113,016 research outputs found

    A STOCHASTIC SIMULATION-BASED HYBRID INTERVAL FUZZY PROGRAMMING APPROACH FOR OPTIMIZING THE TREATMENT OF RECOVERED OILY WATER

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    In this paper, a stochastic simulation-based hybrid interval fuzzy programming (SHIFP) approach is developed to aid the decision-making process by solving fuzzy linear optimization problems. Fuzzy set theory, probability theory, and interval analysis are integrated to take into account the effect of imprecise information, subjective judgment, and variable environmental conditions. A case study related to oily water treatment during offshore oil spill clean-up operations is conducted to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed approach. The results suggest that producing a random sequence of triangular fuzzy numbers in a given interval is equivalent to a normal distribution when using the centroid defuzzification method. It also shows that the defuzzified optimal solutions follow the normal distribution and range from 3,000-3,700 tons, given the budget constraint (CAD 110,000-150,000). The normality seems to be able to propagate throughout the optimization process, yet this interesting finding deserves more in-depth study and needs more rigorous mathematical proof to validate its applicability and feasibility. In addition, the optimal decision variables can be categorized into several groups with different probability such that decision makers can wisely allocate limited resources with higher confidence in a short period of time. This study is expected to advise the industries and authorities on how to distribute resources and maximize the treatment efficiency of oily water in a short period of time, particularly in the context of harsh environments

    Application of Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping in Livelihood Vulnerability Analysis

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    Feedback mechanisms are important in the analysis of vulnerability and resilience of social-ecological systems, as well as in the analysis of livelihoods, but how to evaluate systems with direct feedbacks has been a great challenge. We applied fuzzy cognitive mapping, a tool that allows analysis of both direct and indirect feedbacks and can be used to explore the vulnerabilities of livelihoods to identified hazards. We studied characteristics and drivers of rural livelihoods in the Great Limpopo Transfrontier Conservation Area in southern Africa to assess the vulnerability of inhabitants to the different hazards they face. The process involved four steps: (1) surveys and interviews to identify the major livelihood types; (2) description of specific livelihood types in a system format using fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs), a semi-quantitative tool that models systems based on people’s knowledge; (3) linking variables and drivers in FCMs by attaching weights; and (4) defining and applying scenarios to visualize the effects of drought and changing park boundaries on cash and household food security. FCMs successfully gave information concerning the nature (increase or decrease) and magnitude by which a livelihood system changed under different scenarios. However, they did not explain the recovery path in relation to time and pattern (e.g., how long it takes for cattle to return to desired numbers after a drought). Using FCMs revealed that issues of policy, such as changing situations at borders, can strongly aggravate effects of climate change such as drought. FCMs revealed hidden knowledge and gave insights that improved the understanding of the complexity of livelihood systems in a way that is better appreciated by stakeholders

    A fuzzy multiobjective algorithm for multiproduct batch plant: Application to protein production

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    This paper addresses the problem of the optimal design of batch plants with imprecise demands and proposes an alternative treatment of the imprecision by using fuzzy concepts. For this purpose, we extended a multiobjective genetic algorithm (MOGA) developed in previousworks, taking into account simultaneously maximization of the net present value (NPV) and two other performance criteria, i.e. the production delay/advance and a flexibility criterion. The former is computed by comparing the fuzzy computed production time to a given fuzzy production time horizon and the latter is based on the additional fuzzy demand that the plant is able to produce. The methodology provides a set of scenarios that are helpful to the decision’s maker and constitutes a very promising framework for taken imprecision into account in new product development stage

    Fuzzy qualitative simulation with multivariate constraints

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