A Censored Random Coefficients Model for Pooled Survey Data with Application to the Estimation of Power Outage Costs

In many surveys multiple observations on the dependent variable are collected from a given respondent. The resulting pooled data set is likely to be censored and to exhibit cross-sectional heterogeneity. We propose a model that addresses both issues by allowing regression coefficients to vary randomly across respondents and by using the Geweke-Hajivassiliou-Keane simulator and Halton sequences to estimate high-order probabilities. We show how this framework can be usefully applied to the estimation of power outage costs to firms using data from a recent survey conducted by a U.S. utility. Our results strongly reject the hypotheses of parameter constancy and cross-sectional homogeneity.

Virtual Runtime Application Partitions for Resource Management in Massively Parallel Architectures

This thesis presents a novel design paradigm, called Virtual Runtime Application Partitions (VRAP), to judiciously utilize the on-chip resources. As the dark silicon era approaches, where the power considerations will allow only a fraction chip to be powered on, judicious resource management will become a key consideration in future designs. Most of the works on resource management treat only the physical components (i.e. computation, communication, and memory blocks) as resources and manipulate the component to application mapping to optimize various parameters (e.g. energy efficiency). To further enhance the optimization potential, in addition to the physical resources we propose to manipulate abstract resources (i.e. voltage/frequency operating point, the fault-tolerance strength, the degree of parallelism, and the configuration architecture). The proposed framework (i.e. VRAP) encapsulates methods, algorithms, and hardware blocks to provide each application with the abstract resources tailored to its needs. To test the efficacy of this concept, we have developed three distinct self adaptive environments: (i) Private Operating Environment (POE), (ii) Private Reliability Environment (PRE), and (iii) Private Configuration Environment (PCE) that collectively ensure that each application meets its deadlines using minimal platform resources. In this work several novel architectural enhancements, algorithms and policies are presented to realize the virtual runtime application partitions efficiently. Considering the future design trends, we have chosen Coarse Grained Reconfigurable Architectures (CGRAs) and Network on Chips (NoCs) to test the feasibility of our approach. Specifically, we have chosen Dynamically Reconfigurable Resource Array (DRRA) and McNoC as the representative CGRA and NoC platforms. The proposed techniques are compared and evaluated using a variety of quantitative experiments. Synthesis and simulation results demonstrate VRAP significantly enhances the energy and power efficiency compared to state of the art.Siirretty Doriast

Optimization Models for Sustainable Design and Management of Biopower Supply Chains

This dissertation presents optimization models to aid with the sustainable design and management of biopower (biomass cofiring) supply chains. We address three main challenges associated with today’s biopower projects: i) high cost of biomass collection, storage and delivery, ii) inefficiency of the mechanisms used to incentivize biomass usage for generating electricity, and iii) lack of clear understanding about the trade-offs between economic and environmental impacts of biopower supply chains. In order to address the high cost of delivering biomass, we present a novel mixed integer nonlinear program that integrates production and transportation decisions at power plants. Proposed model captures the loss in process efficiencies from using biomass, in-vestment and operational costs associated with cofiring, and savings due to production tax credit (PTC), a major governmental incentive to support biopower. We develop a La-grangian relaxation approach to provide upper bounds, and two linear approximations to provide lower bounds for the problem. An important finding is that the one-size-fits-all approach of PTC is not effective in motivating plants to utilize biomass and there is a need for sophisticated incentive schemes. In order to address the second issue, we propose alter-natives for the existing PTC incentive. The proposed flexible alternatives are functions of plant capacity and biomass cofiring ratio. We use a resource allocation framework to model and analyze the profit-earning potentials and fairness of the proposed incentive schemes. Finally, in order to address the last challenge, we propose a stochastic biobjective optimiza-tion model to analyze the economic and environmental impacts of biopower supply chains. The economic objective function maximizes the potential profits in the supply chain and the environmental objective function minimizes the life cycle greenhouse gasses (GHG). We use a life cycle assessment (LCA) approach to derive the emission factors for this objective function. We capture uncertainties of biomass quality and supply via the use of chance constraints. The results of this dissertation work are useful for electric utility companies and policy makers. Utility companies can use the proposed models to identify ways to improve biopower production, have better environmental performance, and make use of the existing incentives. Policy makers would gain insights on designing incentive schemes for a more efficient utilization of biomass and a fairer distribution of tax-payers money

TV white space and LTE network optimization toward energy efficiency in suburban and rural scenarios

The radio spectrum is a limited resource. Demand for wireless communication services is increasing exponentially, stressing the availability of radio spectrum to accommodate new services. TV white space (TVWS) technologies allow a dynamic usage of the spectrum. These technologies provide wireless connectivity, in the channels of the very high frequency and ultra high frequency television broadcasting bands. In this paper, we investigate and compare the coverage range, network capacity, and network energy efficiency for TVWS technologies and LTE. We consider Ghent, Belgium, and Boyeros, Havana, Cuba, to evaluate a realistic outdoor suburban and rural area, respectively. The comparison shows that TVWS networks have an energy efficiency 9-12 times higher than LTE networks

Model Predictive Energy Management for Building Microgrids with IoT-based Controllable Loads

This thesis develops an economic scheduling framework for a building microgrid with internet of things (IoT) based flexible loads to synchronize the buildings’ controllable components, with occupant behavior and environmental conditions. We employ model predictive control (MPC) methods to minimize building operating costs, while maximizing the utilization of the on-site resources. The main research thrusts are: 1) Developing the building microgrid model; 2) Defining different building operation strategies; 3) Minimizing the building’s daily operating costs. Simulation results show that the proposed approach provides superior energy cost savings and peak load reduction in comparison with other operation controls, such as All from Utility (AFU), AFU with installed IoT-based Building Energy Management System (BEMS), and MPC-Mix Integer Linear Programming (MILP) without IoT-based BEMS. An economic analysis is also conducted to provide a road map for the implementation of installing advanced energy efficiency technologies across loads in building microgrid and integrating them with the building microgrid’s control strategy

Bayesian online learning for energy-aware resource orchestration in virtualized RANs

Proceedings of: IEEE International Conference on Computer Communications, 10-13 May 2021, Vancouver, BC, Canada.Radio Access Network Virtualization (vRAN) will spearhead the quest towards supple radio stacks that adapt to heterogeneous infrastructure: from energy-constrained platforms deploying cells-on-wheels (e.g., drones) or battery-powered cells to green edge clouds. We perform an in-depth experimental analysis of the energy consumption of virtualized Base Stations (vBSs) and render two conclusions: (i) characterizing performance and power consumption is intricate as it depends on human behavior such as network load or user mobility; and (ii) there are many control policies and some of them have non-linear and monotonic relations with power and throughput. Driven by our experimental insights, we argue that machine learning holds the key for vBS control. We formulate two problems and two algorithms: (i) BP-vRAN, which uses Bayesian online learning to balance performance and energy consumption, and (ii) SBP-vRAN, which augments our Bayesian optimization approach with safe controls that maximize performance while respecting hard power constraints. We show that our approaches are data-efficient and have provably performance, which is paramount for carrier-grade vRANs. We demonstrate the convergence and flexibility of our approach and assess its performance using an experimental prototype.This work was supported by the European Commission through Grant No. 856709 (5Growth) and Grant No. 101017109 (DAEMON); and by SFI through Grant No. SFI 17/CDA/4760

Orchestrating energy-efficient vRANs: Bayesian learning and experimental results

Virtualized base stations (vBS) can be implemented in diverse commodity platforms and are expected to bring unprecedented operational flexibility and cost efficiency to the next generation of cellular networks. However, their widespread adoption is hampered by their complex configuration options that affect in a non-traditional fashion both their performance and their power consumption requirements. Following an in-depth experimental analysis in a bespoke testbed, we characterize the vBS power cost profile and reveal previously unknown couplings between their various control knobs. Motivated by these findings, we develop a Bayesian learning framework for the orchestration of vBSs and design two novel algorithms: (i) BP-vRAN, which employs online learning to balance the vBS performance and energy consumption, and (ii) SBP-vRAN, which augments our optimization approach with safe controls that maximize performance while respecting hard power constraints. We show that our approaches are data-efficient, i.e., converge an order of magnitude faster than state-of-the-art Deep Reinforcement Learning methods, and achieve optimal performance. We demonstrate the efficacy of these solutions in an experimental prototype using real traffic traces.This work has been supported by the European Commission through Grant No. 101017109 (DAEMON project), and the CERCA Programme/Generalitat de Catalunya

A framework for the near-real-time optimization of integrated oil & gas midstream processing networks

The oil and gas industry plays a key role in the world’s economy. Vast quantities of crude oil, their by-products and derivatives are produced, processed and distributed every day. Indeed, producing and processing significant volumes of crude oil requires connecting to wells in different fields that are usually spread across large geographical areas. This crude oil is then processed by Gas Oil Separation Plants (GOSPs). These facilities are often grouped into clusters that are within approximate distance from each other and then connected laterally via swing lines which allow shifting part or all of the production from one GOSP to another. Transfer lines also exist to allow processing intermediate products in neighbouring GOSPs, thereby increasing complexity and possible interactions. In return, this provides an opportunity to leverage mathematical optimization to improve network planning and load allocation. Similarly, in major oil producing countries, vast gas processing networks exist to process associated and non-associated gases. These gas plants are often located near major feed sources. Similar to GOSPs, they are also often connected through swing lines, which allow shifting feedstock from some plants to others. GOSPs and gas plants are often grouped as oil and gas midstream plants. These plants are operated on varied time horizons and plant boundaries. While plant operators are concerned with the day-to-day operation of their facility, network operators must ensure that the entire network is operated optimally and that product supply is balanced with demand. They are therefore in charge of allocating load to individual plants, while knowing each plants constraints and processing capabilities. Network planners are also in charge of producing production plans at varied time-scales, which vary from yearly to monthly and near-real time. This work aims to establish a novel framework for optimizing Oil and Gas Midstream plants for near-real time network operation. This topic has not been specifically addressed in the existing literature. It examines problems which involve operating networks of GOSPs and gas plants towards an optimal solution. It examines various modelling approaches which are suited for this specific application. It then focuses at this stage of the research on the GOSP optimization problem where it addresses optimizing the operation of a complex network of GOSPs. The goal is to operate this network such that oil production targets are met at minimum energy consumption, and therefore minimizing OpEx and Greenhouse Gas Emissions. Similarly, it is often required to operate the network such that production is maximized. This thesis proposes a novel methodology to formulate and solve this problem. It describes the level of fidelity used to represent physical process units. A Mixed Integer Non-Linear Programming (MINLP) problem is then formulated and solved to optimize load allocation, swing line flowrates and equipment utilization. The model demonstrates advanced capabilities to systematically prescribe optimal operating points. This was then applied to an existing integrated network of GOSPs and tested at varying crude oil demand levels. The results demonstrate the ability to minimize energy consumption by up to 51% in the 50% throughput case while meeting oil production targets without added capital investment.Open Acces

Effects of distribution planning systems on the cost of delivery in unique make-to-order manufacturing

This thesis investigates the effects of simulation through the use of a distribution planning system (DPS) on distribution costs in the setting of unique make-to-order manufacturers (UMTO). In doing so, the German kitchen furniture industry (GKFI) serves as an example and supplier of primary data. On the basis of a detailed market analysis this thesis will demonstrate that this industry, which mostly works with its own vehicles for transport, is in urgent need of innovative logistics strategies. Within the scope of an investigation into the current practical and theoretical use of DPS, it will become apparent that most known DPS are based on the application of given or set delivery tour constraints. Those constraints are often not questioned in practice and in theory nor even attempted to be omitted, but are accepted in day-to-day operation. This paper applies a different approach. In the context of this research, a practically applied DPS is used supportively for the removal of time window constraints (TWC) in UMTO delivery. The same DPS is used in ceteris paribus condition for the re-routing of deliveries and hereby supports the findings regarding the costliness of TWC. From this experiment emerges an overall cost saving of 50.9% and a 43.5% reduction of kilometres travelled. The applied experimental research methodology and the significance of the resulting savings deliver the opportunity to analyse the removal of delivery time window restrictions as one of many constraints in distribution logistics. The economic results of this thesis may become the basis of discussion for further research based on the applied methodology. From a practical point of view, the contributions to new knowledge are the cost savings versus the change of demand for the setting of TWC between the receiver of goods and the UMTO supplier. On the side of theoretical knowledge, this thesis contributes to filling the gap on the production – distribution problem from a UMTO perspective. Further contributions to knowledge are delivered through the experimental methodology with the application of a DPS for research in logistics simulation