Artificial Neural Networks Applied to Flow Prediction: A Use Case for the Tomebamba River

AbstractThe main aim of this research is to create a model based on Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) that allows predicting the flow in Tomebamba river, at real time and in a specific day of a year. As inputs, this research is using information of rainfall and flow of the stations along of the river. This information is organized in scenarios and each scenario is prepared to a specific area. For this article, we have selected two scenarios. The information is acquired from the hydrological stations placed in the watershed using an electronic system developed at real time and it supports any kind or brands of this type of sensors. The prediction works very good three days in advance. This research includes two ANN models: Backpropagation and a hybrid model between back propagation and OWO-HWO (output weight optimization–hidden weight optimization) to select the initial weights of the connection. These last two models have been tested in a preliminary research. To validate the results we are using some error indicators such as MSE, RMSE, EF, CD and BIAS. The results of this research reached high levels of reliability and the level of error is minimal. These predictions are useful to avoid floods in the city of Cuenca in Ecuador

Modeling and Simulation in Engineering

The Special Issue Modeling and Simulation in Engineering, belonging to the section Engineering Mathematics of the Journal Mathematics, publishes original research papers dealing with advanced simulation and modeling techniques. The present book, “Modeling and Simulation in Engineering I, 2022”, contains 14 papers accepted after peer review by recognized specialists in the field. The papers address different topics occurring in engineering, such as ferrofluid transport in magnetic fields, non-fractal signal analysis, fractional derivatives, applications of swarm algorithms and evolutionary algorithms (genetic algorithms), inverse methods for inverse problems, numerical analysis of heat and mass transfer, numerical solutions for fractional differential equations, Kriging modelling, theory of the modelling methodology, and artificial neural networks for fault diagnosis in electric circuits. It is hoped that the papers selected for this issue will attract a significant audience in the scientific community and will further stimulate research involving modelling and simulation in mathematical physics and in engineering