880 research outputs found

    Balanced-scorecard-based evaluation of knowledge-oriented competencies of distributed energy investments

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    Since the global warming problem threatens the whole world, it is understood that countries should develop energy policies that will increase their sustainable and clean energy investments. Compared to other alternatives, the high cost of renewable energy projects is an essential obstacle in this process. Therefore, priority should be given to developing distributed energy projects to minimize this problem. The scope of the present paper is to identify the most critical items that affect the performance of distributed energy projects to have knowledge-oriented competencies. In this way, companies can focus on more critical items to provide efficiency for distributed energy projects. As a result, clean energy usage is improved, and the global warming problem is handled more successfully. A novel decision-making model is generated to examine the competencies of the knowledge economy based on collaborative filtering and bipolar q-rung orthopair fuzzy sets (q-ROFSs) with the golden ratio. The analysis concludes that learning and growth are the most critical balanced scorecard perspectives. Moreover, it was also determined that information and communication technology is the most critical competency of the knowledge economy. Therefore, it would be appropriate for investors who plan to invest in distributed energy projects to form a research and development team. Hence, new technologies will be followed instantly. In this way, companies will be able to gain a cost advantage. In this context, improving distributed energy projects is important to increase efficiency in clean energy investments

    IT2-based fuzzy hybrid decision making approach to soft computing

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    WOS: 000459347800001This aims to evaluate the risk appetite of the financial investors in emerging economies using an integrated interval type-2 fuzzy model. For this purpose, eight different criteria are identified with the supporting literature. The interval type-2 fuzzy DEMAYEL approach is used to weight these criteria regarding the importance level. In addition, investors are classified into three different groups with respect to the risk appetite which are the aggressive/risk taker, moderate/risk neutral, and conservative/risk averse. Moreover, the interval type-2 fuzzy QUALIFLEX methodology is taken into consideration to rank these investor groups. The novelty of this paper is to propose a hybrid fuzzy decision-making approach to the investors' risk appetite based on the interval type-2 fuzzy sets. The findings show that aggressive investors play the most important role in emerging economies. Therefore, financial products, which offer high returns, should be developed to attract the attention of these aggressive investors. Owing to this aspect, it can be possible for emerging economies to improve their financial systems

    Evaluation of quality assurance in contractor contracts by multi-attribute decision-making methods

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    The goal of this paper is to compare quality assurance in different contractor contracts by means of multi-attribute decision-making (MADM) and to select the best option. For this investigation, the authors have developed the complex of quality evaluation criteria. During experimental evaluation, the significance of criteria was determined and the expert evaluation of template construction contracts was performed. The complex comparison of contractor contracts was carried out by means of the following MADM methods: Simple Additive Weighting (SAW), Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS), Complex Proportional Assessment (COPRAS) as well as the new Evaluation Based on Distance from Average Solution (EDAS). MADM. method. To determine the weights of criteria, with due consideration of uncertainty of expert evaluation, the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP) method was applied. Evaluation of the data structure was performed by methods for the determination of objective weights: an entropy method and new criteria impact loss (CILOS) and integrated determination of objective criteria weights (IDOCRIW) methods. Expert subjective and objective weights were combined into aggregate weights. Based on the investigation performed, the authors make conclusions regarding possibilities for improving quality assurance in contractor contracts

    Application of a decision-making tool for ranking wellness tourism destinations

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    Abstract: One of the tourism industry’s segments with the strongest growth rates today is health tourism. Health tourism includes two subgroups: medical tourism (traveling outside one’s country of residence for the purpose of receiving medical care, such as surgery and health services) and wellness tourism (travel to specific locations for health promotion in a preventive way). The economic strength and sustainable growth of nations can both benefit from health tourism. This study applies a methodology to quantify the potential of Portuguese wellness tourism (thermal spas in Northern Portugal) using a multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) tool, namely the preference ranking organization method for enrichment evaluations (PROMETHEE) and geometrical analysis for interactive aid (GAIA), to achieve a robust evaluation and ranking the alternatives. Therefore, in this study, the aim is to rank ten thermal spas in Northern Portugal in terms of fifteen indicators, mostly related to digital services, containing the tourism data obtained between 2020 and 2022. The suggested approach offers trustworthy and reliable outcomes for any qualitative or quantitative criteria to assess thermal spas, which is crucial for consumers, businesses, and even governments. The results showed that PROMETHEE and GAIA can be implemented as an effective method in wellness tourism destinations evaluation.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio

    Efficient resilience analysis and decision-making for complex engineering systems

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    Modern societies around the world are increasingly dependent on the smooth functionality of progressively more complex systems, such as infrastructure systems, digital systems like the internet, and sophisticated machinery. They form the cornerstones of our technologically advanced world and their efficiency is directly related to our well-being and the progress of society. However, these important systems are constantly exposed to a wide range of threats of natural, technological, and anthropogenic origin. The emergence of global crises such as the COVID-19 pandemic and the ongoing threat of climate change have starkly illustrated the vulnerability of these widely ramified and interdependent systems, as well as the impossibility of predicting threats entirely. The pandemic, with its widespread and unexpected impacts, demonstrated how an external shock can bring even the most advanced systems to a standstill, while the ongoing climate change continues to produce unprecedented risks to system stability and performance. These global crises underscore the need for systems that can not only withstand disruptions, but also, recover from them efficiently and rapidly. The concept of resilience and related developments encompass these requirements: analyzing, balancing, and optimizing the reliability, robustness, redundancy, adaptability, and recoverability of systems -- from both technical and economic perspectives. This cumulative dissertation, therefore, focuses on developing comprehensive and efficient tools for resilience-based analysis and decision-making of complex engineering systems. The newly developed resilience decision-making procedure is at the core of these developments. It is based on an adapted systemic risk measure, a time-dependent probabilistic resilience metric, as well as a grid search algorithm, and represents a significant innovation as it enables decision-makers to identify an optimal balance between different types of resilience-enhancing measures, taking into account monetary aspects. Increasingly, system components have significant inherent complexity, requiring them to be modeled as systems themselves. Thus, this leads to systems-of-systems with a high degree of complexity. To address this challenge, a novel methodology is derived by extending the previously introduced resilience framework to multidimensional use cases and synergistically merging it with an established concept from reliability theory, the survival signature. The new approach combines the advantages of both original components: a direct comparison of different resilience-enhancing measures from a multidimensional search space leading to an optimal trade-off in terms of system resilience, and a significant reduction in computational effort due to the separation property of the survival signature. It enables that once a subsystem structure has been computed -- a typically computational expensive process -- any characterization of the probabilistic failure behavior of components can be validated without having to recompute the structure. In reality, measurements, expert knowledge, and other sources of information are loaded with multiple uncertainties. For this purpose, an efficient method based on the combination of survival signature, fuzzy probability theory, and non-intrusive stochastic simulation (NISS) is proposed. This results in an efficient approach to quantify the reliability of complex systems, taking into account the entire uncertainty spectrum. The new approach, which synergizes the advantageous properties of its original components, achieves a significant decrease in computational effort due to the separation property of the survival signature. In addition, it attains a dramatic reduction in sample size due to the adapted NISS method: only a single stochastic simulation is required to account for uncertainties. The novel methodology not only represents an innovation in the field of reliability analysis, but can also be integrated into the resilience framework. For a resilience analysis of existing systems, the consideration of continuous component functionality is essential. This is addressed in a further novel development. By introducing the continuous survival function and the concept of the Diagonal Approximated Signature as a corresponding surrogate model, the existing resilience framework can be usefully extended without compromising its fundamental advantages. In the context of the regeneration of complex capital goods, a comprehensive analytical framework is presented to demonstrate the transferability and applicability of all developed methods to complex systems of any type. The framework integrates the previously developed resilience, reliability, and uncertainty analysis methods. It provides decision-makers with the basis for identifying resilient regeneration paths in two ways: first, in terms of regeneration paths with inherent resilience, and second, regeneration paths that lead to maximum system resilience, taking into account technical and monetary factors affecting the complex capital good under analysis. In summary, this dissertation offers innovative contributions to efficient resilience analysis and decision-making for complex engineering systems. It presents universally applicable methods and frameworks that are flexible enough to consider system types and performance measures of any kind. This is demonstrated in numerous case studies ranging from arbitrary flow networks, functional models of axial compressors to substructured infrastructure systems with several thousand individual components.Moderne Gesellschaften sind weltweit zunehmend von der reibungslosen Funktionalität immer komplexer werdender Systeme, wie beispielsweise Infrastruktursysteme, digitale Systeme wie das Internet oder hochentwickelten Maschinen, abhängig. Sie bilden die Eckpfeiler unserer technologisch fortgeschrittenen Welt, und ihre Effizienz steht in direktem Zusammenhang mit unserem Wohlbefinden sowie dem Fortschritt der Gesellschaft. Diese wichtigen Systeme sind jedoch einer ständigen und breiten Palette von Bedrohungen natürlichen, technischen und anthropogenen Ursprungs ausgesetzt. Das Auftreten globaler Krisen wie die COVID-19-Pandemie und die anhaltende Bedrohung durch den Klimawandel haben die Anfälligkeit der weit verzweigten und voneinander abhängigen Systeme sowie die Unmöglichkeit einer Gefahrenvorhersage in voller Gänze eindrücklich verdeutlicht. Die Pandemie mit ihren weitreichenden und unerwarteten Auswirkungen hat gezeigt, wie ein externer Schock selbst die fortschrittlichsten Systeme zum Stillstand bringen kann, während der anhaltende Klimawandel immer wieder beispiellose Risiken für die Systemstabilität und -leistung hervorbringt. Diese globalen Krisen unterstreichen den Bedarf an Systemen, die nicht nur Störungen standhalten, sondern sich auch schnell und effizient von ihnen erholen können. Das Konzept der Resilienz und die damit verbundenen Entwicklungen umfassen diese Anforderungen: Analyse, Abwägung und Optimierung der Zuverlässigkeit, Robustheit, Redundanz, Anpassungsfähigkeit und Wiederherstellbarkeit von Systemen -- sowohl aus technischer als auch aus wirtschaftlicher Sicht. In dieser kumulativen Dissertation steht daher die Entwicklung umfassender und effizienter Instrumente für die Resilienz-basierte Analyse und Entscheidungsfindung von komplexen Systemen im Mittelpunkt. Das neu entwickelte Resilienz-Entscheidungsfindungsverfahren steht im Kern dieser Entwicklungen. Es basiert auf einem adaptierten systemischen Risikomaß, einer zeitabhängigen, probabilistischen Resilienzmetrik sowie einem Gittersuchalgorithmus und stellt eine bedeutende Innovation dar, da es Entscheidungsträgern ermöglicht, ein optimales Gleichgewicht zwischen verschiedenen Arten von Resilienz-steigernden Maßnahmen unter Berücksichtigung monetärer Aspekte zu identifizieren. Zunehmend weisen Systemkomponenten eine erhebliche Eigenkomplexität auf, was dazu führt, dass sie selbst als Systeme modelliert werden müssen. Hieraus ergeben sich Systeme aus Systemen mit hoher Komplexität. Um diese Herausforderung zu adressieren, wird eine neue Methodik abgeleitet, indem das zuvor eingeführte Resilienzrahmenwerk auf multidimensionale Anwendungsfälle erweitert und synergetisch mit einem etablierten Konzept aus der Zuverlässigkeitstheorie, der Überlebenssignatur, zusammengeführt wird. Der neue Ansatz kombiniert die Vorteile beider ursprünglichen Komponenten: Einerseits ermöglicht er einen direkten Vergleich verschiedener Resilienz-steigernder Maßnahmen aus einem mehrdimensionalen Suchraum, der zu einem optimalen Kompromiss in Bezug auf die Systemresilienz führt. Andererseits ermöglicht er durch die Separationseigenschaft der Überlebenssignatur eine signifikante Reduktion des Rechenaufwands. Sobald eine Subsystemstruktur berechnet wurde -- ein typischerweise rechenintensiver Prozess -- kann jede Charakterisierung des probabilistischen Ausfallverhaltens von Komponenten validiert werden, ohne dass die Struktur erneut berechnet werden muss. In der Realität sind Messungen, Expertenwissen sowie weitere Informationsquellen mit vielfältigen Unsicherheiten belastet. Hierfür wird eine effiziente Methode vorgeschlagen, die auf der Kombination von Überlebenssignatur, unscharfer Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie und nicht-intrusiver stochastischer Simulation (NISS) basiert. Dadurch entsteht ein effizienter Ansatz zur Quantifizierung der Zuverlässigkeit komplexer Systeme unter Berücksichtigung des gesamten Unsicherheitsspektrums. Der neue Ansatz, der die vorteilhaften Eigenschaften seiner ursprünglichen Komponenten synergetisch zusammenführt, erreicht eine bedeutende Verringerung des Rechenaufwands aufgrund der Separationseigenschaft der Überlebenssignatur. Er erzielt zudem eine drastische Reduzierung der Stichprobengröße aufgrund der adaptierten NISS-Methode: Es wird nur eine einzige stochastische Simulation benötigt, um Unsicherheiten zu berücksichtigen. Die neue Methodik stellt nicht nur eine Neuerung auf dem Gebiet der Zuverlässigkeitsanalyse dar, sondern kann auch in das Resilienzrahmenwerk integriert werden. Für eine Resilienzanalyse von real existierenden Systemen ist die Berücksichtigung kontinuierlicher Komponentenfunktionalität unerlässlich. Diese wird in einer weiteren Neuentwicklung adressiert. Durch die Einführung der kontinuierlichen Überlebensfunktion und dem Konzept der Diagonal Approximated Signature als entsprechendes Ersatzmodell kann das bestehende Resilienzrahmenwerk sinnvoll erweitert werden, ohne seine grundlegenden Vorteile zu beeinträchtigen. Im Kontext der Regeneration komplexer Investitionsgüter wird ein umfassendes Analyserahmenwerk vorgestellt, um die Übertragbarkeit und Anwendbarkeit aller entwickelten Methoden auf komplexe Systeme jeglicher Art zu demonstrieren. Das Rahmenwerk integriert die zuvor entwickelten Methoden der Resilienz-, Zuverlässigkeits- und Unsicherheitsanalyse. Es bietet Entscheidungsträgern die Basis für die Identifikation resilienter Regenerationspfade in zweierlei Hinsicht: Zum einen im Sinne von Regenerationspfaden mit inhärenter Resilienz und zum anderen Regenerationspfade, die zu einer maximalen Systemresilienz unter Berücksichtigung technischer und monetärer Einflussgrößen des zu analysierenden komplexen Investitionsgutes führen. Zusammenfassend bietet diese Dissertation innovative Beiträge zur effizienten Resilienzanalyse und Entscheidungsfindung für komplexe Ingenieursysteme. Sie präsentiert universell anwendbare Methoden und Rahmenwerke, die flexibel genug sind, um beliebige Systemtypen und Leistungsmaße zu berücksichtigen. Dies wird in zahlreichen Fallstudien von willkürlichen Flussnetzwerken, funktionalen Modellen von Axialkompressoren bis hin zu substrukturierten Infrastruktursystemen mit mehreren tausend Einzelkomponenten demonstriert

    Algorithm Selection for Edge Detection in Satellite Images by Neutrosophic WASPAS Method

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    Nowadays, integrated land management is generally governed by the principles of sustainability. Land use management usually is grounded in satellite image information. The detection and monitoring of areas of interest in satellite images is a difficult task. We propose a new methodology for the adaptive selection of edge detection algorithms using visual features of satellite images and the multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method. It is not trivial to select the most appropriate method for the chosen satellite images as there is no proper algorithm for all cases as it depends on many factors, like acquisition and content of the raster images, visual features of real-world images, and humans’ visual perception. The edge detection algorithms were ranked according to their suitability for the appropriate satellite images using the neutrosophic weighted aggregated sum product assessment (WASPAS) method. The results obtained using the created methodology were verified with results acquired in an alternative way—using the edge detection algorithms for specific images. This methodology facilitates the selection of a proper edge detector for the chosen image content.This article belongs to the Collection Advanced Methodologies for Sustainability Assessment: Theory and Practic

    Evaluation of quality assurance in contractor contracts by multi-attribute decision-making methods

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    The goal of this paper is to compare quality assurance in different contractor contracts by means of multi-attribute decision-making (MADM) and to select the best option. For this investigation, the authors have developed the complex of quality evaluation criteria. During experimental evaluation, the significance of criteria was determined and the expert evaluation of template construction contracts was performed. The complex comparison of contractor contracts was carried out by means of the following MADM methods: Simple Additive Weighting (SAW), Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS), Complex Proportional Assessment (COPRAS) as well as the new Evaluation Based on Distance from Average Solution (EDAS). MADM. method. To determine the weights of criteria, with due consideration of uncertainty of expert evaluation, the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP) method was applied. Evaluation of the data structure was performed by methods for the determination of objective weights: an entropy method and new criteria impact loss (CILOS) and integrated determination of objective criteria weights (IDOCRIW) methods. Expert subjective and objective weights were combined into aggregate weights. Based on the investigation performed, the authors make conclusions regarding possibilities for improving quality assurance in contractor contracts

    A Decision Support System for the Strategic Planning in the Automotive Industry

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    Tesi magistrale realizzata nell'ambito dell'automotive. Riguarda la pianificazione di lungo termine (strategica) e, più nello specifico, lo studio dei metodi e degli strumenti che possono essere utilizzati per supportarne le varie fasi. La tesi è stata condotta realizzando un profondo studio della letteratura e svolgendo molte riunioni in azienda con responsabili della pianificazione.ope

    An integrated Multi-Criteria Decision Making Model for Sustainability Performance Assessment for Insurance Companies

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    To stay competitive in a business environment, continuous performance evaluation based on the triple bottom line standard of sustainability is necessary. There is a gap in addressing the computational expense caused by increased decision units due to increasing the performance evaluation indices to more accuracy in the evaluation. We successfully addressed these two gaps through (1) using principal component analysis (PCA) to cut the number of evaluation indices, and (2) since PCA itself has the problem of merely using the data distribution without considering the domain-related knowledge, we utilized Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) to rank the indices through the expert’s domain-related knowledge. We propose an integrated approach for sustainability performance assessment in qualitative and quantitative perspectives. Fourteen insurance companies were evaluated using eight economic, three environmental, and four social indices. The indices were ranked by expert judgment though an analytical hierarchy process as subjective weighting, and then principal component analysis as objective weighting was used to reduce the number of indices. The obtained principal components were then used as variables in the data envelopment analysis model. So, subjective and objective evaluations were integrated. Finally, for validating the results, Spearman and Kendall’s Tau correlation tests were used. The results show that Dana, Razi, and Dey had the best sustainability performance.This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainability Assessmen
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