A CNN-LSTM for predicting mortality in the ICU

An accurate predicted mortality is crucial to healthcare as it provides an empirical risk estimate for prognostic decision making, patient stratification and hospital benchmarking. Current prediction methods in practice are severity of disease scoring systems that usually involve a fixed set of admission attributes and summarized physiological data. These systems are prone to bias and require substantial manual effort which necessitates an updated approach which can account for most shortcomings. Clinical observation notes allow for recording highly subjective data on the patient that can possibly facilitate higher discrimination. Moreover, deep learning models can automatically extract and select features without human input.This thesis investigates the potential of a combination of a deep learning model and notes for predicting mortality with a higher accuracy. A custom architecture, called CNN-LSTM, is conceptualized for mapping multiple notes compiled in a hospital stay to a mortality outcome. It employs both convolutional and recurrent layers with the former capturing semantic relationships in individual notes independently and the latter capturing temporal relationships between concurrent notes in a hospital stay. This approach is compared to three severity of disease scoring systems with a case study on the MIMIC-III dataset. Experiments are set up to assess the CNN-LSTM for predicting mortality using only the notes from the first 24, 12 and 48 hours of a patient stay. The model is trained using K-fold cross-validation with k=5 and the mortality probability calculated by the three severity scores on the held-out set is used as the baseline. It is found that the CNN-LSTM outperforms the baseline on all experiments which serves as a proof-of-concept of how notes and deep learning can better outcome prediction

A Review on Explainable Artificial Intelligence for Healthcare: Why, How, and When?

Artificial intelligence (AI) models are increasingly finding applications in the field of medicine. Concerns have been raised about the explainability of the decisions that are made by these AI models. In this article, we give a systematic analysis of explainable artificial intelligence (XAI), with a primary focus on models that are currently being used in the field of healthcare. The literature search is conducted following the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses (PRISMA) standards for relevant work published from 1 January 2012 to 02 February 2022. The review analyzes the prevailing trends in XAI and lays out the major directions in which research is headed. We investigate the why, how, and when of the uses of these XAI models and their implications. We present a comprehensive examination of XAI methodologies as well as an explanation of how a trustworthy AI can be derived from describing AI models for healthcare fields. The discussion of this work will contribute to the formalization of the XAI field.Comment: 15 pages, 3 figures, accepted for publication in the IEEE Transactions on Artificial Intelligenc

Utilizing artificial intelligence in perioperative patient flow:systematic literature review

Abstract. The purpose of this thesis was to map the existing landscape of artificial intelligence (AI) applications used in secondary healthcare, with a focus on perioperative care. The goal was to find out what systems have been developed, and how capable they are at controlling perioperative patient flow. The review was guided by the following research question: How is AI currently utilized in patient flow management in the context of perioperative care? This systematic literature review examined the current evidence regarding the use of AI in perioperative patient flow. A comprehensive search was conducted in four databases, resulting in 33 articles meeting the inclusion criteria. Findings demonstrated that AI technologies, such as machine learning (ML) algorithms and predictive analytics tools, have shown somewhat promising outcomes in optimizing perioperative patient flow. Specifically, AI systems have proven effective in predicting surgical case durations, assessing risks, planning treatments, supporting diagnosis, improving bed utilization, reducing cancellations and delays, and enhancing communication and collaboration among healthcare providers. However, several challenges were identified, including the need for accurate and reliable data sources, ethical considerations, and the potential for biased algorithms. Further research is needed to validate and optimize the application of AI in perioperative patient flow. The contribution of this thesis is summarizing the current state of the characteristics of AI application in perioperative patient flow. This systematic literature review provides information about the features of perioperative patient flow and the clinical tasks of AI applications previously identified

Artificial Intelligence: Development and Applications in Neurosurgery

The last decade has witnessed a significant increase in the relevance of artificial intelligence (AI) in neuroscience. Gaining notoriety from its potential to revolutionize medical decision making, data analytics, and clinical workflows, AI is poised to be increasingly implemented into neurosurgical practice. However, certain considerations pose significant challenges to its immediate and widespread implementation. Hence, this chapter will explore current developments in AI as it pertains to the field of clinical neuroscience, with a primary focus on neurosurgery. Additionally included is a brief discussion of important economic and ethical considerations related to the feasibility and implementation of AI-based technologies in neurosciences, including future horizons such as the operational integrations of human and non-human capabilities

Machine Learning for Biomedical Application

Biomedicine is a multidisciplinary branch of medical science that consists of many scientific disciplines, e.g., biology, biotechnology, bioinformatics, and genetics; moreover, it covers various medical specialties. In recent years, this field of science has developed rapidly. This means that a large amount of data has been generated, due to (among other reasons) the processing, analysis, and recognition of a wide range of biomedical signals and images obtained through increasingly advanced medical imaging devices. The analysis of these data requires the use of advanced IT methods, which include those related to the use of artificial intelligence, and in particular machine learning. It is a summary of the Special Issue “Machine Learning for Biomedical Application”, briefly outlining selected applications of machine learning in the processing, analysis, and recognition of biomedical data, mostly regarding biosignals and medical images

Contribuciones de las técnicas machine learning a la cardiología. Predicción de reestenosis tras implante de stent coronario

[ES]Antecedentes: Existen pocos temas de actualidad equiparables a la posibilidad de la tecnología actual para desarrollar las mismas capacidades que el ser humano, incluso en medicina. Esta capacidad de simular los procesos de inteligencia humana por parte de máquinas o sistemas informáticos es lo que conocemos hoy en día como inteligencia artificial. Uno de los campos de la inteligencia artificial con mayor aplicación a día de hoy en medicina es el de la predicción, recomendación o diagnóstico, donde se aplican las técnicas machine learning. Asimismo, existe un creciente interés en las técnicas de medicina de precisión, donde las técnicas machine learning pueden ofrecer atención médica individualizada a cada paciente. El intervencionismo coronario percutáneo (ICP) con stent se ha convertido en una práctica habitual en la revascularización de los vasos coronarios con enfermedad aterosclerótica obstructiva significativa. El ICP es asimismo patrón oro de tratamiento en pacientes con infarto agudo de miocardio; reduciendo las tasas de muerte e isquemia recurrente en comparación con el tratamiento médico. El éxito a largo plazo del procedimiento está limitado por la reestenosis del stent, un proceso patológico que provoca un estrechamiento arterial recurrente en el sitio de la ICP. Identificar qué pacientes harán reestenosis es un desafío clínico importante; ya que puede manifestarse como un nuevo infarto agudo de miocardio o forzar una nueva resvascularización del vaso afectado, y que en casos de reestenosis recurrente representa un reto terapéutico. Objetivos: Después de realizar una revisión de las técnicas de inteligencia artificial aplicadas a la medicina y con mayor profundidad, de las técnicas machine learning aplicadas a la cardiología, el objetivo principal de esta tesis doctoral ha sido desarrollar un modelo machine learning para predecir la aparición de reestenosis en pacientes con infarto agudo de miocardio sometidos a ICP con implante de un stent. Asimismo, han sido objetivos secundarios comparar el modelo desarrollado con machine learning con los scores clásicos de riesgo de reestenosis utilizados hasta la fecha; y desarrollar un software que permita trasladar esta contribución a la práctica clínica diaria de forma sencilla. Para desarrollar un modelo fácilmente aplicable, realizamos nuestras predicciones sin variables adicionales a las obtenidas en la práctica rutinaria. Material: El conjunto de datos, obtenido del ensayo GRACIA-3, consistió en 263 pacientes con características demográficas, clínicas y angiográficas; 23 de ellos presentaron reestenosis a los 12 meses después de la implantación del stent. Todos los desarrollos llevados a cabo se han hecho en Python y se ha utilizado computación en la nube, en concreto AWS (Amazon Web Services). Metodología: Se ha utilizado una metodología para trabajar con conjuntos de datos pequeños y no balanceados, siendo importante el esquema de validación cruzada anidada utilizado, así como la utilización de las curvas PR (precision-recall, exhaustividad-sensibilidad), además de las curvas ROC, para la interpretación de los modelos. Se han entrenado los algoritmos más habituales en la literatura para elegir el que mejor comportamiento ha presentado. Resultados: El modelo con mejores resultados ha sido el desarrollado con un clasificador extremely randomized trees; que superó significativamente (0,77; área bajo la curva ROC a los tres scores clínicos clásicos; PRESTO-1 (0,58), PRESTO-2 (0,58) y TLR (0,62). Las curvas exhaustividad sensibilidad ofrecieron una imagen más precisa del rendimiento del modelo extremely randomized trees que muestra un algoritmo eficiente (0,96) para no reestenosis, con alta exhaustividad y alta sensibilidad. Para un umbral considerado óptimo, de 1,000 pacientes sometidos a implante de stent, nuestro modelo machine learning predeciría correctamente 181 (18%) más casos en comparación con el mejor score de riesgo clásico (TLR). Las variables más importantes clasificadas según su contribución a las predicciones fueron diabetes, enfermedad coronaria en 2 ó más vasos, flujo TIMI post-ICP, plaquetas anormales, trombo post-ICP y colesterol anormal. Finalmente, se ha desarrollado una calculadora para trasladar el modelo a la práctica clínica. La calculadora permite estimar el riesgo individual de cada paciente y situarlo en una zona de riesgo, facilitando la toma de decisión al médico en cuanto al seguimiento adecuado para el mismo. Conclusiones: Aplicado inmediatamente después de la implantación del stent, un modelo machine learning diferencia mejor a aquellos pacientes que presentarán o no reestenosis respecto a los discriminadores clásicos actuales