Data based identification and prediction of nonlinear and complex dynamical systems

We thank Dr. R. Yang (formerly at ASU), Dr. R.-Q. Su (formerly at ASU), and Mr. Zhesi Shen for their contributions to a number of original papers on which this Review is partly based. This work was supported by ARO under Grant No. W911NF-14-1-0504. W.-X. Wang was also supported by NSFC under Grants No. 61573064 and No. 61074116, as well as by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities, Beijing Nova Programme.Peer reviewedPostprin

18th IEEE Workshop on Nonlinear Dynamics of Electronic Systems: Proceedings

Proceedings of the 18th IEEE Workshop on Nonlinear Dynamics of Electronic Systems, which took place in Dresden, Germany, 26 – 28 May 2010.:Welcome Address ........................ Page I Table of Contents ........................ Page III Symposium Committees .............. Page IV Special Thanks ............................. Page V Conference program (incl. page numbers of papers) ................... Page VI Conference papers Invited talks ................................ Page 1 Regular Papers ........................... Page 14 Wednesday, May 26th, 2010 ......... Page 15 Thursday, May 27th, 2010 .......... Page 110 Friday, May 28th, 2010 ............... Page 210 Author index ............................... Page XII

Finding structures in information networks using the affinity network

This thesis proposes a novel graphical model for inference called the Affinity Network,which displays the closeness between pairs of variables and is an alternative to Bayesian Networks and Dependency Networks. The Affinity Network shares some similarities with Bayesian Networks and Dependency Networks but avoids their heuristic and stochastic graph construction algorithms by using a message passing scheme. A comparison with the above two instances of graphical models is given for sparse discrete and continuous medical data and data taken from the UCI machine learning repository. The experimental study reveals that the Affinity Network graphs tend to be more accurate on the basis of an exhaustive search with the small datasets. Moreover, the graph construction algorithm is faster than the other two methods with huge datasets. The Affinity Network is also applied to data produced by a synchronised system. A detailed analysis and numerical investigation into this dynamical system is provided and it is shown that the Affinity Network can be used to characterise its emergent behaviour even in the presence of noise

The Kuramoto model in complex networks

181 pages, 48 figures. In Press, Accepted Manuscript, Physics Reports 2015 Acknowledgments We are indebted with B. Sonnenschein, E. R. dos Santos, P. Schultz, C. Grabow, M. Ha and C. Choi for insightful and helpful discussions. T.P. acknowledges FAPESP (No. 2012/22160-7 and No. 2015/02486-3) and IRTG 1740. P.J. thanks founding from the China Scholarship Council (CSC). F.A.R. acknowledges CNPq (Grant No. 305940/2010-4) and FAPESP (Grants No. 2011/50761-2 and No. 2013/26416-9) for financial support. J.K. would like to acknowledge IRTG 1740 (DFG and FAPESP).Peer reviewedPreprin

Network Formation and Dynamics under Economic Constraints

Networks describe a broad range of systems across a wide variety of topics from social and economic interactions over technical infrastructures such as power grids and the internet to biological contexts such as food webs or neural networks. A number of large scale failures and events in these interconnected systems in recent years has shown that understanding the behavior of individual units of these networks is not necessarily sufficient to handle the increasing complexity of these systems. Many theoretical models have been studied to understand the fundamental mechanisms underlying the formation and function of networked systems and a general framework was developed to describe and understand networked systems. However, most of these models ignore a constraint that affects almost all realistic systems: limited resources. In this thesis I study the effects of economic constraints, such as a limited budget or cost minimization, both on the control of network formation and dynamics as well as on network formation itself. I introduce and analyze a new coupling scheme for coupled dynamical systems, showing that synchronization of chaotic units can be enhanced by restricting the interactions based on the states of the individual units, thus saving interactions costs. This new interaction scheme guarantees synchronizability of arbitrary networks of coupled chaotic oscillators, independent of the network topology even with strongly limited interactions. I then propose a new order parameter to measure the degree of phase coherence of networks of coupled phase oscillators. This new order parameter accurately describes the phase coherence in all stages of incoherent movement, partial and full phase locking up to full synchrony. Importantly, I analytically relate this order parameter directly to the stability of the phase locked state. In the second part, I consider the formation of networks under economic constraints from two different points of view. First I study the effects of explicitly limited resources on the control of random percolation, showing that optimal control can have undesired side effects. Specifically, maximal delay of percolation with a limited budget results in a discontinuous percolation transition, making the transition itself uncontrollable in the sense that a single link can have a macroscopic effect on the connectivity. Finally, I propose a model where network formation is driven by cost minimization of the individual nodes in the network. Based on a simple economically motivated supply problem, the resulting network structure is given as the solution of a large number of individual but interaction optimization problem. I show that these network states directly correspond to the final states of a local percolation algorithm and analyze the effects of local optimization on the network formation process. Overall, I reveal mechanisms and phenomena introduced by these economic constraints that are typically not considered in the standard models, showing that economic constraints can strongly alter the formation and function of networked systems. Thereby, I extend the theoretical understanding that we have of networked systems to economic considerations. I hope that this thesis enables better prediction and control networked systems in realistic settings

Dynamical Systems

Complex systems are pervasive in many areas of science integrated in our daily lives. Examples include financial markets, highway transportation networks, telecommunication networks, world and country economies, social networks, immunological systems, living organisms, computational systems and electrical and mechanical structures. Complex systems are often composed of a large number of interconnected and interacting entities, exhibiting much richer global scale dynamics than the properties and behavior of individual entities. Complex systems are studied in many areas of natural sciences, social sciences, engineering and mathematical sciences. This special issue therefore intends to contribute towards the dissemination of the multifaceted concepts in accepted use by the scientific community. We hope readers enjoy this pertinent selection of papers which represents relevant examples of the state of the art in present day research. [...