Multi-Sensor Imaging and Space-Ground Cross-Validation for 2010 Flood along Indus River, Pakistan

Flood monitoring was conducted using multi-sensor data from space-borne optical, and microwave sensors; with cross-validation by ground-based rain gauges and streamflow stations along the Indus River; Pakistan. First; the optical imagery from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) was processed to delineate the extent of the 2010 flood along Indus River; Pakistan. Moreover; the all-weather all-time capability of higher resolution imagery from the Advanced Synthetic Aperture Radar (ASAR) is used to monitor flooding in the lower Indus river basin. Then a proxy for river discharge from the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer (AMSR-E) aboard NASA’s Aqua satellite and rainfall estimates from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) are used to study streamflow time series and precipitation patterns. The AMSR-E detected water surface signal was cross-validated with ground-based river discharge observations at multiple streamflow stations along the main Indus River. A high correlation was found; as indicated by a Pearson correlation coefficient of above 0.8 for the discharge gauge stations located in the southwest of Indus River basin. It is concluded that remote-sensing data integrated from multispectral and microwave sensors could be used to supplement stream gauges in sparsely gauged large basins to monitor and detect floods.JRC.G.2-Global security and crisis managemen

On the use of global flood forecasts and satellite-derived inundation maps for flood monitoring in data-sparse regions

Early flood warning and real-time monitoring systems play a key role in flood risk reduction and disaster response decisions. Global-scale flood forecasting and satellite-based flood detection systems are currently operating, however their reliability for decision making applications needs to be assessed. In this study, we performed comparative evaluations of several operational global flood forecasting and flood detection systems, using 10 major flood events recorded over 2012-2014. Specifically, we evaluated the spatial extent and temporal characteristics of flood detections from the Global Flood Detection System (GFDS) and the Global Flood Awareness System (GloFAS). Furthermore, we compared the GFDS flood maps with those from NASA’s two Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) sensors. Results reveal that: 1) general agreement was found between the GFDS and MODIS flood detection systems, 2) large differences exist in the spatio-temporal characteristics of the GFDS detections and GloFAS forecasts, and 3) the quantitative validation of global flood disasters in data-sparse regions is highly challenging. Overall, the satellite remote sensing provides useful near real-time flood information that can be useful for risk management. We highlight the known limitations of global flood detection and forecasting systems, and propose ways forward to improve the reliability of large scale flood monitoring tools.JRC.H.7-Climate Risk Managemen

Geoinformatic and Hydrologic Analysis using Open Source Data for Floods Management in Pakistan

There is being observed high variability in the spatial and temporal rainfall patterns under changing climate, enhancing both the intensity and frequency of the natural disasters like floods. Pakistan, a country which is highly prone to climate change, is recently facing the challenges of both flooding and severe water shortage as the surface water storage capacity is too limited to cope with heavy flows during rainy months. Thus, an effective and timely predication and management of high flows is a dire need to address both flooding and long term water shortage issues. The work of this thesis was aimed at developing and evaluating different open source data based methodologies for floods detection and analysis in Pakistan. Specifically, the research work was conducted for developing and evaluating a hydrologic model being able to run in real time based on satellite rainfall data, as well as to perform flood hazard mapping by analyzing seasonality of flooded areas using MODIS classification approach. In the first phase, TRMM monthly rainfall data (TMPA 3B43) was evaluated for Pakistan by comparison with rain gauge data, as well as by further focusing on its analysis and evaluation for different time periods and climatic zones of Pakistan. In the next phase, TRMM rainfall data and other open source datasets like digital soil map and global land cover map were utilized to develop and evaluate an event-based hydrologic model using HEC-HMS, which may be able to be run in real time for predicting peak flows due to any extreme rainfall event. Finally, to broaden the study canvas from a river catchment to the whole country scale, MODIS automated water bodies classification approach with MODIS daily surface reflectance products was utilized to develop a historical archive of reference water bodies and perform seasonal analysis of flooded areas for Pakistan. The approach was found well capable for its application for floods detection in plain areas of Pakistan. The open source data based hydrologic modeling approach devised in this study can be helpful for conducting similar rainfall-runoff modeling studies for the other river catchments and predicting peak flows at a river catchment scale, particularly in mountainous topography. Similarly, the outcomes of MODIS classification analysis regarding reference and seasonal water and flood hazard maps may be helpful for planning any management interventions in the flood prone areas of Pakistan

Development and evaluation of a framework for global flood hazard mapping

AbstractNowadays, the development of high-resolution flood hazard models have become feasible at continental and global scale, and their application in developing countries and data-scarce regions can be extremely helpful to increase preparedness of population and reduce catastrophic impacts.The present work describes the development of a novel procedure for global flood hazard mapping, based on the most recent advances in large scale flood modelling. We derive a long-term dataset of daily river discharges from the hydrological simulations of the Global Flood Awareness System (GloFAS). Streamflow data is downscaled on a high resolution river network and processed to provide the input for local flood inundation simulations, performed with a two-dimensional hydrodynamic model. All flood-prone areas identified along the river network are then merged to create continental flood hazard maps for different return periods at 30′′ resolution. We evaluate the performance of our methodology in several river basins across the globe by comparing simulated flood maps with both official hazard maps and a mosaic of flooded areas detected from satellite images. The evaluation procedure also includes comparisons with the results of other large scale flood models. We further investigate the sensitivity of the flood modelling framework to several parameters and modelling approaches and identify strengths, limitations and possible improvements of the methodology

Étude des bassins fluviaux en Inde par télédétection

La télédétection est considérée comme un outil important pour étudier l'hydrologie continentale. Elle est utilisée pour estimer les variations de niveau d'eau dans les rivières, les lacs et les plaines inondables, la cartographie des inondations et des zones humides et le suivi de la variation spatio-temporelle des masses d'eau régionale à l'échelle mondiale. L'objectif de cette thèse est d'analyser l'observation de différents types de missions satellitaires: l'altimétrie radar, l'imagerie et la gravimétrie. L'altimétrie satellitaire est couramment utilisée pour l'estimation des niveaux d'eau dans les lacs, les rivières, et les zones inondées. L'altimétrie, combinée à des données in situ permet de calculer les débits des rivières, et combinées à de l'imagerie permet de déterminer des variations de volume d'eau dans les zones inondées ou les lacs. Dans cette thèse, l'altimétrie a été utilisée sur les grands fleuves indiens, et a en particulier permis de calculer les débits dans le delta du Gange et du Brahmapoutre dans la baie du Bengale. Par ailleurs nous avons analysé la dynamique des inondations dans le bassin du Gange et plus précisément dans le nord de l'état de Bihar le long de la rivière Kosi (affluent du Gange) en utilisant des données d'imagerie et d'altimétrie combinées. Enfin les observations de la mission gravimétrique GRACE ont également été utilisées pour étudier la variation de stock d'eau dans les bassins du Gange, du Brahmapoutre, de la Krishna, et de la Godavari.Remote sensing is considered as an important tool to study continental hydrology. Remote sensing observations are used for estimating water level variations in rivers, lakes and flood plains, for mapping of inundation and wetlands and monitoring the spatio-temporal variation of water masses on regional (i.e. at basins scale) to global scale. The objective of this thesis is to analyze observations from various types of satellite missions: radar altimetry, satellite imagery and satellite gravimetry. Satellite Altimetry is used for water stage estimation over inland water bodies. The derived water stage can be used for river discharge estimation, and deriving the river slopes. Altimetry observation combined with satellite imagery is used for determination of surface water volume in flooded zones. In this thesis, altimetry observations are used to derive the water stages in major Indian rivers. Discharge of Ganga and Brahmaputra rivers into Bay of Bengal is also derived. Satellite imagery is used to analyze the flooding in Ganga basin. Altimetry derived result and MODIS imagery are used together in North Bihar in Ganga basin to study the flood dynamics of Kosi. GRACE observations are also used to study the variation of total water storage in the Ganga river basin

Water Resource Variability and Climate Change

Climate change affects global and regional water cycling, as well as surficial and subsurface water availability. These changes have increased the vulnerabilities of ecosystems and of human society. Understanding how climate change has affected water resource variability in the past and how climate change is leading to rapid changes in contemporary systems is of critical importance for sustainable development in different parts of the world. This Special Issue focuses on “Water Resource Variability and Climate Change” and aims to present a collection of articles addressing various aspects of water resource variability as well as how such variabilities are affected by changing climates. Potential topics include the reconstruction of historic moisture fluctuations, based on various proxies (such as tree rings, sediment cores, and landform features), the empirical monitoring of water variability based on field survey and remote sensing techniques, and the projection of future water cycling using numerical model simulations

Hydraulic correction method (HCM) to enhance the efficiency of SRTM DEM in flood modeling

Digital Elevation Model (DEM) is one of the most important controlling factors determining the simulation accuracy of hydraulic models. However, the currently available global topographic data is confronted with limitations for application in 2-D hydraulic modeling, mainly due to the existence of vegetation bias, random errors and insufficient spatial resolution. A hydraulic correction method (HCM) for the SRTM DEM is proposed in this study to improve modeling accuracy. Firstly, we employ the global vegetation corrected DEM (i.e. Bare-Earth DEM), developed from the SRTM DEM to include both vegetation height and SRTM vegetation signal. Then, a newly released DEM, removing both vegetation bias and random errors (i.e. Multi-Error Removed DEM), is employed to overcome the limitation of height errors. Last, an approach to correct the Multi-Error Removed DEM is presented to account for the insufficiency of spatial resolution, ensuring flow connectivity of the river networks. The approach involves: (a) extracting river networks from the Multi-Error Removed DEM using an automated algorithm in ArcGIS; (b) correcting the location and layout of extracted streams with the aid of Google Earth platform and Remote Sensing imagery; and (c) removing the positive biases of the raised segment in the river networks based on bed slope to generate the hydraulically corrected DEM. The proposed HCM utilizes easily available data and tools to improve the flow connectivity of river networks without manual adjustment. To demonstrate the advantages of HCM, an extreme flood event in Huifa River Basin (China) is simulated on the original DEM, Bare-Earth DEM, Multi-Error removed DEM, and hydraulically corrected DEM using an integrated hydrologic-hydraulic model. A comparative analysis is subsequently performed to assess the simulation accuracy and performance of four different DEMs and favorable results have been obtained on the corrected DEM

REMOTE SENSING DATA ANALYSIS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL AND HUMANITARIAN PURPOSES. The automation of information extraction from free satellite data.

This work is aimed at investigating technical possibilities to provide information on environmental parameters that can be used for risk management. The World food Program (WFP) is the United Nations Agency which is involved in risk management for fighting hunger in least-developed and low-income countries, where victims of natural and manmade disasters, refugees, displaced people and the hungry poor suffer from severe food shortages. Risk management includes three different phases (pre-disaster, response and post disaster) to be managed through different activities and actions. Pre disaster activities are meant to develop and deliver risk assessment, establish prevention actions and prepare the operative structures for managing an eventual emergency or disaster. In response and post disaster phase actions planned in the pre-disaster phase are executed focusing on saving lives and secondly, on social economic recovery. In order to optimally manage its operations in the response and post disaster phases, WFP needs to know, in order to estimate the impact an event will have on future food security as soon as possible, the areas affected by the natural disaster, the number of affected people, and the effects that the event can cause to vegetation. For this, providing easy-to-consult thematic maps about the affected areas and population, with adequate spatial resolution, time frequency and regular updating can result determining. Satellite remote sensed data have increasingly been used in the last decades in order to provide updated information about land surface with an acceptable time frequency. Furthermore, satellite images can be managed by automatic procedures in order to extract synthetic information about the ground condition in a very short time and can be easily shared in the web. The work of thesis, focused on the analysis and processing of satellite data, was carried out in cooperation with the association ITHACA (Information Technology for Humanitarian Assistance, Cooperation and Action), a center of research which works in cooperation with the WFP in order to provide IT products and tools for the management of food emergencies caused by natural disasters. These products should be able to facilitate the forecasting of the effects of catastrophic events, the estimation of the extension and location of the areas hit by the event, of the affected population and thereby the planning of interventions on the area that could be affected by food insecurity. The requested features of the instruments are: • Regular updating • Spatial resolution suitable for a synoptic analysis • Low cost • Easy consultation Ithaca is developing different activities to provide georeferenced thematic data to WFP users, such a spatial data infrastructure for storing, querying and manipulating large amounts of global geographic information, and for sharing it between a large and differentiated community; a system of early warning for floods, a drought monitoring tool, procedures for rapid mapping in the response phase in a case of natural disaster, web GIS tools to distribute and share georeferenced information, that can be consulted only by means of a web browser. The work of thesis is aimed at providing applications for the automatic production of base georeferenced thematic data, by using free global satellite data, which have characteristics suitable for analysis at a regional scale. In particular the main themes of the applications are water bodies and vegetation phenology. The first application aims at providing procedures for the automatic extraction of water bodies and will lead to the creation and update of an historical archive, which can be analyzed in order to catch the seasonality of water bodies and delineate scenarios of historical flooded areas. The automatic extraction of phenological parameters from satellite data will allow to integrate the existing drought monitoring system with information on vegetation seasonality and to provide further information for the evaluation of food insecurity in the post disaster phase. In the thesis are described the activities carried on for the development of procedures for the automatic processing of free satellite data in order to produce customized layers according to the exigencies in format and distribution of the final users. The main activities, which focused on the development of an automated procedure for the extraction of flooded areas, include the research of an algorithm for the classification of water bodies from satellite data, an important theme in the field of management of the emergencies due to flood events. Two main technologies are generally used: active sensors (radar) and passive sensors (optical data). Advantages for active sensors include the ability to obtain measurements anytime, regardless of the time of day or season, while passive sensors can only be used in the daytime cloud free conditions. Even if with radar technologies is possible to get information on the ground in all weather conditions, it is not possible to use radar data to obtain a continuous archive of flooded areas, because of the lack of a predetermined frequency in the acquisition of the images. For this reason the choice of the dataset went in favor of MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer), optical data with a daily frequency, a spatial resolution of 250 meters and an historical archive of 10 years. The presence of cloud coverage prevents from the acquisition of the earth surface, and the shadows due to clouds can be wrongly classified as water bodies because of the spectral response very similar to the one of water. After an analysis of the state of the art of the algorithms of automated classification of water bodies in images derived from optical sensors, the author developed an algorithm that allows to classify the data of reflectivity and to temporally composite them in order to obtain flooded areas scenarios for each event. This procedure was tested in the Bangladesh areas, providing encouraging classification accuracies. For the vegetation theme, the main activities performed, here described, include the review of the existing methodologies for phenological studies and the automation of the data flow between inputs and outputs with the use of different global free satellite datasets. In literature, many studies demonstrated the utility of the NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) indices for the monitoring of vegetation dynamics, in the study of cultivations, and for the survey of the vegetation water stress. The author developed a procedure for creating layers of phenological parameters which integrates the TIMESAT software, produced by Lars Eklundh and Per Jönsson, for processing NDVI indices derived from different satellite sensors: MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer), AVHRR (Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer) AND SPOT (Système Pour l'Observation de la Terre) VEGETATION. The automated procedure starts from data downloading, calls in a batch mode the software and provides customized layers of phenological parameters such as the starting of the season or length of the season and many others

Spatio-temporal Analysis of Agriculture in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta using MODIS Imagery

New methodologies using MODIS time‒series imagery were developed for revealing spatio‒temporal changes of agricultural environments and land use patterns in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta. The following methodologies were proposed:a Wavelet based Filter for Crop Phenology (WFCP), a Wavelet‒based fi lter for evaluating the spatial distribution of Cropping Systems (WFCS), and a Wavelet‒based fi lter for detecting spatio‒temporal changes in Flood Inundation(WFFI). The WFCP algorithm involves smoothing the temporal profi le of the Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) using the wavelet transform approach. As a result of validation using the agricultural statistical data in Japan, it was shown that the WFCP was able to estimate rice growing stages, including transplanting date, heading date and harvesting date from the smoothed EVI data, with 9‒12 days accuracy(RMSE). The WFCS algorithm was developed for detecting rice‒cropping patterns in the Vietnamese Mekong delta based on WFCP. It was revealed that the spatial distribution of rice cropping seasons was characterized by both annual fl ood inundation around the upper region in the rainy season and salinity intrusion around the coastal region in the dry season. The WFFI algorithm was developed for estimating start and end dates of fl ood inundation by using time‒series Land Surface Water Index and EVI. Annual intensity of Mekong fl oods was evaluated from 2000 to 2004, at a regional scale. Applying a series of wavelet‒based methodologies to the MODIS data acquired from 2000 to 2006, it was confi rmed that the cropping season for the winter‒spring rice in the fl ood‒prone area fl uctuated depending on the annual change of fl ood scale. It was also confi rmed that the triple rice‒cropped area in the An Giang province expanded from 2000 to 2005, because the construction of a ring‒dike system and water‒resource infrastructure made it possible to sustain a third rice cropping season during the fl ood season. The proposed methodologies(WFCP, WFCS, WFFI) based on MODIS time‒series imagery made it clear that while the rice cropping in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta was quantitatively(annual fl ooding) and qualitatively(salinity intrusion) affected by water‒resource changes, there were some regions where the cultivation system was changed from double rice cropping to triple rice cropping because of the implementation of measures against fl ooding.日本の食料自給率 (2005年時の供給熱量ベース) は、40% と先進7カ国の中で最も低い。日本は、その食料海外依存度の高さから、世界的な食料価格の変動の影響を最も受け易い国と言える。近年の経済発展に伴う中国の大豆輸入量の増加や世界的なエネルギー政策の転換 (バイオエタノール政策) は、世界の穀物需給バランスを不安定にさせつつあり、世界的な問題となっている。さらに、地球温暖化による農業生産影響、増加し続ける世界人口、鈍化する穀物生産性を考えれば、世界の食料需給バランスが将来にわたって安定し続けると言うことはできないだろう。他方、食料増産・生産性向上を目的とした集約的農業の展開は、発展途上国の農業環境にさらなる負荷を与えるかもしれない。世界の食料生産と密接な関係にある日本は、自国の食料安全保障を議論する前提として、急速に変わり行く世界の農業生産現場やそれを取り巻く農業環境を客観的に理解し、世界の農業環境情報を独自の手法によって収集・整理する必要がある。そこで、筆者は、衛星リモートセンシング技術を活用することによって、地球規模の視点で、時間的・空間的な広がりを持って変わり行く農業生産活動とそれを取り巻く農業環境情報を把握・理解するための時系列衛星データ解析手法の確立を目指すこととした。本研究では、インドシナ半島南端に位置するベトナム・メコンデルタを調査対象領域とした。ベトナムは、タイに次ぐ世界第2位のコメ輸出国であり、その輸出米の9割近くが、ベトナム・メコンデルタで生産されたものである。筆者は、ベトナム・メコンデルタを世界の食料安全保障を考える上で重要な食料生産地帯の一つであると考え、本地域における農業環境及び土地利用パターンの時空間変化を明らかにするためのMODIS データを用いた新たな時系列解析手法の開発を行った。　本研究において提案する時系列解析手法は、次の三つである。1. Wavelet‒based Filter for Crop Phenology (WFCP) ,2. Wavelet‒based Filter for evaluating the spatial distribution of Cropping System (WFCS) , 3. Wavelet‒based Filterfor detecting spatio‒temporal changes in Flood Inundation (WFFI) . WFCP は、時系列植生指数 (EVI) を平滑化するためにウェーブレット変換手法を利用しており、日本の農業統計データを用いた検証結果から、水稲生育ステージ (田植日、出穂日、収獲日) を約9－12日 (RMSE) の精度で推定可能であることが示された。WFCP を基に改良されたWFCS は、水稲作付パターンの年次把握を可能にし、ベトナムメコンデルタにおける水稲作付時期の空間分布が、上流部において毎年雨期に発生する洪水と沿岸部において乾季に発生する塩水遡上によって特徴づけられていることを明らかにした。WFFI は、時系列水指数 (LSWI) と植生指数 (EVI) から、湛水期間、湛水開始日・湛水終息日を広域把握し、メコン川洪水強度の年次変化を地域スケールで評価することを可能にする。そして、ウェーブレット変換を利用した一連の手法を、2000～2006年までのMODIS 時系列画像に適用することによって、メコンデルタ上流部の洪水常襲地帯において、冬春米の作付時期が、年次変化する洪水規模に依存していることを明らかにした。また、An Giang 省において、堤防建設 (輪中) や水利施設の建設によって、洪水期における水稲三期作が可能になった地域が、2000～2005年にかけて拡大していることを明らかにした。本研究で提案したMODIS 時系列画像を利用した時系列解析手法 (WFCP、WFCS、WFFI) によって、ベトナムメコンデルタにおける水稲生産が水資源の量的 (洪水) ・質的 (塩水遡上) 変動影響を受ける一方、洪水対策の実施によって、栽培体系を二期作から三期作に変更している地域があることを明らかにした