peuvent prendre les actions appropriées pour atténuer la congestion.----------ABSTRACT: Road traffic congestion is a particular state of mobility where travel times increase and more and more time is spent in vehicles. Apart from being a quite-stressful experience for drivers, congestion also has a negative impact on the environment and the economy. In this context, there is pressure on the authorities to take decisive actions to improve the network traffic flow. By improving network flow, congestion is reduced and the total travel time of vehicles is decreased. In fact, congestion can be classified as recurrent and non-recurrent (NRC). Recurrent congestion refers to congestion that happens on a regular basis. Non-recurrent congestion in an urban network is mainly caused by incidents, workzones, special events and adverse weather. Infrastructure operators monitor traffic on the network while using the least possible resources. Thus, traffic state cannot be directly measured everywhere on the traffic road network. But the location where traffic flow needs to be improved varies highly and certainly, deploying highly sophisticated equipment to ensure the accurate estimation of traffic flows and timely detection of events everywhere on the road network is not feasible. Also, many studies have been devoted to highways rather than highly congested urban regions which are intricate, complex networks and far more likely to be monitored by the traffic authorities. Moreover, current traffic data collection systems do not incorporate the ability of registring detailed information on the altering events happening on the road, such as vehicle crashes, adverse weather, etc. Operators require external data sources to retireve this information in real time. Current methods only detect congestion but it’s not enough, we should be able to better characterize the event causing it. Agencies need to understand what is the cause affecting variability on their facilities and to what degree so that they can take the appropriate action to mitigate congestion

도심 교차로에서의 자율주행을 위한 주변 차량 경로 예측 및 거동 계획 알고리즘

학위논문(박사)--서울대학교 대학원 :공과대학 기계항공공학부,2020. 2. 이경수.차랑용 센싱 및 처리기술이 발달함에 따라 자동차 기술 연구가 수동 안전 기술에서 능동 안전 기술로 초점이 확장되고 있다. 최근, 주요 자동차 제작사들은 능동형 차간거리 제어, 차선 유지 보조, 그리고 긴급 자동 제동과 같은 능동 안전 기술이 이미 상업화하고 있다. 이러한 기술적 진보는 사상률 제로를 달성하기 위하여 기술 연구 분야를 능동 안전 기술을 넘어서 자율주행 시스템으로 확장시키고 있다. 특히, 도심 도로는 인도, 사각지대, 주차차량, 이륜차, 보행자 등과 같은 교통 위험 요소를 많이 갖고 있기 때문에 고속도로보다 사고 발생률과 사상률이 높으며, 이는 도심 도로에서의 자율주행은 핵심 이슈가 되고 있다. 많은 프로젝트들이 자율주행의 환경적, 인구학적, 사회적, 그리고 경제적 측면에서의 자율주행의 효과를 평가하기 위해 수행되었거나 수행 중에 있다. 예를 들어, 유럽의 AdaptIVE는 다양한 자율주행 기능을 개발하였으며, 구체적인 평가 방법론을 개발하였다. 또한, CityMobil2는 유럽 전역의 9개의 다른 환경에서 무인 지능형 차량을 성공적으로 통합하였다. 일본에서는 2014년 5월에 시작된 Automated Driving System Research Project는 자율주행 시스템과 차세대 도심 교통 수단의 개발 및 검증에 초점을 맞추었다. 기존 연구들에 대한 조사를 통해 자율주행 시스템은 교통 참여자들의 안전도를 향상시키고, 교통 혼잡을 감소시키며, 운전자 편의성을 증진시키는 것이 증명되었다. 다양한 방법론들이 인지, 거동 계획, 그리고 제어와 같은 도심 도로 자율주행차의 핵심 기술들을 개발하기 위하여 사용되었다. 하지만 많은 최신의 자율주행 연구들은 각 기술의 개발을 별개로 고려하여 진행해왔다. 결과적으로 통합적인 관점에서의 자율주행 기술 설계는 아직 충분히 고려되어 않았다. 따라서, 본 논문은 복잡한 도심 도로 환경에서 라이다, 카메라, GPS, 그리고 간단한 경로 맵에 기반한 완전 자율주행 알고리즘을 개발하는 것을 목표로 하였다. 제안된 자율주행 알고리즘은 비통제 교차로를 포함한 도심 도로 상황을 차량 거동 예측기와 모델 예측 제어 기법에 기반하여 설계되었다. 본 논문은 동적, 정적 환경 표현 및 종횡방향 거동 계획을 중점적으로 다루었다. 본 논문은 도심 도로 자율주행을 위한 거동 계획 알고리즘의 개요를 제시하였으며, 실제 교통 상황에서의 실험 결과는 제안된 알고리즘의 효과성과 운전자 거동과의 유사성을 보여주었다. 실차 실험 결과는 비통제 교차로를 포함한 도심 시나리오에서의 강건한 성능을 보여주었다.The foci of automotive researches have been expanding from passive safety systems to active safety systems with advances in sensing and processing technologies. Recently, the majority of automotive makers have already commercialized active safety systems, such as adaptive cruise control (ACC), lane keeping assistance (LKA), and autonomous emergency braking (AEB). Such advances have extended the research field beyond active safety systems to automated driving systems to achieve zero fatalities. Especially, automated driving on urban roads has become a key issue because urban roads possess numerous risk factors for traffic accidents, such as sidewalks, blind spots, on-street parking, motorcycles, and pedestrians, which cause higher accident rates and fatalities than motorways. Several projects have been conducted, and many others are still underway to evaluate the effects of automated driving in environmental, demographic, social, and economic aspects. For example, the European project AdaptIVe, develops various automated driving functions and defines specific evaluation methodologies. In addition, CityMobil2 successfully integrates driverless intelligent vehicles in nine other environments throughout Europe. In Japan, the Automated Driving System Research Project began on May 2014, which focuses on the development and verification of automated driving systems and next-generation urban transportation. From a careful review of a considerable amount of literature, automated driving systems have been proven to increase the safety of traffic users, reduce traffic congestion, and improve driver convenience. Various methodologies have been employed to develop the core technology of automated vehicles on urban roads, such as perception, motion planning, and control. However, the current state-of-the-art automated driving algorithms focus on the development of each technology separately. Consequently, designing automated driving systems from an integrated perspective is not yet sufficiently considered. Therefore, this dissertation focused on developing a fully autonomous driving algorithm in urban complex scenarios using LiDAR, vision, GPS, and a simple path map. The proposed autonomous driving algorithm covered the urban road scenarios with uncontrolled intersections based on vehicle motion prediction and model predictive control approach. Mainly, four research issues are considered: dynamic/static environment representation, and longitudinal/lateral motion planning. In the remainder of this thesis, we will provide an overview of the proposed motion planning algorithm for urban autonomous driving and the experimental results in real traffic, which showed the effectiveness and human-like behaviors of the proposed algorithm. The proposed algorithm has been tested and evaluated using both simulation and vehicle tests. The test results show the robust performance of urban scenarios, including uncontrolled intersections.Chapter 1 Introduction 1 1.1. Background and Motivation 1 1.2. Previous Researches 4 1.3. Thesis Objectives 9 1.4. Thesis Outline 10 Chapter 2 Overview of Motion Planning for Automated Driving System 11 Chapter 3 Dynamic Environment Representation with Motion Prediction 15 3.1. Moving Object Classification 17 3.2. Vehicle State based Direct Motion Prediction 20 3.2.1. Data Collection Vehicle 22 3.2.2. Target Roads 23 3.2.3. Dataset Selection 24 3.2.4. Network Architecture 25 3.2.5. Input and Output Features 33 3.2.6. Encoder and Decoder 33 3.2.7. Sequence Length 34 3.3. Road Structure based Interactive Motion Prediction 36 3.3.1. Maneuver Definition 38 3.3.2. Network Architecture 39 3.3.3. Path Following Model based State Predictor 47 3.3.4. Estimation of predictor uncertainty 50 3.3.5. Motion Parameter Estimation 53 3.3.6. Interactive Maneuver Prediction 56 3.4. Intersection Approaching Vehicle Motion Prediction 59 3.4.1. Driver Behavior Model at Intersections 59 3.4.2. Intention Inference based State Prediction 63 Chapter 4 Static Environment Representation 67 4.1. Static Obstacle Map Construction 69 4.2. Free Space Boundary Decision 74 4.3. Drivable Corridor Decision 76 Chapter 5 Longitudinal Motion Planning 81 5.1. In-Lane Target Following 82 5.2. Proactive Motion Planning for Narrow Road Driving 85 5.2.1. Motivation for Collision Preventive Velocity Planning 85 5.2.2. Desired Acceleration Decision 86 5.3. Uncontrolled Intersection 90 5.3.1. Driving Phase and Mode Definition 91 5.3.2. State Machine for Driving Mode Decision 92 5.3.3. Motion Planner for Approach Mode 95 5.3.4. Motion Planner for Risk Management Phase 98 Chapter 6 Lateral Motion Planning 105 6.1. Vehicle Model 107 6.2. Cost Function and Constraints 109 Chapter 7 Performance Evaluation 115 7.1. Motion Prediction 115 7.1.1. Prediction Accuracy Analysis of Vehicle State based Direct Motion Predictor 115 7.1.2. Prediction Accuracy and Effect Analysis of Road Structure based Interactive Motion Predictor 122 7.2. Prediction based Distance Control at Urban Roads 132 7.2.1. Driving Data Analysis of Direct Motion Predictor Application at Urban Roads 133 7.2.2. Case Study of Vehicle Test at Urban Roads 138 7.2.3. Analysis of Vehicle Test Results on Urban Roads 147 7.3. Complex Urban Roads 153 7.3.1. Case Study of Vehicle Test at Complex Urban Roads 154 7.3.2. Closed-loop Simulation based Safety Analysis 162 7.4. Uncontrolled Intersections 164 7.4.1. Simulation based Algorithm Comparison of Motion Planner 164 7.4.2. Monte-Carlo Simulation based Safety Analysis 166 7.4.3. Vehicle Tests Results in Real Traffic Conditions 172 7.4.4. Similarity Analysis between Human and Automated Vehicle 194 7.5. Multi-Lane Turn Intersections 197 7.5.1. Case Study of a Multi-Lane Left Turn Scenario 197 7.5.2. Analysis of Motion Planning Application Results 203 Chapter 8 Conclusion & Future Works 207 8.1. Conclusion 207 8.2. Future Works 209 Bibliography 210 Abstract in Korean 219Docto

Potential safety applications of advanced technology. Final Report

Notes: Report covers the period Sept 1990 - June 1993. Originally dated June 1993Federal Highway Administration, Office of Safety and Traffic Operations Research and Development, McLean, Va.http://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/1045/2/85136.0001.001.pd