Replication or exploration? Sequential design for stochastic simulation experiments

We investigate the merits of replication, and provide methods for optimal design (including replicates), with the goal of obtaining globally accurate emulation of noisy computer simulation experiments. We first show that replication can be beneficial from both design and computational perspectives, in the context of Gaussian process surrogate modeling. We then develop a lookahead based sequential design scheme that can determine if a new run should be at an existing input location (i.e., replicate) or at a new one (explore). When paired with a newly developed heteroskedastic Gaussian process model, our dynamic design scheme facilitates learning of signal and noise relationships which can vary throughout the input space. We show that it does so efficiently, on both computational and statistical grounds. In addition to illustrative synthetic examples, we demonstrate performance on two challenging real-data simulation experiments, from inventory management and epidemiology.Comment: 34 pages, 9 figure

Master/worker parallel discrete event simulation

The execution of parallel discrete event simulation across metacomputing infrastructures is examined. A master/worker architecture for parallel discrete event simulation is proposed providing robust executions under a dynamic set of services with system-level support for fault tolerance, semi-automated client-directed load balancing, portability across heterogeneous machines, and the ability to run codes on idle or time-sharing clients without significant interaction by users. Research questions and challenges associated with issues and limitations with the work distribution paradigm, targeted computational domain, performance metrics, and the intended class of applications to be used in this context are analyzed and discussed. A portable web services approach to master/worker parallel discrete event simulation is proposed and evaluated with subsequent optimizations to increase the efficiency of large-scale simulation execution through distributed master service design and intrinsic overhead reduction. New techniques for addressing challenges associated with optimistic parallel discrete event simulation across metacomputing such as rollbacks and message unsending with an inherently different computation paradigm utilizing master services and time windows are proposed and examined. Results indicate that a master/worker approach utilizing loosely coupled resources is a viable means for high throughput parallel discrete event simulation by enhancing existing computational capacity or providing alternate execution capability for less time-critical codes.Ph.D.Committee Chair: Fujimoto, Richard; Committee Member: Bader, David; Committee Member: Perumalla, Kalyan; Committee Member: Riley, George; Committee Member: Vuduc, Richar

Performance-Oriented Design for Intelligent Reflecting Surface Assisted Federated Learning

To efficiently exploit the massive amounts of raw data that are increasingly being generated in mobile edge networks, federated learning (FL) has emerged as a promising distributed learning technique. By collaboratively training a shared learning model on edge devices, raw data transmission and storage are replaced by the exchange of the local computed parameters/gradients in FL, which thus helps address latency and privacy issues. However, the number of resource blocks when using traditional orthogonal transmission strategies for FL linearly scales with the number of participating devices, which conflicts with the scarcity of communication resources. To tackle this issue, over-the-air computation (AirComp) has emerged recently which leverages the inherent superposition property of wireless channels to perform one-shot model aggregation. However, the aggregation accuracy in AirComp suffers from the unfavorable wireless propagation environment. In this paper, we consider the use of intelligent reflecting surfaces (IRSs) to mitigate this problem and improve FL performance with AirComp. Specifically, a performance-oriented design scheme that directly minimizes the optimality gap of the loss function is proposed to accelerate the convergence of AirComp-based FL. We first analyze the convergence behavior of the FL procedure with the absence of channel fading and noise. Based on the obtained optimality gap which characterizes the impact of channel fading and noise in different communication rounds on the ultimate performance of FL, we propose both online and offline approaches to tackle the resulting design problem. Simulation results demonstrate that such a performance-oriented design strategy can achieve higher test accuracy than the conventional isolated mean square error (MSE) minimization approach in FL.Comment: This work has been submitted to the IEEE for possible publicatio

Contributions to Monte Carlo Search

This research is motivated by improving decision making under uncertainty and in particular for games and symbolic regression. The present dissertation gathers research contributions in the field of Monte Carlo Search. These contributions are focused around the selection, the simulation and the recommendation policies. Moreover, we develop a methodology to automatically generate an MCS algorithm for a given problem. For the selection policy, in most of the bandit literature, it is assumed that there is no structure or similarities between arms. Thus each arm is independent from one another. In several instances however, arms can be closely related. We show both theoretically and empirically, that a significant improvement over the state-of-the-art selection policies is possible. For the contribution on simulation policy, we focus on the symbolic regression problem and ponder on how to consistently generate different expressions by changing the probability to draw each symbol. We formalize the situation into an optimization problem and try different approaches. We show a clear improvement in the sampling process for any length. We further test the best approach by embedding it into a MCS algorithm and it still shows an improvement. For the contribution on recommendation policy, we study the most common in combination with selection policies. A good recommendation policy is a policy that works well with a given selection policy. We show that there is a trend that seems to favor a robust recommendation policy over a riskier one. We also present a contribution where we automatically generate several MCS algorithms from a list of core components upon which most MCS algorithms are built upon and compare them to generic algorithms. The results show that it often enables discovering new variants of MCS that significantly outperform generic MCS algorithms