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Comparison between the two definitions of AI
Two different definitions of the Artificial Intelligence concept have been
proposed in papers [1] and [2]. The first definition is informal. It says that
any program that is cleverer than a human being, is acknowledged as Artificial
Intelligence. The second definition is formal because it avoids reference to
the concept of human being. The readers of papers [1] and [2] might be left
with the impression that both definitions are equivalent and the definition in
[2] is simply a formal version of that in [1]. This paper will compare both
definitions of Artificial Intelligence and, hopefully, will bring a better
understanding of the concept.Comment: added four new section
Arguing Machines: Human Supervision of Black Box AI Systems That Make Life-Critical Decisions
We consider the paradigm of a black box AI system that makes life-critical
decisions. We propose an "arguing machines" framework that pairs the primary AI
system with a secondary one that is independently trained to perform the same
task. We show that disagreement between the two systems, without any knowledge
of underlying system design or operation, is sufficient to arbitrarily improve
the accuracy of the overall decision pipeline given human supervision over
disagreements. We demonstrate this system in two applications: (1) an
illustrative example of image classification and (2) on large-scale real-world
semi-autonomous driving data. For the first application, we apply this
framework to image classification achieving a reduction from 8.0% to 2.8% top-5
error on ImageNet. For the second application, we apply this framework to Tesla
Autopilot and demonstrate the ability to predict 90.4% of system disengagements
that were labeled by human annotators as challenging and needing human
supervision
Distributed Robust Learning
We propose a framework for distributed robust statistical learning on {\em
big contaminated data}. The Distributed Robust Learning (DRL) framework can
reduce the computational time of traditional robust learning methods by several
orders of magnitude. We analyze the robustness property of DRL, showing that
DRL not only preserves the robustness of the base robust learning method, but
also tolerates contaminations on a constant fraction of results from computing
nodes (node failures). More precisely, even in presence of the most adversarial
outlier distribution over computing nodes, DRL still achieves a breakdown point
of at least , where is the break down point of
corresponding centralized algorithm. This is in stark contrast with naive
division-and-averaging implementation, which may reduce the breakdown point by
a factor of when computing nodes are used. We then specialize the
DRL framework for two concrete cases: distributed robust principal component
analysis and distributed robust regression. We demonstrate the efficiency and
the robustness advantages of DRL through comprehensive simulations and
predicting image tags on a large-scale image set.Comment: 18 pages, 2 figure
Hedging predictions in machine learning
Recent advances in machine learning make it possible to design efficient
prediction algorithms for data sets with huge numbers of parameters. This paper
describes a new technique for "hedging" the predictions output by many such
algorithms, including support vector machines, kernel ridge regression, kernel
nearest neighbours, and by many other state-of-the-art methods. The hedged
predictions for the labels of new objects include quantitative measures of
their own accuracy and reliability. These measures are provably valid under the
assumption of randomness, traditional in machine learning: the objects and
their labels are assumed to be generated independently from the same
probability distribution. In particular, it becomes possible to control (up to
statistical fluctuations) the number of erroneous predictions by selecting a
suitable confidence level. Validity being achieved automatically, the remaining
goal of hedged prediction is efficiency: taking full account of the new
objects' features and other available information to produce as accurate
predictions as possible. This can be done successfully using the powerful
machinery of modern machine learning.Comment: 24 pages; 9 figures; 2 tables; a version of this paper (with
discussion and rejoinder) is to appear in "The Computer Journal
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