Dynamical fluctuations for semi-Markov processes

We develop an Onsager-Machlup-type theory for nonequilibrium semi-Markov processes. Our main result is an exact large time asymptotics for the joint probability of the occupation times and the currents in the system, establishing some generic large deviation structures. We discuss in detail how the nonequilibrium driving and the non-exponential waiting time distribution influence the occupation-current statistics. The violation of the Markov condition is reflected in the emergence of a new type of nonlocality in the fluctuations. Explicit solutions are obtained for some examples of driven random walks on the ring.Comment: Minor changes, accepted for publication in Journal of Physics

Affinity and Fluctuations in a Mesoscopic Noria

We exhibit the invariance of cycle affinities in finite state Markov processes under various natural probabilistic constructions, for instance under conditioning and under a new combinatorial construction that we call ``drag and drop''. We show that cycle affinities have a natural probabilistic meaning related to first passage non-equilibrium fluctuation relations that we establish.Comment: 30 pages, 1 figur

Continuous Equilibrium in Affine and Information-Based Capital Asset Pricing Models

We consider a class of generalized capital asset pricing models in continuous time with a finite number of agents and tradable securities. The securities may not be sufficient to span all sources of uncertainty. If the agents have exponential utility functions and the individual endowments are spanned by the securities, an equilibrium exists and the agents' optimal trading strategies are constant. Affine processes, and the theory of information-based asset pricing are used to model the endogenous asset price dynamics and the terminal payoff. The derived semi-explicit pricing formulae are applied to numerically analyze the impact of the agents' risk aversion on the implied volatility of simultaneously-traded European-style options.Comment: 24 pages, 4 figure

Current fluctuations in stochastic systems with long-range memory

We propose a method to calculate the large deviations of current fluctuations in a class of stochastic particle systems with history-dependent rates. Long-range temporal correlations are seen to alter the speed of the large deviation function in analogy with long-range spatial correlations in equilibrium systems. We give some illuminating examples and discuss the applicability of the Gallavotti-Cohen fluctuation theorem.Comment: 10 pages, 1 figure. v2: Minor alterations. v3: Very minor alterations for consistency with published version appearing at http://stacks.iop.org/1751-8121/42/34200