8,139 research outputs found
Counterfactual Risk Minimization: Learning from Logged Bandit Feedback
We develop a learning principle and an efficient algorithm for batch learning
from logged bandit feedback. This learning setting is ubiquitous in online
systems (e.g., ad placement, web search, recommendation), where an algorithm
makes a prediction (e.g., ad ranking) for a given input (e.g., query) and
observes bandit feedback (e.g., user clicks on presented ads). We first address
the counterfactual nature of the learning problem through propensity scoring.
Next, we prove generalization error bounds that account for the variance of the
propensity-weighted empirical risk estimator. These constructive bounds give
rise to the Counterfactual Risk Minimization (CRM) principle. We show how CRM
can be used to derive a new learning method -- called Policy Optimizer for
Exponential Models (POEM) -- for learning stochastic linear rules for
structured output prediction. We present a decomposition of the POEM objective
that enables efficient stochastic gradient optimization. POEM is evaluated on
several multi-label classification problems showing substantially improved
robustness and generalization performance compared to the state-of-the-art.Comment: 10 page
Optimization Methods for Inverse Problems
Optimization plays an important role in solving many inverse problems.
Indeed, the task of inversion often either involves or is fully cast as a
solution of an optimization problem. In this light, the mere non-linear,
non-convex, and large-scale nature of many of these inversions gives rise to
some very challenging optimization problems. The inverse problem community has
long been developing various techniques for solving such optimization tasks.
However, other, seemingly disjoint communities, such as that of machine
learning, have developed, almost in parallel, interesting alternative methods
which might have stayed under the radar of the inverse problem community. In
this survey, we aim to change that. In doing so, we first discuss current
state-of-the-art optimization methods widely used in inverse problems. We then
survey recent related advances in addressing similar challenges in problems
faced by the machine learning community, and discuss their potential advantages
for solving inverse problems. By highlighting the similarities among the
optimization challenges faced by the inverse problem and the machine learning
communities, we hope that this survey can serve as a bridge in bringing
together these two communities and encourage cross fertilization of ideas.Comment: 13 page
Risk-Sensitive Reinforcement Learning: A Constrained Optimization Viewpoint
The classic objective in a reinforcement learning (RL) problem is to find a
policy that minimizes, in expectation, a long-run objective such as the
infinite-horizon discounted or long-run average cost. In many practical
applications, optimizing the expected value alone is not sufficient, and it may
be necessary to include a risk measure in the optimization process, either as
the objective or as a constraint. Various risk measures have been proposed in
the literature, e.g., mean-variance tradeoff, exponential utility, the
percentile performance, value at risk, conditional value at risk, prospect
theory and its later enhancement, cumulative prospect theory. In this article,
we focus on the combination of risk criteria and reinforcement learning in a
constrained optimization framework, i.e., a setting where the goal to find a
policy that optimizes the usual objective of infinite-horizon
discounted/average cost, while ensuring that an explicit risk constraint is
satisfied. We introduce the risk-constrained RL framework, cover popular risk
measures based on variance, conditional value-at-risk and cumulative prospect
theory, and present a template for a risk-sensitive RL algorithm. We survey
some of our recent work on this topic, covering problems encompassing
discounted cost, average cost, and stochastic shortest path settings, together
with the aforementioned risk measures in a constrained framework. This
non-exhaustive survey is aimed at giving a flavor of the challenges involved in
solving a risk-sensitive RL problem, and outlining some potential future
research directions
Bayesian emulation for optimization in multi-step portfolio decisions
We discuss the Bayesian emulation approach to computational solution of
multi-step portfolio studies in financial time series. "Bayesian emulation for
decisions" involves mapping the technical structure of a decision analysis
problem to that of Bayesian inference in a purely synthetic "emulating"
statistical model. This provides access to standard posterior analytic,
simulation and optimization methods that yield indirect solutions of the
decision problem. We develop this in time series portfolio analysis using
classes of economically and psychologically relevant multi-step ahead portfolio
utility functions. Studies with multivariate currency, commodity and stock
index time series illustrate the approach and show some of the practical
utility and benefits of the Bayesian emulation methodology.Comment: 24 pages, 7 figures, 2 table
- …