Mapping Arctic Sea-Ice Surface Roughness with Multi-Angle Imaging SpectroRadiometer

Sea-ice surface roughness (SIR) is a crucial parameter in climate and oceanographic studies, constraining momentum transfer between the atmosphere and ocean, providing preconditioning for summer-melt pond extent, and being related to ice age and thickness. High-resolution roughness estimates from airborne laser measurements are limited in spatial and temporal coverage while pan-Arctic satellite roughness does not extend over multi-decadal timescales. Launched on the Terra satellite in 1999, the NASA Multi-angle Imaging SpectroRadiometer (MISR) instrument acquires optical imagery from nine near-simultaneous camera view zenith angles. Extending on previous work to model surface roughness from specular anisotropy, a training dataset of cloud-free angular reflectance signatures and surface roughness, defined as the standard deviation of the within-pixel lidar elevations, from near-coincident operation IceBridge (OIB) airborne laser data is generated and is modelled using support vector regression (SVR) with a radial basis function (RBF) kernel selected. Blocked k-fold cross-validation is implemented to tune hyperparameters using grid optimisation and to assess model performance, with an R2 (coefficient of determination) of 0.43 and MAE (mean absolute error) of 0.041 m. Product performance is assessed through independent validation by comparison with unseen similarly generated surface-roughness characterisations from pre-IceBridge missions (Pearson’s r averaged over six scenes, r = 0.58, p < 0.005), and with AWI CS2-SMOS sea-ice thickness (Spearman’s rank, rs = 0.66, p < 0.001), a known roughness proxy. We present a derived sea-ice roughness product at 1.1 km resolution (2000–2020) over the seasonal period of OIB operation and a corresponding time-series analysis. Both our instantaneous swaths and pan-Arctic monthly mosaics show considerable potential in detecting surface-ice characteristics such as deformed rough ice, thin refrozen leads, and polynyas

Advances in SAR-Based Soil Moisture Retrieval Techniques, Applications, and Challenges

Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) remote sensing has emerged as a promising tool for soil moisture monitoring, due to its ability to penetrate clouds and measure the moisture content of the soil surface. In recent years, a wide range of SAR-based soil moisture retrieval techniques have been developed, from empirical regression models to physically-based models that incorporate surface roughness and vegetation effects. This review paper provides an overview of the latest advances in SAR-based soil moisture retrieval, covering the different techniques and algorithms that have been proposed, as well as the applications and challenges associated with the use of SAR data for soil moisture monitoring and management. The paper also discusses the limitations and uncertainties of SAR-based soil moisture retrieval, and provides recommendations for future research directions. Overall, this paper aims to provide a comprehensive and up-to-date overview of the state-of-the-art in SAR-based soil moisture retrieval, and to highlight the potential benefits and limitations of this approach for soil moisture monitoring and management

Proceedings Of The 18th Annual Meeting Of The Asia Oceania Geosciences Society (Aogs 2021)

The 18th Annual Meeting of the Asia Oceania Geosciences Society (AOGS 2021) was held from 1st to 6th August 2021. This proceedings volume includes selected extended abstracts from a challenging array of presentations at this conference. The AOGS Annual Meeting is a leading venue for professional interaction among researchers and practitioners, covering diverse disciplines of geosciences

Spatial-Temporal Data Mining for Ocean Science: Data, Methodologies, and Opportunities

With the increasing amount of spatial-temporal~(ST) ocean data, numerous spatial-temporal data mining (STDM) studies have been conducted to address various oceanic issues, e.g., climate forecasting and disaster warning. Compared with typical ST data (e.g., traffic data), ST ocean data is more complicated with some unique characteristics, e.g., diverse regionality and high sparsity. These characteristics make it difficult to design and train STDM models. Unfortunately, an overview of these studies is still missing, hindering computer scientists to identify the research issues in ocean while discouraging researchers in ocean science from applying advanced STDM techniques. To remedy this situation, we provide a comprehensive survey to summarize existing STDM studies in ocean. Concretely, we first summarize the widely-used ST ocean datasets and identify their unique characteristics. Then, typical ST ocean data quality enhancement techniques are discussed. Next, we classify existing STDM studies for ocean into four types of tasks, i.e., prediction, event detection, pattern mining, and anomaly detection, and elaborate the techniques for these tasks. Finally, promising research opportunities are highlighted. This survey will help scientists from the fields of both computer science and ocean science have a better understanding of the fundamental concepts, key techniques, and open challenges of STDM in ocean

A comprehensive review of crop yield prediction using machine learning approaches with special emphasis on palm oil yield prediction

An early and reliable estimation of crop yield is essential in quantitative and financial evaluation at the field level for determining strategic plans in agricultural commodities for import-export policies and doubling farmer’s incomes. Crop yield predictions are carried out to estimate higher crop yield through the use of machine learning algorithms which are one of the challenging issues in the agricultural sector. Due to this developing significance of crop yield prediction, this article provides an exhaustive review on the use of machine learning algorithms to predict crop yield with special emphasis on palm oil yield prediction. Initially, the current status of palm oil yield around the world is presented, along with a brief discussion on the overview of widely used features and prediction algorithms. Then, the critical evaluation of the state-of-the-art machine learning-based crop yield prediction, machine learning application in the palm oil industry and comparative analysis of related studies are presented. Consequently, a detailed study of the advantages and difficulties related to machine learning-based crop yield prediction and proper identification of current and future challenges to the agricultural industry is presented. The potential solutions are additionally prescribed in order to alleviate existing problems in crop yield prediction. Since one of the major objectives of this study is to explore the future perspectives of machine learning-based palm oil yield prediction, the areas including application of remote sensing, plant’s growth and disease recognition, mapping and tree counting, optimum features and algorithms have been broadly discussed. Finally, a prospective architecture of machine learning-based palm oil yield prediction has been proposed based on the critical evaluation of existing related studies. This technology will fulfill its promise by performing new research challenges in the analysis of crop yield prediction and the development

Besoin en eau et rendements des céréales en Méditerranée du Sud : observation, prévision saisonnière et impact du changement climatique

Le secteur agricole est l'un des piliers de l'économie marocaine. En plus de contribuer à 15% au Produit Intérieur Brut (PIB) et de fournir 35% des opportunités d'emploi, il a un impact sur les taux de croissance. Ces dernières sont affectées négativement ou positivement par les conditions climatiques et la pluviométrie en particulier. Lors des années de sécheresse, caractérisées par une baisse de la production agricole, en particulier celle des céréales, la croissance de l'économie marocaine a été sévèrement affectée et les importations alimentaires du royaume ont augmenté de manière significative. Dans ce contexte, il est important d'évaluer l'impact de la sécheresse agricole sur les rendements céréaliers et de développer des modèles de prévision précoce des rendements, ainsi que de déterminer l'impact futur du changement climatique sur le rendement du blé et leurs besoins en eau. Le but de ce travail est, premièrement, d'approfondir la compréhension de la relation entre le rendement des céréales et la sécheresse agricole au Maroc. Afin de détecter la sécheresse, nous avons utilisé des indices de sécheresse agricole provenant de différentes données satellitaires. En outre, nous avons utilisé les sorties du système d'assimilation des données terrestres (LDAS). Deuxièmement, nous avons développé des modèles empiriques de la prévision précoce des rendements des céréales à l'échelle provinciale. Pour atteindre cet objectif, nous avons construit des modèles de prévision en utilisant des données multi-sources comme prédicteurs, y compris des indices basés sur la télédétection, des données météorologiques et des indices climatiques régionaux. Pour construire ces modèles, nous nous sommes appuyés sur des algorithmes de machine learning tels que : Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF) et eXtreme Gradient Boost (XGBoost). Enfin, nous avons évalué l'impact du changement climatique sur le rendement du blé et ses besoins en eau. Pour ce faire, nous nous sommes appuyés sur cinq modèles climatiques régionaux disponibles dans la base de données Med-CORDEX sous deux scénarios RCP4.5 et RCP8.5, ainsi que sur le modèle AquaCrop et nous nous sommes basés sur trois périodes, la période de référence 1991-2010, la deuxième période 2041-2060 et la troisième période 2081-2100. Les résultats ont montré qu'il y a une corrélation étroite entre le rendement des céréales et les indices de sécheresse liés à l'état de végétation pendant le stade d'épiaison (mars et avril) et qui sont liés à la température de surface pendant le stade de développement en janvier-février, et qui sont liés à l'humidité du sol pendant le stade d'émergence en novembre-décembre. Les résultats ont également montré que les sorties du LDAS sont capables de suivre avec précision la sécheresse agricole. En ce qui concerne la prévision du rendement, les résultats ont montré que la combinaison des données provenant de sources multiples a donné des meilleurs résultats que les modèles basés sur une seule source. Dans ce contexte, le modèle XGBoost a été capable de prévoir le rendement des céréales dès le mois de janvier (environ quatre mois avant la récolte) avec des métriques statistiques satisfaisants (R² = 0.88 et RMSE = 0.22 t. ha^-1). En ce qui concerne l'impact du changement climatique sur le rendement et les besoins en eau du blé, les résultats ont montré que l'augmentation de la température de l'air entraînera un raccourcissement du cycle de croissance du blé d'environ 50 jours. Les résultats ont également montré une diminution du rendement du blé jusqu'à 30% si l'augmentation du CO2 n'est pas prise en compte. Cependant, l'effet de la fertilisation au CO2 peut compenser les pertes du rendement, et ce dernier peut augmenter jusqu'à 27%. Finalement, les besoins en eau devraient diminuer de 13 à 42%, et cette diminution est associée à une modification de calendrier d'irrigation, le pic des besoins arrivant deux mois plus tôt que dans les conditions actuelles.The agricultural sector is one of the pillars of the Moroccan economy. In addition to contributing 15% in GDP and providing 35% of employment opportunities, it has an impact on growth rates that are negatively or positively affected by climatic conditions and rainfall in particular. During drought years characterized by a decline in agricultural production and in particular cereal production, the growth of the Moroccan economy was severely affected and the kingdom's food imports increased significantly. In this context, it's important to assess the impact of agricultural drought on cereal yields and to develop early yield prediction models, as well as to determine the future impact of climate change on wheat yield and water requirements. The aim of this work is, firstly to further understand the linkage between cereal yield and agricultural drought in Morocco. In order to identify this drought, we used agricultural drought indices from remotely sensed satellite data. In addition, we used the outputs of Land Data Assimilation System (LDAS). Secondly, to develop empirical models for early prediction of cereal yields at provincial scale. To achieve this goal, we built forecasting models using multi-source data as predictors, including remote sensing-based indices, weather data and regional climate indices. And to build these models, we relied on machine learning algorithms such as Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF) and eXtreme Gradient Boost (XGBoost). Finally, to evaluate the impact of climate change on the wheat yield its water requirements. To do this, we relied on five regional climate models available in the Med-CORDEX database under two scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, as well as the AquaCrop model and we based on three periods, the reference period 1991-2010, the second period 2041-2060 and the third period 2081-2100. The results showed that there is a close correlation between cereals yield and drought indices related to canopy condition during the heading stage (March and April) and which are related to surface temperature during the development stage in January -February, and which are related to soil moisture during the emergence stage in November -December. The results also showed that the outputs of LDAS are able to accurately monitor agricultural drought. Concerning, cereal yield forecasting, the results showed that combining data from multiple sources outperformed models based on one data set only. In this context, the XGBoost was able to predict cereal yield as early as January (about four months before harvest) with satisfactory statistical metrics (R² = 0.88 and RMSE = 0.22 t. ha^-1). Regarding the impact of climate change on wheat yield and water requirements, the results showed that the increase in air temperature will result in a shortening of the wheat growth cycle by about 50 days. The results also showed a decrease in wheat yield up to 30% if the rising in CO2 was not taken into account. The effect of fertilizing of CO2 can offset the yield losses, and yield can increase up to 27 %. Finally, water requirements are expected to decrease by 13 to 42%, and this decrease is associated with a change in temporal patterns, with the requirement peak coming two months earlier than under current conditions

Remote Sensing of Coastal Wetlands: Long term vegetation stress assessment and data enhancement technique

Apalachicola Bay in the Florida panhandle is home to a rich variety of salt water and freshwater wetlands but unfortunately is also subject to a wide range of hydrologic extreme events. Extreme hydrologic events such as hurricanes and droughts continuously threaten the area. The impact of hurricane and drought on both fresh and salt water wetlands was investigated over the time period from 2000 to 2015 in Apalachicola Bay using spatio-temporal changes in the Landsat based NDVI. Results indicate that salt water wetlands were more resilient than fresh water wetlands. Results also suggest that in response to hurricanes, the coastal wetlands took almost a year to recover while recovery following a drought period was observed after only a month. This analysis was successful and provided excellent insights into coastal wetland health. Such long term study is heavily dependent on optical sensor that is subject to data loss due to cloud coverage. Therefore, a novel method is proposed and demonstrated to recover the information contaminated by cloud. Cloud contamination is a hindrance to long-term environmental assessment using information derived from satellite imagery that retrieve data from visible and infrared spectral ranges. Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) is a widely used index to monitor vegetation and land use change. NDVI can be retrieved from publicly available data repositories of optical sensors such as Landsat, Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectro-radiometer (MODIS) and several commercial satellites. Landsat has an ongoing high resolution NDVI record starting from 1984. Unfortunately, the time series NDVI data suffers from the cloud contamination issue. Though simple to complex computational methods for data interpolation have been applied to recover cloudy data, all the techniques are subject to many limitations. In this paper, a novel Optical Cloud Pixel Recovery (OCPR) method is proposed to repair cloudy pixels from the time-space-spectrum continuum with the aid of a machine learning tool, namely random forest (RF) trained and tested utilizing multi-parameter hydrologic data. The RF based OCPR model was compared with a simple linear regression (LR) based OCPR model to understand the potential of the model. A case study in Apalachicola Bay is presented to evaluate the performance of OCPR to repair cloudy NDVI reflectance for two specific dates. The RF based OCPR method achieves a root mean squared error of 0.0475 sr?1 between predicted and observed NDVI reflectance values. The LR based OCPR method achieves a root mean squared error of 0.1257 sr?1. Findings suggested that the RF based OCPR method is effective to repair cloudy values and provide continuous and quantitatively reliable imagery for further analysis in environmental applications

Achieving sustainable development goals coupling earth observation data with machine learning

Tese de Doutoramento em Engenharia e Gestão Industrial, Universidade Lusíada, Vila Nova de Famalicão, 2021Exame público realizado em 09 de Junho de 2022The main purpose of this work is to assess and understand the achievement of Sustainable Development Goals by means of Earth Observation (EO) data and Machine Learning (ML) technologies. Thus, this study intends to promote and suggest the use of EO and ML in benefits to the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) to support and optimize the actual industry and field processes and moreover provide new insights (techniques) on EO approaches and applicability as well as ML techniques. A review on the Sustainable Development concept and its goals is presented followed by EO data and methods and its approaches relevant to this field, giving special attention to the contribution of ML methods and algorithms as well as their potential and capabilities to support the achievement of SDGs. Additionally, different ML approaches and techniques are reviewed (i.e., Classification and Regression techniques, Non-Binary Decision Tree (NBDT), and two novel methods are proposed, designated as: Random Forest built based on the Non-Binary Decision Tree (NBRF) and Fusion of techniques). Both developed methods are applied, optimized and validated to two case studies also aligned with specific SGDs: Case study I – Identification and mapping of healthy or infected crops, tackling SDGs 2, 8, 9 and 12; and Case study II - Deep-sea mining exploitation SDGs 8, 9, 12 and 14). Such is achieved by using data provided by European satellites or programs that allows to also contribute to the goals for Europe’s Space strategy. For Case study I, the parameters analysed to achieve the respective SDGs correspond to: several vegetation indices as well as the values of the spectral bands. Such parameters have been extracted by means of EO data (from Sentinel-2) and validated with different ML approaches. The results obtained from the different ML approaches suggest that for Case study I, the best classification technique (overall accuracy of 92.87%) as well as the best regression (Root mean square error of 0.148) corresponds to the Fusion of techniques All the applied techniques, however, show their applicability on this case study with good results, disregarding the NBDT which is the “weakest” one (best result on all tests: accuracy of 57.07%). For Case study II, the parameters analysed to achieve the respective SDGs correspond to the topography of the seafloor and, physical and biogeochemical ocean’s parameters. Such parameters have been extracted by means of EO data (from CMEMS and GEBCO) and validated with different ML approaches. The results of these approaches suggests that the best technique corresponds to the Fusion of techniques with a root mean square error of 0.196. However, not all the techniques proved to be appropriated, where the NBDT present the worst results (best result on all tests: accuracy 60.62%). Overall, it is observed that EO plays a key role in the monitoring and achievement of the SDGs given its cost-effectiveness pertaining to data acquisition on all scales and information richness, and the success of ML upon EO data analysis. The applicability of ML techniques allied to EO data has proven, by both case studies, that can contribute to the SDGs and can be extrapolated to other applications and fields. Keywords: Sustainable Development Goals; Earth Observation; Europe Space Strategy; Machine Learning; Deep-sea Mining; Agriculture

Bridging observations, theory and numerical simulation of the ocean using machine learning

Progress within physical oceanography has been concurrent with the increasing sophistication of tools available for its study. The incorporation of machine learning (ML) techniques offers exciting possibilities for advancing the capacity and speed of established methods and for making substantial and serendipitous discoveries. Beyond vast amounts of complex data ubiquitous in many modern scientific fields, the study of the ocean poses a combination of unique challenges that ML can help address. The observational data available is largely spatially sparse, limited to the surface, and with few time series spanning more than a handful of decades. Important timescales span seconds to millennia, with strong scale interactions and numerical modelling efforts complicated by details such as coastlines. This review covers the current scientific insight offered by applying ML and points to where there is imminent potential. We cover the main three branches of the field: observations, theory, and numerical modelling. Highlighting both challenges and opportunities, we discuss both the historical context and salient ML tools. We focus on the use of ML in situ sampling and satellite observations, and the extent to which ML applications can advance theoretical oceanographic exploration, as well as aid numerical simulations. Applications that are also covered include model error and bias correction and current and potential use within data assimilation. While not without risk, there is great interest in the potential benefits of oceanographic ML applications; this review caters to this interest within the research community