Application of learning algorithms to traffic management in integrated services networks.

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Packet switching networks traffic prediction based on radial basis function neural network

New multimedia applications require Quality of Service support, which is still not successfully implemented in current packet-switched networks implementations. This paper presents a concept of neural network predictor, suitable for prediction of short-term values of traffic volume generated by end user. The architecture is Radial Basis Function neural network, optimized with respect to a number of neurons. Testing mode of the neural network is very fast, what enables application of this tool in nodes of telecommunication network. This would help to warn a network management system on early symptoms of congestion expected in the near future and avoid the network overload

Study of the Application of Neural Networks in Internet Traffic Engineering

In this study, we showed various approachs implemented in Artificial Neural Networks for network resources management and Internet congestion control. Through a training process, Neural Networks can determine nonlinear relationships in a data set by associating the corresponding outputs to input patterns. Therefore, the application of these networks to Traffic Engineering can help achieve its general objective: “intelligent” agents or systems capable of adapting dataflow according to available resources. In this article, we analyze the opportunity and feasibility to apply Artificial Neural Networks to a number of tasks related to Traffic Engineering. In previous sections, we present the basics of each one of these disciplines, which are associated to Artificial Intelligence and Computer Networks respectively

Application of an automatically designed fuzzy logic decision support system to connection admission control in ATM networks

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Engage D3.5 Opportunities for innovative ATM research (interim report)

This document reports on the topics and academic disciplines of past Exploratory Research projects, notably SESAR Workpackage E (long-term and innovative research) and SESAR Exploratory Research (ER) with a view of tracing the evolution of research as well as opportunities for future research. This analysis is complemented with relevant activities in Engage, such as the Engage thematic challenges

Probabilistic traffic breakdown forecasting through Bayesian approximation using variational LSTMs

Robust artificial intelligence models have been criticized for their lack of uncertainty control and inability to explain feature importance, which has limited their adoption. However, probabilistic machine learning and explainable artificial intelligence have shown great scientific and technical advances, and have slowly permeated other areas, such as Traffic Engineering. This thesis fulfils a literature gap related to probabilistic traffic breakdown forecasting. We propose a traffic breakdown probability calculation methodology based on probabilistic speed predictions. Since the probabilistic characteristic is absent in traditional formulations of neural networks, we suggest using Variational LSTMs to make the speed forecasts. This Recurrent Neural Network uses Dropout to produce a Bayesian approximation and generate probabilistic outputs. This thesis also investigates the effects of inclement weather on traffic breakdown probability and methods for identifying traffic breakdowns. The proposed methodology produces great control over the probability of congestion, which could not be achieved using deterministic models, resulting in important theoretical and practical contributions

A multi-level predictive methodology for terminal area air traffic flow

Over the past few decades, the air transportation system has grown significantly. In particular, the number of passengers using air transportation has greatly increased. As the demand for air travel expands, airport departure/arrival demand almost reaches its capacity. In consequence, the level of delays increases since the system capacity cannot manage the increased demand. With this trend, the national airspace system (NAS) will be saturated, and the congestion at the airport will become even more severe. As a result of congestion, a considerable number of flights experience delays. According to the Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS), over 1 million flights are operated in a year, and about twenty percent of all scheduled commercial flights are delayed more than 15 minutes. These delays cost billions of dollars annually for airlines, passengers, and the US economy. Therefore, this study seeks to find out why the delays occur and to analyze patterns in which the delays occurred. Analysis of airport operations generally falls into a macro or micro perspective. At the macro point of view, very few details are considered, and delays are aggregated at the airport level. Especially, shortfalls in airport capacity and a capacity-demand imbalance are the primary causes of delays in this respect. In the micro perspective, each aircraft is modeled individually, and the causes of delays are reproduced as precisely as possible. Micro reasons for air traffic delays include inclement weather, mechanics problems, operation issues. In this regard, this research proposes a methodology that can efficiently and practically predict macro and micro-level air traffic flow in the terminal area. For a macro-level analysis of delays, artificial neural networks models are proposed to predict the hourly airport capacity. Multi-layer perceptron (MLP), recurrent neural network (RNN), and long short-term memory (LSTM) are trained with historical weather and airport capacity data of Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta airport (ATL). In the performance evaluation, the models have presented decent predictive performance and successfully predicted the test data as well as the training data. On the other hand, Random Forests and AdaBoost are implemented in the micro-level modeling of the air traffic. The micro-level models trained with on-time flight performance data and corresponding weather data focus on a classification of the individual flight delays. The model provides interpretability and imbalanced data handling while the accuracy is as good as the existing methods. Lastly, the predictive model for individual flight delays is refined using the cost-proportionate rejection sampling (costing) method. Along with the integration of the costing method, general machine learning algorithms have been converted to cost-sensitive classifiers. The cost-sensitive classifiers were able to account for asymmetric misclassification costs without losing their diagnostic functionality as binary classifiers. This study presents a data-driven approach to air traffic flow management that can effectively utilize air traffic data accumulated over decades. Through data analysis from the macro and micro perspective, an integrated methodology for terminal air traffic flow prediction is provided. An accurate prediction of the airport capacity and individual flight delays will assist stakeholders in taking more informed decisions.Ph.D

An intelligent approach to quality of service for MPEG-4 video transmission in IEEE 802.15.1

Nowadays, wireless connectivity is becoming ubiquitous spreading to companies and in domestic areas. IEEE 802.15.1 commonly known as Bluetooth is high-quality, high-security, high-speed and low-cost radio signal technology. This wireless technology allows a maximum access range of 100 meters yet needs power as low as 1mW. Regrettably, IEEE 802.15.1 has a very limited bandwidth. This limitation can become a real problem If the user wishes to transmit a large amount of data in a very short time. The version 1.2 which is used in this project could only carry a maximum download rate of 724Kbps and an upload rate of 54Kbps In its asynchronous mode. But video needs a very large bandwidth to be transmitted with a sufficient level of quality. Video transmission over IEEE 802.15.1 networks would therefore be difficult to achieve, due to the limited bandwidth. Hence, a solution to transmit digital video with a sufficient quality of picture to arrive at the receiving end is required. A hybrid scheme has been developed in this thesis, comprises of a fuzzy logic set of rules and an artificial neural network algorithms. MPEG-4 video compression has been used in this work to optimise the transmission. This research further utilises an ‘added-buffer’ to prevent excessive data loss of MPEG-4 video over IEEE 802.15.1transmission and subsequently increase picture quality. The neural-fuzzy scheme regulates the output rate of the added-buffer to ensure that MPEG-4 video stream conforms to the traffic conditions of the IEEE 802.15.1 channel during the transmission period, that is to send more data when the bandwidth is not fully used and keep the data in the buffers if the bandwidth is overused. Computer simulation results confirm that intelligence techniques and added-buffer do improve quality of picture, reduce data loss and communication delay, as compared with conventional MPEG video transmission over IEEE 802.15.1