Bounding Option Prices Using SDP With Change Of Numeraire

Recently, given the first few moments, tight upper and lower bounds of the no arbitrage prices can be obtained by solving semidefinite programming (SDP) or linear programming (LP) problems. In this paper, we compare SDP and LP formulations of the European-style options pricing problem and prefer SDP formulations due to the simplicity of moments constraints. We propose to employ the technique of change of numeraire when using SDP to bound the European type of options. In fact, this problem can then be cast as a truncated Hausdorff moment problem which has necessary and sufficient moment conditions expressed by positive semidefinite moment and localizing matrices. With four moments information we show stable numerical results for bounding European call options and exchange options. Moreover, A hedging strategy is also identified by the dual formulation.moments of measures, semidefinite programming, linear programming, options pricing, change of numeraire

Consistent Second-Order Conic Integer Programming for Learning Bayesian Networks

Bayesian Networks (BNs) represent conditional probability relations among a set of random variables (nodes) in the form of a directed acyclic graph (DAG), and have found diverse applications in knowledge discovery. We study the problem of learning the sparse DAG structure of a BN from continuous observational data. The central problem can be modeled as a mixed-integer program with an objective function composed of a convex quadratic loss function and a regularization penalty subject to linear constraints. The optimal solution to this mathematical program is known to have desirable statistical properties under certain conditions. However, the state-of-the-art optimization solvers are not able to obtain provably optimal solutions to the existing mathematical formulations for medium-size problems within reasonable computational times. To address this difficulty, we tackle the problem from both computational and statistical perspectives. On the one hand, we propose a concrete early stopping criterion to terminate the branch-and-bound process in order to obtain a near-optimal solution to the mixed-integer program, and establish the consistency of this approximate solution. On the other hand, we improve the existing formulations by replacing the linear "big-$M$" constraints that represent the relationship between the continuous and binary indicator variables with second-order conic constraints. Our numerical results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approaches

Recent Advances in Computational Methods for the Power Flow Equations

The power flow equations are at the core of most of the computations for designing and operating electric power systems. The power flow equations are a system of multivariate nonlinear equations which relate the power injections and voltages in a power system. A plethora of methods have been devised to solve these equations, starting from Newton-based methods to homotopy continuation and other optimization-based methods. While many of these methods often efficiently find a high-voltage, stable solution due to its large basin of attraction, most of the methods struggle to find low-voltage solutions which play significant role in certain stability-related computations. While we do not claim to have exhausted the existing literature on all related methods, this tutorial paper introduces some of the recent advances in methods for solving power flow equations to the wider power systems community as well as bringing attention from the computational mathematics and optimization communities to the power systems problems. After briefly reviewing some of the traditional computational methods used to solve the power flow equations, we focus on three emerging methods: the numerical polynomial homotopy continuation method, Groebner basis techniques, and moment/sum-of-squares relaxations using semidefinite programming. In passing, we also emphasize the importance of an upper bound on the number of solutions of the power flow equations and review the current status of research in this direction.Comment: 13 pages, 2 figures. Submitted to the Tutorial Session at IEEE 2016 American Control Conferenc

Graphical Models for Optimal Power Flow

Optimal power flow (OPF) is the central optimization problem in electric power grids. Although solved routinely in the course of power grid operations, it is known to be strongly NP-hard in general, and weakly NP-hard over tree networks. In this paper, we formulate the optimal power flow problem over tree networks as an inference problem over a tree-structured graphical model where the nodal variables are low-dimensional vectors. We adapt the standard dynamic programming algorithm for inference over a tree-structured graphical model to the OPF problem. Combining this with an interval discretization of the nodal variables, we develop an approximation algorithm for the OPF problem. Further, we use techniques from constraint programming (CP) to perform interval computations and adaptive bound propagation to obtain practically efficient algorithms. Compared to previous algorithms that solve OPF with optimality guarantees using convex relaxations, our approach is able to work for arbitrary distribution networks and handle mixed-integer optimization problems. Further, it can be implemented in a distributed message-passing fashion that is scalable and is suitable for "smart grid" applications like control of distributed energy resources. We evaluate our technique numerically on several benchmark networks and show that practical OPF problems can be solved effectively using this approach.Comment: To appear in Proceedings of the 22nd International Conference on Principles and Practice of Constraint Programming (CP 2016