Modeling and control of complex dynamic systems: Applied mathematical aspects

The concept of complex dynamic systems arises in many varieties, including the areas of energy generation, storage and distribution, ecosystems, gene regulation and health delivery, safety and security systems, telecommunications, transportation networks, and the rapidly emerging research topics seeking to understand and analyse. Such systems are often concurrent and distributed, because they have to react to various kinds of events, signals, and conditions. They may be characterized by a system with uncertainties, time delays, stochastic perturbations, hybrid dynamics, distributed dynamics, chaotic dynamics, and a large number of algebraic loops. This special issue provides a platform for researchers to report their recent results on various mathematical methods and techniques for modelling and control of complex dynamic systems and identifying critical issues and challenges for future investigation in this field. This special issue amazingly attracted one-hundred-and eighteen submissions, and twenty-eight of them are selected through a rigorous review procedure

Application of Higher-Order Neural Networks to Financial Time-Series Prediction

Financial time series data is characterized by non-linearities, discontinuities and high frequency, multi-polynomial components. Not surprisingly, conventional Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have difficulty in modelling such complex data. A more appropriate approach is to apply Higher-Order ANNs, which are capable of extracting higher order polynomial coefficients in the data. Moreover, since there is a one-to-one correspondence between network weights and polynomial coefficients, HONNs (unlike ANNs generally) can be considered open-, rather than 'closed box' solutions, and thus hold more appeal to the financial community. After developing Polynomial and Trigonometric HONNs, we introduce the concept of HONN groups. The latter incorporate piecewise continuous activation functions and thresholds, and as a result are capable of modelling discontinuous (piecewise continuous) data, and what's more to any degree of accuracy. Several other PHONN variants are also described. The performance of P(T)HONNs and HONN groups on representative financial time series is described (credit ratings and exchange rates). In short, HONNs offer roughly twice the performance of MLP/BP on financial time series prediction, and HONN groups around 10% further improvement

A New Method for Solving Supervised Data Classification Problems

Supervised data classification is one of the techniques used to extract nontrivial information from data. Classification is a widely used technique in various fields, including data mining, industry, medicine, science, and law. This paper considers a new algorithm for supervised data classification problems associated with the cluster analysis. The mathematical formulations for this algorithm are based on nonsmooth, nonconvex optimization. A new algorithm for solving this optimization problem is utilized. The new algorithm uses a derivative-free technique, with robustness and efficiency. To improve classification performance and efficiency in generating classification model, a new feature selection algorithm based on techniques of convex programming is suggested. Proposed methods are tested on real-world datasets. Results of numerical experiments have been presented which demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms