26,406 research outputs found

    Non-Stationary Random Process for Large-Scale Failure and Recovery of Power Distributions

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    A key objective of the smart grid is to improve reliability of utility services to end users. This requires strengthening resilience of distribution networks that lie at the edge of the grid. However, distribution networks are exposed to external disturbances such as hurricanes and snow storms where electricity service to customers is disrupted repeatedly. External disturbances cause large-scale power failures that are neither well-understood, nor formulated rigorously, nor studied systematically. This work studies resilience of power distribution networks to large-scale disturbances in three aspects. First, a non-stationary random process is derived to characterize an entire life cycle of large-scale failure and recovery. Second, resilience is defined based on the non-stationary random process. Close form analytical expressions are derived under specific large-scale failure scenarios. Third, the non-stationary model and the resilience metric are applied to a real life example of large-scale disruptions due to Hurricane Ike. Real data on large-scale failures from an operational network is used to learn time-varying model parameters and resilience metrics.Comment: 11 pages, 8 figures, submitted to IEEE Sig. Pro

    A Biased Resistor Network Model for Electromigration Failure and Related Phenomena in Metallic Lines

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    Electromigration phenomena in metallic lines are studied by using a biased resistor network model. The void formation induced by the electron wind is simulated by a stochastic process of resistor breaking, while the growth of mechanical stress inside the line is described by an antagonist process of recovery of the broken resistors. The model accounts for the existence of temperature gradients due to current crowding and Joule heating. Alloying effects are also accounted for. Monte Carlo simulations allow the study within a unified theoretical framework of a variety of relevant features related to the electromigration. The predictions of the model are in excellent agreement with the experiments and in particular with the degradation towards electrical breakdown of stressed Al-Cu thin metallic lines. Detailed investigations refer to the damage pattern, the distribution of the times to failure (TTFs), the generalized Black's law, the time evolution of the resistance, including the early-stage change due to alloying effects and the electromigration saturation appearing at low current densities or for short line lengths. The dependence of the TTFs on the length and width of the metallic line is also well reproduced. Finally, the model successfully describes the resistance noise properties under steady state conditions.Comment: 39 pages + 17 figure

    Epidemic processes in complex networks

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    In recent years the research community has accumulated overwhelming evidence for the emergence of complex and heterogeneous connectivity patterns in a wide range of biological and sociotechnical systems. The complex properties of real-world networks have a profound impact on the behavior of equilibrium and nonequilibrium phenomena occurring in various systems, and the study of epidemic spreading is central to our understanding of the unfolding of dynamical processes in complex networks. The theoretical analysis of epidemic spreading in heterogeneous networks requires the development of novel analytical frameworks, and it has produced results of conceptual and practical relevance. A coherent and comprehensive review of the vast research activity concerning epidemic processes is presented, detailing the successful theoretical approaches as well as making their limits and assumptions clear. Physicists, mathematicians, epidemiologists, computer, and social scientists share a common interest in studying epidemic spreading and rely on similar models for the description of the diffusion of pathogens, knowledge, and innovation. For this reason, while focusing on the main results and the paradigmatic models in infectious disease modeling, the major results concerning generalized social contagion processes are also presented. Finally, the research activity at the forefront in the study of epidemic spreading in coevolving, coupled, and time-varying networks is reported.Comment: 62 pages, 15 figures, final versio

    Resistance and Resistance Fluctuations in Random Resistor Networks Under Biased Percolation

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    We consider a two-dimensional random resistor network (RRN) in the presence of two competing biased percolations consisting of the breaking and recovering of elementary resistors. These two processes are driven by the joint effects of an electrical bias and of the heat exchange with a thermal bath. The electrical bias is set up by applying a constant voltage or, alternatively, a constant current. Monte Carlo simulations are performed to analyze the network evolution in the full range of bias values. Depending on the bias strength, electrical failure or steady state are achieved. Here we investigate the steady-state of the RRN focusing on the properties of the non-Ohmic regime. In constant voltage conditions, a scaling relation is found between /0/_0 and V/V0V/V_0, where is the average network resistance, 0_0 the linear regime resistance and V0V_0 the threshold value for the onset of nonlinearity. A similar relation is found in constant current conditions. The relative variance of resistance fluctuations also exhibits a strong nonlinearity whose properties are investigated. The power spectral density of resistance fluctuations presents a Lorentzian spectrum and the amplitude of fluctuations shows a significant non-Gaussian behavior in the pre-breakdown region. These results compare well with electrical breakdown measurements in thin films of composites and of other conducting materials.Comment: 15 figures, 23 page

    Modulated Branching Processes, Origins of Power Laws and Queueing Duality

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    Power law distributions have been repeatedly observed in a wide variety of socioeconomic, biological and technological areas. In many of the observations, e.g., city populations and sizes of living organisms, the objects of interest evolve due to the replication of their many independent components, e.g., births-deaths of individuals and replications of cells. Furthermore, the rates of the replication are often controlled by exogenous parameters causing periods of expansion and contraction, e.g., baby booms and busts, economic booms and recessions, etc. In addition, the sizes of these objects often have reflective lower boundaries, e.g., cities do not fall bellow a certain size, low income individuals are subsidized by the government, companies are protected by bankruptcy laws, etc. Hence, it is natural to propose reflected modulated branching processes as generic models for many of the preceding observations. Indeed, our main results show that the proposed mathematical models result in power law distributions under quite general polynomial Gartner-Ellis conditions, the generality of which could explain the ubiquitous nature of power law distributions. In addition, on a logarithmic scale, we establish an asymptotic equivalence between the reflected branching processes and the corresponding multiplicative ones. The latter, as recognized by Goldie (1991), is known to be dual to queueing/additive processes. We emphasize this duality further in the generality of stationary and ergodic processes.Comment: 36 pages, 2 figures; added references; a new theorem in Subsection 4.

    Distribution of Return Periods of Rare Events in Correlated Time Series

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    We study the effect on the distribution of return periods of rare events of the presence in a time series of finite-term correlations with non-exponential decay. Precisely, we analyze the auto-correlation function and the statistics of the return intervals of extreme values of the resistance fluctuations displayed by a resistor with granular structure in a nonequilibrium stationary state. The resistance fluctuations, δR\delta R, are calculated by Monte Carlo simulations using the SBRN model introduced some years ago by Pennetta, Tref\'an and Reggiani and based on a resistor network approach. A rare event occurs when δR\delta R overcomes a threshold value qq significantly higher than the average value of the resistance. We have found that for highly disordered networks, when the auto-correlation function displays a non-exponential decay but yet the resistance fluctuations are characterized by a finite correlation time, the distribution of return intervals of the extreme values is well described by a stretched exponential, with exponent largely independent of the threshold qq. We discuss this result and some of the main open questions related to it, also in connection with very recent findings by other authors concerning the observation of stretched exponential distributions of return intervals of extreme events in long-term correlated time series.Comment: 10 pages, 8 figures, Procs. of 4th. Int. Conf. on Unsolved Problems on Noise and Fluctuations in Physics, Biology and High Technology (UPoN05), 6-10 June 2005, Gallipoli (Italy), AIP Conf. Procs. (in print

    Modeling the mechanics of amorphous solids at different length and time scales

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    We review the recent literature on the simulation of the structure and deformation of amorphous glasses, including oxide and metallic glasses. We consider simulations at different length and time scales. At the nanometer scale, we review studies based on atomistic simulations, with a particular emphasis on the role of the potential energy landscape and of the temperature. At the micrometer scale, we present the different mesoscopic models of amorphous plasticity and show the relation between shear banding and the type of disorder and correlations (e.g. elastic) included in the models. At the macroscopic range, we review the different constitutive laws used in finite element simulations. We end the review by a critical discussion on the opportunities and challenges offered by multiscale modeling and transfer of information between scales to study amorphous plasticity.Comment: 58 pages, 14 figure
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